I tend to go HARD on SZ59… Entire SZ35 fleet. It gives me a reasonable chance to take out both the TRN, and a Jap ship or FIG (unless he brings both BB’s, but that leaves his TRN’s unprotected or out of position for J2 and weakens the Pearl strike…)
So the UK uses SZ35 FIG, TRN and SUB from 40 to attack the Japan SZ45 SUB. Odds are for a kill with FIG and SUB attacking.
1 TRN, 1 AC, 1 DST against SZ59, usually cleared w/o loss
FIG lands on USA AC in SZ52.
What is the result?
1. Japan has 1 less attacking unit and fodder naval asset for SZ52
2. An extra unit with a defense of 4 in SZ52
3. A living UK SUB in SZ45 that can go after any unguarded Japan TRN placed in SZ60
4. 3 units with a defense of 7 in SZ59 that need to be taken out lest they join up with the SUB and TRN from SZ45
5. A living UK TRN that can raid Japan’s islands as they are emptied.
So… Japan will take 1 more hit in SZ52 on average, MAYBE 2. That is 1 less unit that USA need to battle on the Counter to wipe out half of teh Japan Fleet.
Japan has to devote more than just AC and BB from SZ37 to re-clear SZ59, either the BB form SZ60 (meaning Japan can;t do “Pearl Heavy” and also meaning new TRN’s are going to have to be placed in SZ61 or get pounded by the SUB/TRN from SZ45) or a FIG (one less FIG for China…)
You can see the result in the 2-on-2 game Bo and I are currently playing. Even with good Japan dice on J1, as we move in to Round 2, Japan had to place their TRNs in SZ61 instead of 60, the SZ52 fleet is dead, and China was taken so lightly that the Americans counter-attacked and liberated it on US1. And Japan is down half their fleet (missing their SUB, DST, 1 AC, 1 BB, 1 TRN) and half their AF (almost, down 2 FIG, 1 BOM out of 7 initial aircraft). Japan only has 4 INF in Asia at the start of J2, instead of 4+ in China alone.
$103 IPC’s of Japan Navy/AF killed and $15 IPC of INF killed. And Japan is back to $30 IPC current income for the start of their J2 move.
And with some shifting of USSR forces, India is secure for at least J2, Japan has to re-attack China, and Bury, though winnable, will now take a concentration of nearly the entire Japan force to take it with barely any land units surviving… all for “$1 of permafrost” as Jen calls it.
That is a HELL of a slow-down of the Imperial Forces, giving Russia a full extra turn to go all out on Germany as the US and UK gear up in Europe…
And UK still has a SUB and TRN floating around…