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    Posts made by Tirano

    • RE: Was the Taranto raid overlooked?

      @simon33:

      @Tirano:

      @simon33:

      Not sure about your closing comment. Your buys in Egypt tie up all the UK2 purchasing with 1IPC change (2IPC if Ethiopia is taken).

      You could build 5 inf or 2inf+1ftr in London with the IC UK1. I guess your advantage is that you keep your planes at home. 5inf + starting doesn’t sound too tough to me. Might require a 5-6TT buy G2.

      You do Realize that the UK/France stack end of round one would be 11 Inf 1 Mech 5 AA and 4 Fighters.  And then if Germany does a buy of 5-6 TT then UK will surely buy 10 Inf in response.  So that means you are looking at a London defense of 21 Inf 1 Mech 5 AA and 4 Fighters. Against 7-8 German TTs. Well load those TTs and say Germany brings 5 Fighters 5 Tac and 2 Strat. Well I ran those odds with 8 TT and UK won 68% of the time. So I’d say bring it.

      I didn’t run the numbers. With the 68IPC Germany normally has they can buy 9TTs and 1 art. You can move 11inf 5art back to Germany and normally 2art 6arm back to West Germany. So you can indeed fill those 10TTs. Depends a lot on what happened G1. You may need to buy some fleet.

      Well let us do assume that you have 10 Transport to fill (even though you said 6-7) if you have 10 Trans you can muster a force of 10 Inf 10 Art 5 Fighter 5 Tac and 2 Strat.  Well let us not forget that UK almost always has 1 transport survive in the Atlantic so you can add an Inf and a Tank to UK.  That brings UK defense up to 22Inf 1Mech 1 Tank 5 AA 4 Fighter and a Strat. I just ran those odds and Germany now wins 43% - woohoo.  Hardly what I call a for sure thing.

      posted in Axis & Allies Global 1940
      T
      Tirano
    • RE: Was the Taranto raid overlooked?

      @simon33:

      Not sure about your closing comment. Your buys in Egypt tie up all the UK2 purchasing with 1IPC change (2IPC if Ethiopia is taken).

      You could build 5 inf or 2inf+1ftr in London with the IC UK1. I guess your advantage is that you keep your planes at home. 5inf + starting doesn’t sound too tough to me. Might require a 5-6TT buy G2.

      You do Realize that the UK/France stack end of round one would be 11 Inf 1 Mech 5 AA and 4 Fighters.  And then if Germany does a buy of 5-6 TT then UK will surely buy 10 Inf in response.  So that means you are looking at a London defense of 21 Inf 1 Mech 5 AA and 4 Fighters. Against 7-8 German TTs. Well load those TTs and say Germany brings 5 Fighters 5 Tac and 2 Strat. Well I ran those odds with 8 TT and UK won 68% of the time. So I’d say bring it.

      posted in Axis & Allies Global 1940
      T
      Tirano
    • RE: Taking Greece

      Like you said the problem is holding it, typically Italy will be poised to retake Greece.

      posted in Axis & Allies Global 1940
      T
      Tirano
    • RE: Was the Taranto raid overlooked?

      @simon33:

      It’s too easy for Italy to land a troop on Transjordan and close the Suez.

      Not if you are shuttling men there via transport from South Africa

      posted in Axis & Allies Global 1940
      T
      Tirano
    • RE: Taranto or Tobruk

      At the bottom of this thread people explain some alternatives and other ideas. 
      http://www.axisandallies.org/forums/index.php?topic=38162.0
      This is an idea I personally use and have found successful instead of Taranto or Tobruk
      http://www.axisandallies.org/forums/index.php?topic=38202.0

      posted in Axis & Allies Global 1940
      T
      Tirano
    • RE: Taranto or Tobruk

      @Young:

      I think we can all agree that the UK must do one or the other, and not leave both untouched right?

      Couldn’t disagree more,  There are multiple threads up on this type discussion right now, so I would just read the other threads if you would like to know why.

      posted in Axis & Allies Global 1940
      T
      Tirano
    • RE: Was the Taranto raid overlooked?

      @Marshmallow:

      @JDOW:

      Sorry, but… no! ;)

      Sorry, but yes.

      @JDOW:

      I personally like both, Taranto or stacking fleet in 92 with no Taranto, however hiding fleet in the red sea is objectively bad (especially as Italy can cut them off then through Suez), so is the common overated middle east play. UK must bother Germany from 110. Total middle east and med focus plays into the German hands.

      How are you going to cut the UK out of the Med on I1 if the UK destroys blockers to sea zones 96 and 99? Are you planning to take Trans Jordan during the non-combat round? Or with that German transport that mysteriously appeared in the Med?

      You can clear the blockers on I1, but you can’t lock the UK out because you can’t take Trans Jordan. On UK2 the UK moves back into sea zone 98 and places a build of one carrier and two destroyers. The UK fleet now has two loaded carriers, five destroyers (six once the French destroyer reaches sea zone 98), and at least one cruiser (two if the sea zone 91 cruiser was used as a blocker on UK1).

      The combined Italian fleet and air force cannot handle that fleet – depending on UK1, I1, and UK2 Italian losses they may not even be able to dent it. The only way the Axis can destroy that UK fleet is to sacrifice the Luftwaffe. Good luck getting Moscow if you do that!

      If you don’t sacrifice the Luftwaffe, the UK has won the Med. Egypt is safe, the Italian fleet dies on UK3 or runs far away (outside the Med far!), Italy’s income gets convoyed away starting on UK4 at the latest, and the UK starts ferrying fighters to Moscow on UK4. The Italian ground troops in Africa die at the UK’s convenience.

      So yeah, sea zone 81 works nicely. I stand by my position that this is the strongest UK play in the Med.

      Marsh

      Very well said marsh, I must say that I too am a firm believer in pulling back to SZ81 and focusing all of UK income on the ME, it is simply to good because you threaten ALL THREE axis from that position.  You are just one move away from Rome, 2 moves from an Indian liberation and can hit the Balkans in one move.  This is most definitely the best position for the UK to take.  If you use Bids to buy carriers in the red sea and spend income on Naval buys for first 3 turns, the UK finds themselves in a VERY good position to strike at what the Axis leaves open.

      posted in Axis & Allies Global 1940
      T
      Tirano
    • RE: Taranto or Tobruk

      @Young:

      @Tirano:

      @Young:

      Considering the success rate of the Axis taking Egypt even without an Italian Battleship, Cruiser, and Transport (after a Taranto raid)… has Tobruk become the better attack option for UK1?

      What do you mean by there success rate ? Are you saying that the Axis have a strong possibility to take and HOLD Egypt? Because in games I’ve played, that is not true.

      It takes the entire German airforce (or the mass majority of it) to land on Alexandria G2 where the Italian force from Tobruk has moved during I1, the German planes are used as protection from a UK attack. The Italians can buy another transport or many air units to eventually take Egypt knowing that with the German aircraft providing defensive muscle and threatening any remaining British ships in the area, the Italians are safe while reinforcing Alexandria. A UK1 factory in Egypt is a good way for the Brits to keep Egypt, but that also makes them vulnerable to a sealion invasion.

      I see your point but the Germ air force is either in Africa threatening Egypt or West Germ threatening london not both

      posted in Axis & Allies Global 1940
      T
      Tirano
    • RE: Taranto or Tobruk

      @Young:

      Considering the success rate of the Axis taking Egypt even without an Italian Battleship, Cruiser, and Transport (after a Taranto raid)… has Tobruk become the better attack option for UK1?

      What do you mean by there success rate ?  Are you saying that the Axis have a strong possibility to take and HOLD Egypt? Because in games I’ve played, that is not true.

      posted in Axis & Allies Global 1940
      T
      Tirano
    • RE: Was the Taranto raid overlooked?

      Assuming that Germany does a Sea Lion build on G2, you can adjust appropriately. But of course, I consider a German attempt at Sea Lion a beginner move, since I have yet to see a game where the Axis won after doing Sea Lion.

      I could not agree more with this, only time a Sea Lion is worth it is at end of the game after Moscow has fallen and you catch the UK with their pants down OR you can take it by G3 with 5 trans max and not have to sacrifice the Luftwaffe.  But both of these situations require an inexperienced British player.  Sea Lion is most definitely an advantage for the allies.

      posted in Axis & Allies Global 1940
      T
      Tirano
    • RE: Allied strategy discussion!

      @cyanight:

      I have never seen that happen. Everytime I have seen a sealion USA does everything they can to take it back.

      That is very true, however for the most part if UK builds a moderate defense in London on UK1 (3-4inf) Sea Lion becomes too costly for Germany and leaves the door open for Moscow to survive.

      posted in Axis & Allies Global 1940
      T
      Tirano
    • RE: South African Launch

      Good Points Marsh perhaps I did miscalculate where the gib and malta fighter land.  I appreciate your ideas for the middle east as well.  All your thoughts I will try out in future games but until I test I wont alter my original post.

      cheers  :-)

      posted in Axis & Allies Global 1940
      T
      Tirano
    • RE: The Spanish Beachhead: American Strategy

      @MeinHerr:

      What if Italy drops off 2T+2Inf on Syria on Italy 1 (assuming you go to SZ92 with your Egyptian Navy… on UK1 ), Germany lands FTRs on Syria on G2… Bulgarians take Greece G2

      I2 drops off 4 Inf in Syria… and Transjordan and Alexandria are strongly Italian Held…

      Even without any Italian Investment in navy… just overland they could take Egypt… or if not… then the Middle East…

      The problem is you are assuming that 2 Italian Transports survived and it is more than likely only 1 did

      posted in Axis & Allies Global 1940
      T
      Tirano
    • RE: South African Launch

      Hello Marsh I would first like to thank you for your well thought out replies and for posting them, you will find though that I have picked them apart and have found that not everything you have presented is quite logical, so let me explain.

      “So you are planning to build up a Mediterranean fleet. Awesome. But you are leaving part of it to die in sea zone 96 while you build in sea zone 81. Why waste the units by letting Italy destroy them in detail instead of massing your fleet in sea zone 81 and moving back into the Med on UK2?”
      This “fleet” in SZ96 is a cruiser, thats is all, and it came from SZ91 IF it survived German Atlantic assault, this cruiser is not intended to live, I would be skeptical if it did, it is simply to help take out the Italian Destroyer and Transport.

      Now as for this, "This is a 76% battle for you. If you lose (one time out of four you will), you have weakened India and not gained anything in the process. Sure, you killed a couple of Italian units. You would do better to have taken Persia with those forces and retreated the Anglo-Egypt Sudan forces into Egypt proper. You have 0% chance of losing, make one more IPC out of it (two more IPCs 25% of the time), gain two free infantry (another six IPCs), set yourself up to take Iraq on UK2 (another two IPCs), and secured Persia as a landing zone for planes that you might later send to Moscow or India.

      My mistake – I did not include the support shot for the cruiser from sea zone 39 in my calculation. This is an 85% battle for you. You win basically four times out of five."

      You say you win 4 out of 5 as if that is terrible odds for the Allies? Would you not do an odd with 85% success any other time?  very reasonable.  But even so it is actually 98% seeing as you can bring the Tactical bomber from the carrier in SZ98 which increases your odds to 98% as I said. (to be fair I forgot to mention that)

      “Also, I didn’t see any reference to you deploying a blocker to sea zone 99. That means Italy can do a joint amphibious/overland assault on Egypt proper, which you have barely reinforced, on I1 with two infantry, three tanks, one mech, a strategic bomber, two cruisers, and a battleship. Italy has a 50% chance of winning this battle, trapping your sea zone 81 fleet outside the Med until UK3 at least (longer if the Luftwaffe lands there on G2, to be reinforced by slower forces from Tobruk and an Italian build in Egypt on I2. 50% of the time in this scenario, you have lost the Mediterranean, Africa and the Middle East. That’s pretty much game…”

      So Perhaps you did not account for all of my Egyptian forces ?  Because surely you realize I will have 2 Inf from Anzac, 2 Inf from South Africa,  Infantry 1 Artillery 1 Tank from Alexandria and then of course my original Egyptian forces which are 2 Infantry 1 Mechanized Infantry 1 Artillery AND the fighter from Malta that lands there.  That brings the total to:  7 Inf 2 Art 1 Mech 1 Tank and 1 Fighter.  Now match that up against your very Impressive “two infantry, three tanks, one mech, a strategic bomber, two cruisers, and a battleship.”  You will find that the UK has a 97% chance of winning that fight, which is a risk I can afford.  So that negates the need for a SZ99 blocker, or the risk of the Luftwaffe coming down.

      Now regarding Calcutta you said that the Pac building transports and shipping Inf to them is great because now “Now Japan can come light for Calcutta, or come normal heavy and then destroy your Middle East presence after it crushes India with a LOT of force remaining…” If it comes light then my med force liberates it 2 Turns later, if they come heavy then I am still safe for a turn in sz81 because they cannot reach in 1 turn even with a naval base.  If they head my way then i pull to SZ98 where now the Italians can hit me, but as you pointed out, they only have a 22% chance of winning. Especially if I have flown UK fighters down to Egypt and built an AB there, which is possibility in later rounds.  And if not then no biggies perhaps the RAF is defending Russia.

      And to this “Why sea zone 39 instead of 79? The position of the battleship on UK2 would be the same, but parking it in 39 might allow a J2 attack to kill it.”  The reason is so that it is at a Naval base, so If Japan is for some reason going for an Early Sydney then I can maybe position this BB as a blocker and if Japan is doing a J2 attack on India then I have a blocker.  So that is my reasoning there, although perhaps you are right and I should not put it there.

      As for the UK fighter, that is simply a difference in opinions, and both of us have stated ours.

      I think I have addressed everything that you threw my way, but if I did not let me know  :-)  Also I am sure I messed up something in this reply so let me know what it is ASAP lol

      posted in Axis & Allies Global 1940
      T
      Tirano
    • RE: South African Launch

      I would be quite ok with that because it repurposed resources from Russia which means she will stand.

      posted in Axis & Allies Global 1940
      T
      Tirano
    • RE: South African Launch

      I am very confused how does this play into my South African strategy? Certainly not a counter because some of the moves you recommended would be eliminated for Italy after UK1.  Especially the fact that I Wipe out Ethiopa on UK1.  Maybe I’m missing something though? If so I Apologize :-)

      posted in Axis & Allies Global 1940
      T
      Tirano
    • RE: Sea Lion

      @Private:

      I don’t believe Sea Lion can work unless the UK player is asleep, but have tried a G1 fleet purchase to delay a North Sea allied threat. Ended up feeling that those G resources should have been directed towards victory in R. G air power can deliver on both objectives.

      Excellent point a purchase of 1 bomber and and perhaps some land units is an excellent opening buy.

      posted in Axis & Allies Global 1940
      T
      Tirano
    • RE: Sea Lion

      As Germany I am a firm believer in 1 transport and rest artillery.  This still threatens Sea Lion without tying up as many IPCs plus this trans helps take leningrad so still has some use.  To me the carrier is just a waste of resources unless I FULLY intend to actually perform sea lion regardless of UK buys.

      posted in Axis & Allies Global 1940
      T
      Tirano
    • RE: South African Launch

      @taamvan:

      note that WBs ## of UK units is pretty optimal; maybe 1 more fighter or so but thats lime 100% spent on turtle.  no doubt that this is why people feel the bid should help Uk

      Sorry taam but I do not understand what you are trying to convey, could you reword it for me, apologies  :-)

      posted in Axis & Allies Global 1940
      T
      Tirano
    • RE: South African Launch

      I see what your saying WildBill, and appreciate your feedback  :-) I will keep your ideas in mind.

      posted in Axis & Allies Global 1940
      T
      Tirano
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