You may be right but…you haven’t convinced me. :-P
Germany needs INCOME. They will lose West Russia and either Bel or Ukraine on R1. They will lose Norway on UK1 (Germany may be able to re-take it in G2, but that means postponing Karelia). US lands in Algeria on US 1 or2.
W. Russia is lost, but Bel or Ukraine can be retaken along with karelia and egypt on G1 (net gain of 2 IPC) giving germany 42 IPC to spend on G2 vs 29 IPC at best for russia on round 2.
With only 16 IPC of land unit build on G1, Germany has nothing to move toward the Russian Front on G2. That means that basically Germany has to stop Russia with only their remaining starting forces, and Russia has outbuilt them nearly 2-1 for this round of battle.
Russia’s round 1 build is only 24 IPC, a German build of 16 (8 IPC difference) plus starting forces is sufficient to hold the line for one round. It also assumes Russia’s entire build is directed towards germany with nothing allocated to the east.
Meanwhile with the extra baltic transport the northern flank becomes less of a problem.
I think it’s a workable strategy (I’ve certainly had good results from it). I invite you to prove me wrong.  :roll: Â