If you DOW russia on turn 1 you “inform” the UK player that Selow is not a concrete possibility and so he SCRAMBLE in atlantic fleets attacks; i immagine this is the reason why you loose 4 planes.
Ah. it’s also possible you loose some other planes in France for AA (i immagine you move to the east the 3 southern germany tanks)

Moscow is not reachable. never. if russian player defend correctly: retreating without defend Leningrad or Ukraine on the second turn of attack.

that’s all or you want to calculate odds?

… unless Japan do something but i really don’t know what… maybe a DOW on turn 1? Bombing Moscow with some air base? i don’t know

I agree with ItIsILeClerc:
German attack on SZ 92 is not considerable. He would have JUST planes with no navy; this mean loosing 50% or more of the air fleet FOR EVER. crazy.

you cannot build in manchuria. (china territory) but in korea you can.
1 IC (for Korea) and 2 transport and DOW on turn 2.
I would also attack china normally with standard attacks.

so the “mongolian rule” is not optional?

Yes. i think so too.

But if russia stack inf  in Sakha?
i could attack anyway, in amur and soviet far east…

Assuming German DOW against Russia is on turn 2, it’s a bad/good idea a Japan DOW against Russia on turn 1 (after German and Russia turn)?

If UK goes for Taranto London will follow very simply (you can control the odds).

The point is:

-German reveals his plan at the beginning of turn 2 (buying or not 10 transport with France IPC).
-England first turn must be done in order to defend a Selow.anyway.
-England second turn is “free”.

Excuse me but Taranto on first turn is not a good idea.

Thanks you!!! Yoy gave me the correct idea: Option 1 of course.
-I sink the fleet in SZ 96 with planes and then i put all my med fleet and med planes (1f 1 tac) in Gib; maybe also some plane from england (selow is on turn 3).
-On next turns could arrive also the DD in 71 and the fleet in 106 (assuming it has survived 50%)
-If Germany doesn’ buy TT on 2nd turn (no Selow) i could put some England planes in Gib on my 2nd turn.
-It’s possible to let egypt to italy for the 2nd turn, but on 3rd with planes and the persian inf (1 TT lot there) i could retake it
It’s perfect!

I dont’t like option 2 especially if:

• German sank 106 SZ fleet (2 inf 1 art 1 mech plus on Selow defense)
• The German Bombing of turn 2 is effective (2 bombers alive (3+2) (3+2) 10 average IPC damage!!!)
• During the bombing i strikes few german planes.

Thanks

Assuming that German player in first turn did everything well:
-Attack SZ111,110, 106(50%)
-Take France, Normandy, Yugo, Bulgaria, Finland
-Move troop from Germany to Poland
-Buy 2 TT and 2 DD
In the 2nd or 3nd turns he will have the possibility to:
-Go for London in turn 3 (buying transport in turn 2)
-Go for Barbarossa on turn 2 or 3 (buying Armour in turn 2)
-move 3 trasport to move inf from norway and normandy  to Gib/Morocco  
*the last two options could be considered togheter

Assuming that Russia did everything well:
Retreating and buying land units.

Assuming that USA did everything well:
Buying TT and Carrier

AS ENGLAND
Assuming that
a: I didn�t scramble in 110 and 111 attacks (otherwise Selow)
b: I must buy Inf for London (otherwise Selow)
c: I won�t do Taranto (otherwise Selow)

1: I sink the german fleet in 110 with Gib Cruise and 109 DD and planes from Gib and Eng. (where I will land).
2: I sink the the 96 Italian flet JUST WITH PLANES from malta and SZ 98
3: I move every med troop including planes, the malta inf and AA to Egypt (via TT)
4: I move the med fleet in red sea.

HOW CAN I DEFEND EGYPT ON ITALY TURN2/3 ATTACK? IS IT POSSIBLE? JUST NAVAL BLOCK (for 1 turn)?