@gamerman01
I did not mean my comment from a 20/20 hindsight obviously with that bad roll you shouldn’t have taken it talk but from a I have been there done that before.
I stayed silent because I know crazy dice rolls happen in this game, I do not comment much on posts and the previous turn did not warrant a response since you didn’t say anything either. Yeah, a 1% happened on the German air force this turn, but you also rolled a 5/6 on turn 4 with me rolling 0/5, which, without doing the math, is probably close to a 2% or less chance. Based on that, you came into this battle with at least 1-2 more planes than you should have. Even then in this battle you rolled up again with your plane attack, taking out an extra unit, its just the allies hit back harder than expected.
I say you shouldn’t have made the attack because that is just a thing I also learned the hard way not to attack the allied fleet since eventually the Germans come up short having to replace planes constantly. That and eventually you will get a bad roll that comes up or the allies roll hot, like happened in our original tournament game, its like the gamble of the AAA fires, great if they miss but when it hits it hurts a lot. Ftrs are so expensive that replacing them hurts your ability to push into Russia since you are losing on 4inf with the buy.
Looking at the board state I can tell you that Germany despite the constant killing of the allied fleet could not move forward past East Europe just because you have spent a lot of IPC into the air force. This is all pending non-insane dice of course.