I can’t see a quick strike at France succeeding if Axis plays well, builds an extra IC as Germany and then uses both Italian and German inf to make landing very expensive indeed. If UK looses Africa they will be down to the low 20s in IPCs and won’t be very threatening. The SAF IC can be used against Japan in the later game, channelling tanks through the Middle East and relieving pressure on Caucasus.
As for invasions of northern Europe, they are important and that’s why I think USA should take the main responsibility for destroying the Italian fleet. Typically you land in Norway on UK2 and then somewhere on the continent on UK3, and that pretty much is what you can do early on. After the first US buy oriented towards Africa, they can start building up for the ECA/FRA shuck and maybe some Pacific builds. Those bombers in Africa of course transfer back to Europe after doing their job! It’s not an all-out anti-African campaign that I’m advocating, it’s just that in a long game IPC-balance is vital and Africa tips the scales.
The UK owning France= All of UK Africa + being in an already relevent position. There is also a good chance you will own Norway/Finland. Plus there is a good chance of being able to trade Poland and/or NW Europe. These territories put the UK at around 25-28 IPC’s per Turn, that’s not bad. Plus you are in a much more relevant position.
I would think Germany building an IC on France T1 would cost it dearly. Now the UK/US would have free SBRs and could potentially do 32 IPC worth of bombing damage (counting Germany/Franc. 44 with Italy). More importantly Germany moves before UK, if Germany builds a T1 IC the UK can always adjust its strat at this point. Also Germany just spent 1/2 of her income on a non attacking/non defending piece in the far reaches of the Western Front. I would think Russia could make Germany pay dearly for this. If Italy is planning on buying a navy, that would mean that Germany/Italy probably only bought, at most, 24 IPC worth of ground units on Europe T1 which is less than what Russia alone is going to put on the board.
Also I don’t say abandon Africa completley, once in awhile send the US down there with an occasional transport to keep Italy occupied and MAYBE even a few Russians via Persia/the Caucauss.
I just see the UK factory hurting the UK on building a decent Navy on time from the Germans. To me an unsinkable Allied fleet is priority #1, without it the Allies are worthless. Many times the UK won’t be in a position to make a drop in Europe untill UK3, why should I make that more difficult on myself by putting an IC in SAF. \I say this assuming the UK has to spend all of UK1 buying capital ships just not to get sunk/be a non worthless player, and AT MOST will have only 1 Transport (though may not have any transports at all by the end of UK1, because all IPC’s had to be invested in capital ships)