I haven’t played this out yet, but I’m curious about what follows.
Assuming the UK does the bomber placement and the attack succeeds with likely significant losses, it seems their situation is still not ideal… they received no new land units UK1, and they won’t have many arriving UK2 or or UK3. The most they could do for immediate support is reinforce Malta with fighters.
Germany/Italy on the other hand both receive a decent amount of RP turn 1 to place ground units, and probably won’t have any convoy interdiction R1 and possibly R2. The ground balance should swing possibly even heavier into the Axis favor over R2 and R3. Though maybe the UK gets a longer respite to build up in Tobruk? Holding Tobruk longer does result in a better RP balance in favor of the UK later if they can hold on to that plus Malta.
Is the main concern here that this counterattack disrupts the Axis timetable that is necessary to put Cairo under risk so that the Axis can at least attempt for a total victory? Or is it about the UK maintaining a more healthy RP balance over the Axis?





