In line with the AC “strat”: If you’re afraid of the large stack in west Russsia/Caucasus against Ukraine, pull all of the forces there (except one INF) back to Eastern Europe. I think Nix’s posting more or less shows this. The logic: as Germany (or the Axis in general) IMHO you’re FAR better off marshalling your forces and chosing where to attack rather than risking your good offensive units on defense.
If you’re lucky, the aircraft carrier/west europe FIG stack (3 is good R1) buys you a round or two against an allied invasion of Europe. Use the time to build a solid stack of units in Eastern Europe to exploit any mistake the Russians make and to make very small scale INF attacks. If the Russians split their forces between WRU and CAU, they’re in trouble. Though lots of pressure is good, make sure not to over extend and lose too many units or you’ll be in serious trouble when US/UK begin their invasion.
I’ve had success with this sort of offensive defense with Germany, but keep in mind it’s worthless without an aggressive Japan.