I’ve been on the wrong end so many times but the misfortune for the Allies on the US attack of Midway was a key time for the luck to reverse.
The dice hold up well on the Japanese counter that was then possible, and we have a reverse Midway. And an awful lot of fighting to go
The Japs now have but 5 warships on the board, and there are 3 Allied warships in the Pacific. The US also has 5 planes ready to take off from California, and while the Japs have 12, there are still 5 fronts, though each are fairly weak at the mo