With the low number of units the Allies have at the start of the game I also thought of trying a J1 push.
some thoughts:
Burma road - it enables the Chinese to buy artillery instead Infantry - would that be so bad? China starts with 12IPC = 4 INF OR 3 ART/INF mixture. Art is also only hepling in attack (wouldn’t Japan like it that China attacks?).
IIRC then a lone Trsp (Hawaii) does NOT provoke combat - leavr trsp alone and focus on the Island - enables shore bombardment - so JP fleet could go to Hawaii and block out the US fleet (IIRC the JP is larger)
Securing Malaya and/HK is prime priority - could you “ignore” Phillies for a turn (no chance to build there)? we are used to attack phillies first, but is it necessary?
Instead of an minor IC in China - I’d buy a 3rd transport for shuttling troops from Japan (quite a stack there)
IC then on J2
If you take Hawaii and Hongkong J1 and Phillies J2 you have 5 VCs
From there you can deceide wether you go after India or Australia - depending on how many trs you have fully loaded.
i this scenario China and teh DEI would NOT be prime targets as they supply IPCs and this strategy focusses on speed
If you capture enough VC it does not matter how much US produces.
I might add taking Hawaii and splanting your J fleet there allows (fly planes to Hawaii for scrambling ;)
to delay the US fleet for some time (even strike out at the West Coast initial fleet - US can’t build too much on US 1) at J2
I know its risky, but this stratregy mirrors somewhat the original Japanese plan in 1941. Strike Quick and Strike hard - then the war is over.