@Jennifer:
If Russia looses her capital to Japan in teh same turn that Germany looses her capital to England, who wins? (Assuming neither capital can be recaptured and each country had relatively the same IPC value (about 10-13) on hand at the time of capture?
Read the post.
If neither capital can be recaptured, the Allies will win.
The whole thing about the Axis winning in a capital trade is if Japan and Germany still have forces that can be used to recapture Berlin. Then the outcome is clearly in favor of the Axis - that is, if Tokyo and Berlin and Moscow are securely in Axis hands.
But if the Axis cannot retake Berlin, and can NEVER retake Berlin (for some odd reason), then it’s a simple matter of IPCs. The US will have around 36 (assume some losses in Asia and possibly Brazil or Alaska or something like that). UK around 50 (up Germany and two or three 3 IPC countries for up 19, assume Allies have control of Africa, which is reasonable given a KGF plan anyways) and Japan around 52 (up Soviet Far East, Yakut, Novosibrisk, Evenki, Russia, probably Kazakh, India, Ssinkiang, China).
So IF THE AXIS CANNOT RETAKE BERLIN, who is clearly going to win in the end? UK can pump out 16 infantry a turn, and doesn’t need to build a navy. Japan needs to pump out infantry while protecting its navy. US can make trouble. The result is clear!
U-505 makes some good points, but those points are really more relevant in a situation in which one of the capitals CAN be recaptured in 2-3 turns.