I am a bit curious to see who would have won in the end, but I much prefer walking away with a draw at this point than end up losing/winning due to dice. I come from a low luck background, this isn’t my style :-).
Egypt would be held firmly by Japan, and UK is way too weak to do anything about it in the timeframe that matters here, so it all hangs on Novgorod. To summarize, Germany can have enough to deadzone (it’s close) Novgorod, but if I pull back I need to leave enough of a standing force to prevent the Italians getting it and then Germany reinforcing and landing planes, which uses up a lot of troops needed for the counters. And then there are the Japanese mechs and airforce that can bolster defense in a few rounds.
You are certainly right when you say that at a high level the Allies need to take risks or else they get mopped up by the Axis, but I meant safety margin when I have the advantage in a game. If I’m going to win if everything stays more or less the same, there is no need to take risks that could potentially put me at a disadvantage. Better off being patient, in my opinion.
