Posts made by tinydictator

First, a question: Can I still send the Italian sub elsewhere? I think I had a knot in my brain yesterday (I understand if I can’t though, as you have moved your French cruiser).

GERMANY 4:

Buy (98 ):

Repair factory UK (4)
1 DD (8 )
2 Ftr (20)
14 Inf (42)
3 Mech (12)
2 Tanks (12)

Combat move:

to Eir, via Sco: 1 Tank (UK)
to Fin: 1 Inf (Nor); 3 Bmb (WGer)
to Bal: 2 Inf (Pol); 1 Ftr (WGer)

Fin: 1 Inf, 3 Bmb vs 2 Inf
Rolls: 1@1 3@4; Total Hits: 21@1: (6)3@4: (5, 4, 1)
Rolls: 2@2; Total Hits: 12@2: (1, 3)

Bal: 2 Inf, 1 Ftr vs 1 Inf
Rolls: 2@1 1@3; Total Hits: 02@1: (3, 6)1@3: (6)
Rolls: 1@2; Total Hits: 01@2: (3)

That’s funny, I can see your post when I write something, but not in the normal view.

Krieghund says “any warship will do”, so I assume that includes ACs. However, thinking about it, I’ve decided that my sub is going to sz91 anyway.

PS: I’m shaking in my pants thinking about the French navy! 8) And for the rest of the guys, if you think that this is enough to have a successful landing anywhere else but French Westafrica, you’re sadly mistaken (btw I couldn’t give a damn if you were to land in FWA, so feel free to go there).

PPS: Move the sub to sz91, no matter whether your AC can drive it under the water or not.

Change of plan: If the AC would suppress the sub, it moves to sz85 instead.

In any event, the fact that the US has no surface ships with attack value in the atlantic is going to come back to hurt you!  :evil:

PS: I forgot to indicate the Japanese income. It’s 35 IPC.

arrivederci and au revoir, my french fellows. you were persistent enough. (there’s no shame in surrendering - all your friends did it already :evil:)

Sorry that this took so long. I had a rule question and was searching the forum for an answer, but couldn’t find it. I posted the question in the forum now. The question is whether your AC counts as a “surface warship” in suppressing a sub in sz91 when it comes to the question whether your transports can initiate an amphibious assault or not. Given that the AC has an attack value of zero, I find it not evident that it does so. If the AC suppresses my sub, it goes to sz92. Otherwise, sz91 is the lucky winner and you would be pretty screwed  :evil:

Non-combat move:

Bmb (Alg) lands in SIta
1 sub (sz88) -> sz91/sz92 (depending on answer to rule question)
1 DD, 1 BB (sz98) -> sz92
1 Inf, 2 AA (NIta) -> SFr
2 AA (Hun) -> Yugo
1 Inf, 1 Art (Bul); 1 Inf (Yugo) -> Rom
1 Tank (Syr); 1 Mech (Egy); 1 Ftr (Alx) -> TrJ
1 Inf (TrJ) -> Irq

Build:
6 Inf, 1 Art, 1 Tank (NIta)

Collect: 22 + 17 = 39 IPC (yeah baby!)

First Blood (Italy3).AAM

ok… at least you didn’t hit either. again!

Alg: 3 Inf, 1 Tank, 1 Bmb vs 2 Inf
Rolls: 3@1 1@3 1@4; Total Hits: 23@1: (4, 4, 5)1@3: (3)1@4: (2)
Rolls: 2@2; Total Hits: 02@2: (3, 3)

ITALY 3:

Buy (28 ):
6 Inf (18 )
1 Art (4)
1 Tank (6)

Combat move:

to sz92: 1 Trn [loads 1 Inf (SFr)] (sz92); 1 Trn [loads 1 Inf (Egy)] (sz98)
to Gib: 1 Inf (sz92)
to Mor: 1 Inf (sz92)
to sz94: 1 Crs, 2 Trn [load 3 Inf, 1 Tank (NIta)] (sz98)
to Alg: 3 Inf, 1 Tank, 1 Crs (sz94); 1 Bmb (Tun)
to Sudan: 1 Tank [blitz back to Egy] (Egy)
to EPl: 1 Inf (Hun)
to Bes: 1 Inf (Rom)

Alg: 3 Inf, 1 Tank, 1 Crs, 1 Bmb vs 2 Inf
Rolls: 3@1 2@3 1@4; Total Hits: 03@1: (2, 3, 3)2@3: (4, 5)1@4: (6)
Rolls: 2@2; Total Hits: 02@2: (6, 5)

wow, it seems like this dice engine really has a heart for the little guys…

although I do feel slightly insulted by the fact that the Chinese infantery that defeated 2 Inf and 1 Ftr now goes and singlehandedly kills the Inf that I “wisely” withdrew.

btw they are the nationalist chinese, no commies there (yet)!

well I can’t re-roll everytime I have bad luck, can’t I?

Concerning the sub - it was a true hero indeed (one iron cross with oak leafs coming up), but are you sure that sz64 connects to sz11? I always thought it didn’t. If you put the maps together, it is sz28 that connects to sz64.

Concerning your transport, I’m pretty sure that you did place it - it is exactly the transport that is in sz10 right now. Your other two transports got both destroyed when I attacked sz26 in J1 and J2 (as one Pearl Harbour wasn’t enough for you  :wink: ).

no need to re-roll, just some need of bitching.

Obviously I did not calculate this battle in advance as precisely. If someone would have told me “look you have a 10% chance of failure without the Ftr”, I would have send the fighter in. So I fully take the blame.

But still, even though not taking Hawaii is the main desaster, having 2 Infs surviving there adds insult to injury. If it would have been mutual annihilation at last I may have a (better) chance at a later point, which is no rather doubtful. Depending on your moves, of course.

Hm, I don’t have a caluclator, but if my stochastic skills don’t fail me, that is not correct. My probability to score hits in the shore bombardment round was 1.6% for no hits and 11.5% for 1 hit. That means 86.9% 2+ hits. And even if  I have only one hit and you have one hit (as it happened), it is 2 Inf 1 Tank vs 3 Inf, which usually is also more likely to either mutual annihilation or a win for me, and not you surviving with 2 units:

Even in round 2, I had a 65.3% chance to score 1+ hits (your chance to get 2+ hits was 25.9%). Thus, even if the odds were slightly on your side, the by far most likely outcome was for each of us to have exactly one hit (48.6% for me and 44.4% for you, the remaining outcomes sharing the rest of the probabilities).

If that happens, it is 1 Inf, 1 Tank vs 2 Inf, and then the odds are slightly on my side: 0/1/2 is 41,67%/50%/8,3% for me vs 44,4%/44.4%/11.1% for you.

Instead, I had no hit, The probability of this result, if I take your 1 hit in round 1 as a given, was 4,78% (my only consolation being that I did not hit the jackpot of scoring no hits at all in two rounds, which was at 0,55%). So yes, I took a chance of about 5% in an important battle when I didn’t needed to. Apparently that was silly.

small change: The sub from sz6 goes to sz33 and the DD from sz6 goes to sz26.

First Blood (Japan3).AAM

This is the correct map again.

I guess I indeed have still very good odds winning this game on the Atlantic side of the map. Its nonetheless frustrating to see your entire strategy go bust on an outcome as ridiculous as this.

First Blood (Japan3).AAM

Non-combat move:

1 Ftr (sz54); 1 sub, 1 AC, 1 Ftr, 1 Tac (sz6) -> sz26
1 DD (sz6) -> sz33
1 AC (sz46); 1 Ftr, 1 Tac (DGu) -> sz45
1 Bmb (sz54) -> Car
1 Ftr (Cha) -> Man
2 Ftr, 3 Tac, 1 Bmb (Yun); 1 Inf, 1 AA (Anh); 1 Inf (Kwe) -> Hun

Build:
1 Minor IC in Hon
Jap: 1 Trn, 1 sub, 2 Inf, 1 Ftr

This turn really killed me in the Pacific. I can’t eat as much as I would like to vomit. I lost 2 Inf in DGu, which really hurts and of course Hawaii is nothing but desaster. Instead of shifting 6 IPC from the US to Japan and having an operational port under my ass, I have to creep back somewhere safe now. I guess I should take this as a lesson not even to take tiny chances in battles as important as this one.

The map is attached.

PS: You hit above average in Yunnan too, and your AA got a Fighter. I wouldn’t call that a lucky battle for me.

First Blood (Japan3).AAM
First Blood (Japan3).AAM

This is pathetic. Do you know why I did not send the Ftr in the battle? Because I considered that it was clearly unnecessary and I didnt want to expose him to the AA. The only way how this turn could have gone possibly worse is if the DD in sz54 had shot down my sub.

THIS BATTLE IN HAWAII IS A BAD JOKE!!!

Do you take the hit in Yun on the AA or on another Inf? Obviously I retreat now.

Hawaii: 1 Tank vs 3 Inf
Rolls: 1@3; Total Hits: 11@3: (1)
Rolls: 3@2; Total Hits: 13@2: (3, 2, 5)

Wow, that is some sorry dice-rolling! I roll with 16 in DGu and hit NONE, and I roll with 17 in Hawaii and hit one…

I assume you take the hit in Hawaii on the AA.

Cha retreats.

1 Ftr gets shot down in Yun. I’ll need to know your OOL for Yun.

Round 2:

Hawaii: 2 Inf, 1 Tank vs 3 Inf
Rolls: 2@1 1@3; Total Hits: 02@1: (5, 3)1@3: (5)
Rolls: 3@2; Total Hits: 23@2: (2, 5, 1)

DGu: 2 Inf, 1 Art, 1 Ftr, 1 Tac vs 1 Ftr
Rolls: 1@1 2@2 1@3 1@4; Total Hits: 31@1: (5)2@2: (4, 1)1@3: (2)1@4: (3)
Rolls: 1@4; Total Hits: 11@4: (2)

Yun: 3 Inf, 1 Art, 2 Ftr, 3 Tac, 1 Bmb vs 1 AA, 8 Inf
Rolls: 2@1 2@2 3@3 3@4; Total Hits: 52@1: (4, 6)2@2: (6, 1)3@3: (1, 1, 1)3@4: (6, 6, 2)
Rolls: 8@2; Total Hits: 48@2: (3, 5, 2, 3, 1, 1, 2, 4)

45 for Russia is not bad either, but having Finland for 1 or 2 turns is not going to save your bolshevik ass. Btw I do not need to get to Moscow as long as I keep London and Egypt.

Oh and you get thoroughly convoy raided in Korea:
Rolls: 7@3; Total Hits: 37@3: (3, 3, 5, 6, 4, 3, 6)

JAPAN 3:

Build (41):
1 Trn (7)
2 Inf (6)
1 sub (6)
1 Ftr (10)
1 Minor IC (12)

BB sz33 repairs

Combat move:

to sz26: 1 Trn [load 1 Inf, 1 Tank (Jap)] (sz6); 1 Trn [load 2 Inf (Car)], 1 BB (sz33)
to Hawaii: 3 Inf, 1 Tank, shore bombardment 2 BB, 1 Crs (NB that the Ftr on the AC does not attack)
to sz54: 1 sub (sz33); 1 Ftr (sz46); 1 Bmb (Wak)
to sz56: 1 sub (sz46); 1 DD (sz33)
to sz43: 1 sub (sz35)
to sz47: 1 Trn [load 1 Inf (Car)] (sz46)
to NBr: 1 Inf
to sz45: 1 Trn [load 2 Inf (Guam)] (sz21); 1 Trn [load 1 Inf, 1 Art (Phil)] (sz35); 1 Crs (sz46)
to DGu: 3 Inf, Art; 1 Ftr (Car); 1 Tac (sz46)
to Sze: 4 Inf, 3 Art (Kwe); 1 Mech (Hun)
to Yun: 1 Inf (Kwe); 2 Inf, 1 Art, 2 Ftr, 2 Tac, 1 Bmb (Kwa); 1 Ftr, 1 Tac (Anh)
to Cha: 2 Inf (Jeh); 1 Ftr (Man)

Hawaii: 3 Inf, 1 Tank, 1 Crs, 2 BB vs 1 AA, 3 Inf
Rolls: 3@1 2@3 2@4; Total Hits: 13@1: (1, 5, 6)2@3: (5, 4)2@4: (6, 5)
Rolls: 3@2; Total Hits: 13@2: (2, 3, 6)

sz54: 1 sub, 1 Ftr, 1 Bmb vs 1 DD
Rolls: 1@2 1@3 1@4; Total Hits: 21@2: (2)1@3: (5)1@4: (4)
Rolls: 1@2; Total Hits: 01@2: (5)

DGu: 3 Inf, 1 Art, 1 Crs, 1 Ftr, 1 Tac vs 1 Ftr
Rolls: 2@1 2@2 2@3 1@4; Total Hits: 02@1: (6, 3)2@2: (3, 3)2@3: (4, 4)1@4: (6)
Rolls: 1@4; Total Hits: 11@4: (3)

sz56: 1 sub, 1 DD vs 1 sub (first roll is the sub = first strike)
Rolls: 2@2; Total Hits: 12@2: (1, 6)
Rolls: 1@1; Total Hits: 01@1: (6)

Cha: 2 Inf, 1 Ftr vs 1 Inf
Rolls: 2@1 1@3; Total Hits: 02@1: (3, 5)1@3: (5)
Rolls: 1@2; Total Hits: 11@2: (1)

Sze: 4 Inf, 1 Mech, 3 Art vs 1 Inf
Rolls: 2@1 6@2; Total Hits: 12@1: (2, 5)6@2: (2, 6, 5, 6, 4, 4)
Rolls: 1@2; Total Hits: 01@2: (5)

Yun: 3 Inf, 1 Art, 3 Ftr, 3 Tac, 1 Bmb vs 1 AA, 8 Inf
AA:Rolls: 3@1; Total Hits: 13@1: (5, 1, 4)