I think Japan still would have invaded the Soviet Union though, if the Second Sino-Japanese War continued (the oil embargo only really happened once they invaded Indochina).
Other than that I agree with you. That would be curious alternate reality.
Whether you live in Europe or you come to Europe think about visiting this:
https://www.oorlogsmuseum.nl/en/
Especially the D-Day Experience is said to be a highlight:
https://www.oorlogsmuseum.nl/en/the-museum/exhibitions/d-dex/
I haven’t been there personally, yet, but would love to hear from others what they experienced …
@Panther Looks cool! Thanks for sharing!