Uk loses everything Germany loses 2 AC or 1 AC and battleship.
So you said Germany had 51 ipcs to spend round 3
AB, 2 AC 15+16+16=47 leaving them with 4 ipcs. They have 3 Ftrs, 1bmr, 4tacs, arm(in London, and whatever land units that were left in Europe (10 inf, 2mech, 4 art about)
Russia bought: bomber, dest, sub, inf, 2 art on turn one. On turn 2 they bought:bomber, 5 inf, art, armor. On turn 3 they bought: 2 arm, 3 inf , 4 art.
Just buys in three rounds they have 9 inf, 7art, and arm vs the Germans buy of 1 art!!!
The Russians obviouslly have more on the ground now then Germany. Add the buys for three rounds. Russia takes Finland for sure. Possibly Poland, and romania.
Russia now gets paid 53 (56 if they take Korea too). Germany is making 49 ipcs if they take Scotland. If they take Poland back that’s 51. Russia is now out producing them either way.
Italy could possibly (but unlikely due to the stack of Russians) take back Romania. But Germany won’t get those ipcs until next round.
So yes I see a very great chance of winning with this lol.