Best posts made by Stucifer

Yeah that’s been a rough round for you. Gave you some recompense in N Belarus 😁

I will say if I was playing PtV low luck I can’t imagine Axis would get a bid. I would definitely want a bid to play Allies. I believe with a 0 bid you can be at 100% odds for Sealion on G3 with a naval buy G1 (CV, DD, tp) and 11-transport buy G2.

That’s with UK bringing the Gibraltar + Malta fighter back and building 18 infantry + a fighter for London.

@gamerman01 Quickly estimating a 95% is the strength of the ELO system, as @Arthur-Bomber-Harris noted. Even ELO should mean 50/50 win rate, being evenly matched players. A 500-point advantage is ~91% win rate.

Re: The new ELO-based ranking system

@MrRoboto said in The new ELO-based ranking system:

Now the Factor F is important: I set it to 500.
This means, that a player with an Elo rating 500 higher than the opponent is 10x as likely to win the game.

Our ELO system would be more accurate if we had a larger pool of players, as one of the issues that has been pointed out is that there is a very small pool of players.

Smaller sample size, less precise data, larger standard deviation in the results.

The top ELO guys can play against only a few others that give them a big chunk ELO for a win, but those players are also the most likely to give them a loss.

However, this is also true in games like chess, DotA and StarCraft, where the ultra-high ELO/MMR players have to play and win lots of games against lower-tier challengers to move up only 100 points in the rankings.

And for the MMR systems, usually the top world players are in the 7k-8k MMR range, so 100 points is only a 1.5% improvement vs a 5% improvement at 2000 ELO.

Perhaps we could try Global '42 as a team game round robin, using tournament rules? Adapted to forum play, this would basically just be a turn limit.

@mikawagunichi and I are planning to play it this fall at an event and it is also the version of Global that gets played at the GenCon tournament. The meta and strategies for the time-limited, board play tournament games is significantly different from forum play, so may or may not be a good fit for what you’re hoping to achieve.

@gamerman01 Count me in - will be fun!

@axis-dominion went camping for a bit, probably won’t be able to post til tomorrow.

@AndrewAAGamer Global 1942, there is an official Larry Harris version which is included in the Global map pack download.

Major differences in board setup since it (vaguely) resembles a later point in time, and the Turn Order is different -
USSR
JAPAN
USA/CHINA
GERMANY
UK
ITALY
ANZAC/FRANCE

Greg Smorey tournament rules:
https://headlesshorseman2.com/gen-con.html

https://headlesshorseman2.com/uploads/3/4/0/0/34000156/g42_tournament_rules_25.pdf

I found this post in the Rules thread, from @regularkid, I think this clears it up, will keep reading though

I feel your pain, and would have plowed forward as well. Land-scramble is permitted if there is any friendly defending unit (land, air, AA gun, etc.) in the defending territory. Note, this even applies to pro-neutrals! Hope that clarifies.

https://www.axisandallies.org/forums/post/1404301

My home PC has no issues with this bug, running 2.6.14534. Also tested 14748 and 2.7.14934 and was not able to reproduce. @mikawagunichi helpfully tested 14762 on his machine.

Perhaps it was something local to my laptop, I will try to reproduce tomorrow, and point out the version number so we can avoid it.

@mikawagunichi Sorry to hear of your loss, my condolences friend.

@gamerman01 @barnee I am on 14748 on my laptop and don’t have the bug if I am in a fresh game either on my laptop or desktop. But the bug is persistent with the save in question. I screen recorded in case anyone is curious but seems like it is thankfully a one-off. Good to know it exists though, in case someone else stumbles into this issue in their game.

The screen recording: https://youtube.com/shorts/NwkVJk__998

The bugged save file: Savegame

@axis-dominion Wow that’s crazy. Might take a couple days on the next turn, I have family coming over tomorrow

@gamerman01 Although that seems to have been quite some time ago, more than the week he posted about.

I have not heard from either peirce or @dawgoneit (hope he’s well) in nearly a month now

Went on an unplanned little trip and wasn’t able to post this weekend—will catch up asap

@axis-dominion
@nikola1975
@wizmark
@ArtofWar1947

@gamerman01 maybe a starting save file with all the units added in and/or removed according to the special setup. so we can get started. are we doing a coin flip for which team plays Axis?

@crockett36 said in League G40 Team Game - Stucifer/Crockett36 v Daaras/FranceNeedsMorePower:

But it sounds like we should just flip a coin.

Agreed. Me & Daaras are ambivalent and you & France are Allied-favorite. I don’t feel a bid is necessary.

We can do this in true A&A League fashion and have MARTI roll a single die for us! Sending the email to me & Daaras since i have his email handy

Odd - Stu & Crockett take Axis
Even - Stu & Crockett take Allies

I got a 1, which means Odd, which means me & Crockett take Axis (sorry sir!)

@crockett36 will be playing the madman in Europe and I will be playing for the glory of the Emperor

@FranceNeedsMorePower @Daaras

No rush, but let us know when you’ve decided how you want to split powers. I’m going to be travelling for most of the next 6 days and likely won’t be able to post until next Wednesday evening.

I enjoyed watching this one, great game from both of you. Now we shall see if @axis-dominion can repeat his earlier victory against the Ghost!

I am editing the UK AAA in Anhwe to march with the chinese infantry stack in Honan

@ArtofWar1947 Rough dice for you and/or good dice for me - everywhere except 114 it seems! Looks like a -42 TUV from expected outcomes. which is a pretty heavy hit on G1. I would be open to editing a German plane from 113 or 2 mechs in France? will make it a little less of a swing