R1 2 Fighters on Archangel
Or, at least 1, anyways.
One of the applications of Archangel fighters is threatening Buryatia, which is usually pretty silly. USSR wants to devote scarce air power to a 1 IPC territory in far east, can only be used to counter Karelia out of all Europe next turn, and Japan just wipes out whatever ground USSR committed to recapturing Buryatia? Really? Ugh.
And if Japan commits towards capturing Buryatia, slowing J push to India? Well really now. USSR is the major Allied stack controller in Europe for quite some time. If USSR is to challenge the German stack, one should be able to see how an additional 12 IPC worth of units should make a difference in terms of pressure that can be applied. USSR bleeding out against Japan is the dream scenario for Axis, PLEASE bleed USSR out against Japan so strengthen the round 4 German-USSR balance in Europe, PLEASE do!
So it should be understood, USSR threatening Buryatia is usually a paper tiger threat.
But what if that weren’t the case?
UK Bomber at Kazakh
What happens if UK1 doesn’t hit the G Med fleet? Suppose UK1 instead flies bomber to Kazakh. And here I’ll say again, there’s a lot I’ll leave out, like what happens if G1 retained control of Ukraine so landed fighters on? Then UK1 bomber to Kazakh gets destroyed on G2 before UK2 can move to safety. So in this theoretical scenario we assume R1 successfully captured Ukraine, or G1 decided not to stack Ukraine; in either event UK has this information before UK commits to its move so it moves the UK bomber or not accordingly. But let’s say for this theoretical scenario UK1 bomber on Kazakh is safe.
Okay what then?
Then if USSR has a fighter on Archangel, then R2 has a credible threat to recapture Buryatia even if Japan moves 3 infantry from Manchuria in. If R2 does that, UK can land bomber on Buryatia safely while that bomber threatens both Japan’s sea zones.
AMAZING! But not really, right? Because Japan can leave a battleship escorting existing / newly built transports, and lone bomber vs lone battleship only has 18% to clear (6% to win outright). Bombers are expensive and it’s not a great attack. If it pays off, great, but it probably won’t.
And if Japan decides to put a little more on defense, like a carrier or destroyer? Then UK has even less to attack with.
But let’s look at it, really. Does UK really only have 1 bomber to threaten?
Not necessarily. The sea zone west of Japan can be hit by 2 UK fighters and a bomber, assuming UK1 2 fighters on Szechwan.
And if UK builds 2 bombers on India, UK can even threaten with 2 fighters 3 bomber. Well, the sea zone east of Japan can only be reached by 3 bomber but . . . ?
But maybe not. Because if UK has a carrier at India sea zone, the fighters have a landing zone even if hitting the sea zone east of Japan.
Dream Vs Reality: I Can Be Everything Everywhere All At Once Or Something Or Maybe Not
So at this point maybe some players start getting excited, thinking about how they can overload threats against Japan with lines that also transition well against Germany. But it really doesn’t work that way. Sure, a player can pull off “tricks” but in the end fighters have better defense than bombers. Infantry take time to push forward. Tanks are expensive. The map is what it is, so logistics are what they are, and optimized lines are what they are. Maybe a player gets a better idea of how much they can move around within probabilistic boundaries, and realizes preconceptions of “hard” boundaries are perhaps a lot fuzzier when seen up close, but in the end there are still some probabilistic realities that need to be dealt with.
So here, what are the realities? Japan has a pretty massive starting fleet that UK cannot take head on by itself. Japan has the income, Japan has the logistics. If UK tries to play “tricks” with expensive units like bombers or carriers, if Japan keeps a level head UK’s expensive “tricks” end up costing too much in the long term considering the temporary gain. At least, that’s how we MIGHT think about things (maybe all those are assumptions that should be challenged.)
Overloading Japan
To appropriate a chess term, “overloading” is when a piece ends up just needing to do too much defensively.
So what does Japan ideally want to do? On J1, Japan wants to avoid US moving to Iwo Jima with destroyer + air, threatening any new Japanese naval builds. Japan can deal with such a US move by moving its main fleet to Japan’s sea zones and reinforcing, but this restricts Japan’s movement, particularly a consolidated Japan fleet means Japan isn’t free to drop to Yunnan sea zone, which affects its timing on India. Make sense?
Sure, US1 to Iwo Jima is a bit of an aside to the OP’s question about pressuring Japan without US commit. But contextualizing again, turn order is important. Japan doesn’t know what US will do. So Japan has to handle the US1 to Iwo Jima threat without knowing if US will actually follow through.
If Japan doesn’t hit US Hawaiian Islands fleet there’s also the US1 to sz45 (northeast of Australia), threatening US2 3 fighters to India. Which has its tradeoffs of course; if Allies want to send US into Mediterranean to bleed Germany out, one can see where US3 threat on Med is not really compatible with US2 fighters on India. Or for those that don’t, basically Germany has threats to sea zone west of Morocco and south of Italy; Axis typically control a lot of territory surrounding that early so Allies don’t really have safe landing zones. As Allies can’t move fighters around freely, transitioning between India-region fighters and Med pressure is not a “natural” transition. So, again leaving a lot out, this is where US1 to Morocco (sacrificing transport) and US second carrier start to be more of a thing. Explicitly, moves that are bad in the short term can make sense in the long term.
But back to overloading Japan. Besides threatening the Iwo Jima sea zone, Japan also wants to threaten the Solomon Islands sea zone, the sea zone northeast of Australia if J doesn’t hit Hawaiian Islands fleet, and the India sea zone with a destroyer+ to prevent UK sub builds. Plus Japan wants to defend the sea zones around Japan against up to a pretty massive threat as was described above.
So one sees, Japan can definitely do multiple, but not necessarily everything well.
Connecting The Pieces
Simply, you see where USSR1 fighter on Archangel, USSR1 capture of Ukraine, and UK1 bomber on Kazakh (and potential India bombers buy) are connected, plus India sea zone carrier.
And though not explicitly described, one may sort of guess at some of the adds. Like really, what happens if UK1 leaves a naked carrier in India sea zone? Japan smashes with battleship/carrier/2 fighters? Really? Then UK2 counters with 2 fighters 3 bombers, maybe 1-2 subs? Or maybe Japan just sends fighters to clear the UK carrier, then Japan risks fighters, and has less to hit ground targets with.
Or let’s say Japan hits Hawaiian Islands fleet or doesn’t hit it. If Japan hits then Japan doesn’t have to think about Solomons / Iwo Jima / northeast of Australia so much. But that will bleed out at least one Japanese fighter, and restrict the options J2 has against Asia.
(continued)