I’ll leave it here. Should be enough to show how a game could play out. The challenge with the Allies - especially the US - is to keep a steady supply of supply and forces flowing to the front. Easier said than done, though. Gets really hard as the Allies drive further east. The job of the Germans here is the same as that of the French in the 1940 scenario: delay the Allied advance and wait until the Allies have overextended themselves and are short on supply, then hit. Preferably before the Operation Dragoon Allied armies show up on the south east of the board. While doing all this, slowly start to build and man up the Siegfried Line to provide a strong defensive barrier. Because by the time the Allies get to the German frontier, they are very strong.
Western Front 1940 scenario
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Here is the set up for The Battle of France scenario. Game starts on May 10, 1940.
This game is available through Combat Miniatures:
https://combatminiatures.org/collections/historical-board-games/products/world-war-ii-on-the-western-front -
End of the German first turn. Decided to ignore Holland and focus on an all out drive the Brussels.
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End of the Allied first turn. Tried to counterattack Verdun and Brussels but failed. British are building up a second BEF.
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Turn 2. Hitting Sedan.
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Breakthrough in Sedan. Now doing an exploit attack on Reims.
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End of the German second turn.
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End of the Allied turn 2. France kicked the Germans out of Reims and decimated the German tanks at great cost.
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End of the 3rd German turn. Broke through again and took Paris. Might have been a bad idea …
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End of allied turn 3. Yup, was a mistake to drive so deep into Allied territory
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End of german turn 4. Opened a lifeline to Paris.
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And the Allies hold the line by bringing in reinforcements from the Commonwealth and Algeria. A fair bit of back and forth in this game. Still hard to say who is going to win this game, even though the Germans are likely to hold Paris, they have lost their tank strength to keep pushing forward. Here they will need to rebuild the tanks and bring them forward, which will take time. The German planes need to be rebased closer to the front as well, and getting supply up to the front is starting to be challenging. And the British are now in France with some real strength.
I’ll leave it here. This should be enough to demonstrate how a game would play out with lots of back and forth. If the Allied player groups his tanks and mech properly, and uses his airforce enmasse, then yes, the Allies do have an even chance to defeat the Germans. Usually best to delay the German advance and wait until German supplies are stretched thin - usually when they are gunning for Paris - , then attack in force with the aim of cutting them off.