Intercept in W Germany?
China will attack Yunnan with 4inf 1art 1ftr. Will you scramble?
All these questions drive me crazy.
Wasn’t good for Mussolini. With the bad result on the first go I can understand you wanted another shot. Could’ve worked, but this was of course worse. I’ll try to not assume so much regarding scrambles, but rather await your decisions.
The difference in TUV between the two results was just 8 though.
Oh, wait, perhaps not.
wasnt based on dice at all but average expected outcome. of course average does not mean it will be better than even a bad initial roll lol. oh well i would still make same decision again especially with even a small possibility of killing uk fighters and german counter on british fleet
Yes, seems correct.
First was +26.
Second +34.
Expected TUV was +10.
@jkeller said in L21 playoff OOB jkeller(X) vs trulpen (L+43):
wasnt based on dice at all but average expected outcome. of course average does not mean it will be better than even a bad initial roll lol. oh well i would still make same decision again especially with even a small possibility of killing uk fighters and german counter on british fleet
Yep, that actually makes a lot of sense.
initial roll was -28 vs -20 expected. adjusted battle was -44 vs a -10 expected. but i would do it again
ya first one -26. second one -44
Game History
Round: 9
Research Technology - Germans
Purchase Units - Germans
Germans repair damage of 3x factory_minor; Remaining resources: 77 PUs;
Germans buy 1 artillery, 1 fighter, 13 infantry and 6 mech_infantrys; Remaining resources: 0 PUs;
Combat Move - Germans
1 mech_infantry moved from Volgograd to Kazakhstan
4 infantry moved from Volgograd to Kazakhstan
1 infantry moved from Smolensk to Vologda
1 bomber moved from Western Germany to Vologda
1 infantry moved from Volgograd to Samara
1 infantry moved from Tambov to Samara
11 armour and 22 mech_infantrys moved from Volgograd to Northwest Persia
1 bomber moved from Southern Italy to Samara
4 fighters moved from Western Germany to 97 Sea Zone
2 fighters moved from Southern Italy to 97 Sea Zone
1 infantry moved from Smolensk to Vologda
1 infantry moved from Archangel to Vologda
Combat - Germans
Battle in 97 Sea Zone
Germans attack with 6 fighters
British defend with 1 destroyer; Americans defend with 1 submarine
1 submarine owned by the Americans submerged
Germans roll dice for 6 fighters in 97 Sea Zone, round 2 : 4/6 hits, 3.00 expected hits
Americans roll dice for 1 destroyer in 97 Sea Zone, round 2 : 0/1 hits, 0.33 expected hits
1 destroyer owned by the British lost in 97 Sea Zone
Germans win with 6 fighters remaining. Battle score for attacker is 8
Casualties for British: 1 destroyer
Battle in Northwest Persia
Germans attack with 11 armour and 22 mech_infantrys
British defend with 3 artilleries, 1 fighter, 6 infantry and 1 tactical_bomber
Germans roll dice for 11 armour and 22 mech_infantrys in Northwest Persia, round 2 : 9/33 hits, 9.17 expected hits
British roll dice for 3 artilleries, 1 fighter, 6 infantry and 1 tactical_bomber in Northwest Persia, round 2 : 2/11 hits, 4.17 expected hits
3 artilleries owned by the British, 2 mech_infantrys owned by the Germans and 6 infantry owned by the British lost in Northwest Persia
Germans roll dice for 11 armour and 20 mech_infantrys in Northwest Persia, round 3 : 10/31 hits, 8.83 expected hits
British roll dice for 1 fighter and 1 tactical_bomber in Northwest Persia, round 3 : 2/2 hits, 1.17 expected hits
1 tactical_bomber owned by the British, 2 mech_infantrys owned by the Germans and 1 fighter owned by the British lost in Northwest Persia
Germans win, taking Northwest Persia from British with 11 armour and 18 mech_infantrys remaining. Battle score for attacker is 35
Casualties for Germans: 4 mech_infantrys
Casualties for British: 3 artilleries, 1 fighter, 6 infantry and 1 tactical_bomber
Battle in Kazakhstan
Germans attack with 4 infantry and 1 mech_infantry
Russians defend with 1 infantry
Germans roll dice for 4 infantry and 1 mech_infantry in Kazakhstan, round 2 : 2/5 hits, 0.83 expected hits
Russians roll dice for 1 infantry in Kazakhstan, round 2 : 0/1 hits, 0.33 expected hits
1 infantry owned by the Russians lost in Kazakhstan
Germans win, taking Kazakhstan from Russians with 4 infantry and 1 mech_infantry remaining. Battle score for attacker is 3
Casualties for Russians: 1 infantry
Battle in Samara
Germans attack with 1 bomber and 2 infantry
Russians defend with 1 infantry
Germans roll dice for 1 bomber and 2 infantry in Samara, round 2 : 1/3 hits, 1.00 expected hits
Russians roll dice for 1 infantry in Samara, round 2 : 0/1 hits, 0.33 expected hits
1 infantry owned by the Russians lost in Samara
Germans win, taking Samara from Russians with 1 bomber and 2 infantry remaining. Battle score for attacker is 3
Casualties for Russians: 1 infantry
Battle in Vologda
Germans attack with 1 bomber and 3 infantry
Russians defend with 1 artillery and 1 infantry
Germans roll dice for 1 bomber and 3 infantry in Vologda, round 2 : 1/4 hits, 1.17 expected hits
Russians roll dice for 1 artillery and 1 infantry in Vologda, round 2 : 0/2 hits, 0.67 expected hits
1 infantry owned by the Russians lost in Vologda
Germans roll dice for 1 bomber and 3 infantry in Vologda, round 3 : 3/4 hits, 1.17 expected hits
Russians roll dice for 1 artillery in Vologda, round 3 : 0/1 hits, 0.33 expected hits
1 artillery owned by the Russians lost in Vologda
Germans win, taking Vologda from Russians with 1 bomber and 3 infantry remaining. Battle score for attacker is 7
Casualties for Russians: 1 artillery and 1 infantry
Non Combat Move - Germans
3 infantry moved from Novgorod to Archangel
2 infantry moved from Novgorod to Archangel
1 bomber moved from Samara to Volgograd
3 artilleries moved from Ukraine to Bryansk
3 artilleries moved from Belarus to Bryansk
2 mech_infantrys moved from Poland to Belarus
1 infantry moved from Archangel to Smolensk
1 transport moved from 115 Sea Zone to 114 Sea Zone
2 infantry moved from Germany to 114 Sea Zone
2 infantry and 1 transport moved from 114 Sea Zone to 115 Sea Zone
2 infantry moved from 115 Sea Zone to Novgorod
8 mech_infantrys moved from Western Germany to Slovakia Hungary
1 mech_infantry moved from Western Germany to Slovakia Hungary
1 bomber moved from Vologda to Archangel
1 fighter moved from 97 Sea Zone to Volgograd
2 fighters moved from 97 Sea Zone to Southern Italy
3 fighters moved from 97 Sea Zone to Western Germany
2 aaGuns moved from France to Western Germany
Place Units - Germans
3 infantry placed in Ukraine
3 infantry placed in Volgograd
Germans undo move 1.
1 artillery and 2 infantry placed in Ukraine
3 infantry placed in Novgorod
2 infantry placed in Germany
3 infantry placed in France
1 fighter and 6 mech_infantrys placed in Western Germany
Germans undo move 5.
1 infantry placed in Western Germany
2 infantry placed in France
Turn Complete - Germans
Total Cost from Convoy Blockades: 2
Rolling for Convoy Blockade Damage in 97 Sea Zone. Rolls: 3,1
Germans collect 62 PUs (2 lost to blockades); end with 62 PUs
Trigger Germans 5 Swedish Iron Ore: Germans met a national objective for an additional 5 PUs; end with 67 PUs
Objective Germans 6 Control Iraq Or Persia Or Northwest Persia: Germans met a national objective for an additional 2 PUs; end with 69 PUs
Objective Germans 3 Control Caucasus: Germans met a national objective for an additional 5 PUs; end with 74 PUs
Objective Germans 2 Control Novgorod Or Volgograd Or Russia: Germans met a national objective for an additional 10 PUs; end with 84 PUs
Combat Hit Differential Summary :
Americans regular : -0.33
Russians regular : -1.67
Germans regular : 4.83
British regular : -1.33
Russia roars.
R9 L21 SF jkeller vs trulpen (+43) OOB.tsvg
Game History
Round: 9
Purchase Units - Russians Russians buy 5 artilleries and 2 infantry; Remaining resources: 0 PUs; Combat Move - Russians 1 infantry moved from Novosibirsk to Timguska Russians take Timguska from Germans 2 artilleries and 4 infantry moved from Russia to Vologda 2 artilleries and 4 infantry moved from Russia to Samara 1 infantry moved from Russia to Smolensk 1 fighter moved from Russia to Smolensk 5 infantry moved from Russia to Samara 1 infantry moved from Russia to Samara 4 infantry moved from Russia to Samara 1 infantry moved from Russia to Smolensk 6 infantry moved from Russia to Vologda 1 infantry moved from Russia to Samara Combat - Russians Battle in Smolensk Russians attack with 1 fighter and 2 infantry Germans defend with 1 infantry Russians roll dice for 1 fighter and 2 infantry in Smolensk, round 2 : 1/3 hits, 0,83 expected hits Germans roll dice for 1 infantry in Smolensk, round 2 : 0/1 hits, 0,33 expected hits 1 infantry owned by the Germans lost in Smolensk Russians win, taking Smolensk from Germans with 1 fighter and 2 infantry remaining. Battle score for attacker is 3 Casualties for Germans: 1 infantry Battle in Samara Russians attack with 2 artilleries and 15 infantry Germans defend with 2 infantry Russians roll dice for 2 artilleries and 15 infantry in Samara, round 2 : 2/17 hits, 3,50 expected hits Germans roll dice for 2 infantry in Samara, round 2 : 0/2 hits, 0,67 expected hits 2 infantry owned by the Germans lost in Samara Russians win, taking Samara from Germans with 2 artilleries and 15 infantry remaining. Battle score for attacker is 6 Casualties for Germans: 2 infantry Battle in Vologda Russians attack with 2 artilleries and 10 infantry Germans defend with 3 infantry Russians roll dice for 2 artilleries and 10 infantry in Vologda, round 2 : 4/12 hits, 2,67 expected hits Germans roll dice for 3 infantry in Vologda, round 2 : 1/3 hits, 1,00 expected hits 1 infantry owned by the Russians and 3 infantry owned by the Germans lost in Vologda Russians win, taking Vologda from Germans with 2 artilleries and 9 infantry remaining. Battle score for attacker is 6 Casualties for Russians: 1 infantry Casualties for Germans: 3 infantry Non Combat Move - Russians 1 fighter moved from Smolensk to Russia 1 aaGun moved from Russia to Samara 1 aaGun moved from Russia to Vologda 1 submarine moved from 99 Sea Zone to 97 Sea Zone 2 aaGuns and 9 infantry moved from Amur to Buryatia 1 infantry moved from Russia to Vologda 1 infantry moved from Russia to Samara 1 infantry moved from Russia to Samara 1 armour moved from Tobruk to Egypt Place Units - Russians 5 artilleries and 2 infantry placed in Russia Turn Complete - Russians Russians collect 16 PUs; end with 16 PUs Objective Russians 2 Spread Of Communism: Russians met a national objective for an additional 9 PUs; end with 25 PUs
Combat Hit Differential Summary :
Germans regular : -1,00
Russians regular : 0,00
i still dont have a good grasp of these sea rules in this version. Can transport load in combat move with a sub in the sea zone? can it offload in a seazone with a lone sub?
@jkeller said in L21 playoff OOB jkeller(X) vs trulpen (L+43):
i still dont have a good grasp of these sea rules in this version. Can transport load in combat move with a sub in the sea zone? can it offload in a seazone with a lone sub?
Yes, I think it can ignore a sub when loading. When offloading another warship has to accompany it though in order to be able to ignore it. Anything works for that task, even a sub.
@trulpen ok thats what I surmised from the rulebook.
Another lone infantry wins battle LOL this is crazy.
Game History
Round: 9
Purchase Units - Japanese
Japanese repair damage of 1x factory_minor; Remaining resources: 55 PUs; 6 SuicideAttackTokens;
Japanese buy 3 destroyers, 1 fighter and 7 infantry; Remaining resources: 0 PUs; 6 SuicideAttackTokens;
Combat Move - Japanese
1 artillery moved from Malaya to 37 Sea Zone
2 infantry moved from Malaya to 37 Sea Zone
1 infantry and 1 transport moved from 37 Sea Zone to 36 Sea Zone
1 artillery moved from French Indo China to 36 Sea Zone
1 artillery, 1 infantry and 1 transport moved from 36 Sea Zone to 42 Sea Zone
1 artillery moved from 42 Sea Zone to Java
1 infantry moved from 42 Sea Zone to Java
1 artillery, 1 infantry and 1 transport moved from 37 Sea Zone to 41 Sea Zone
1 artillery moved from 41 Sea Zone to Sumatra
1 infantry moved from 41 Sea Zone to Sumatra
1 infantry moved from Yunnan to Burma
Japanese take Burma from UK_Pacific
1 bomber, 2 fighters and 4 tactical_bombers moved from Kwangsi to 35 Sea Zone
1 bomber, 2 fighters and 4 tactical_bombers moved from 35 Sea Zone to Philippines
1 tactical_bomber moved from Kwangsi to Philippines
1 submarine moved from 37 Sea Zone to 42 Sea Zone
1 destroyer moved from 37 Sea Zone to 41 Sea Zone
1 tactical_bomber moved from 37 Sea Zone to 41 Sea Zone
1 fighter moved from 37 Sea Zone to 41 Sea Zone
1 bomber moved from French Indo China to 35 Sea Zone
1 fighter moved from French Indo China to 20 Sea Zone
2 fighters moved from Japan to 20 Sea Zone
3 fighters moved from 6 Sea Zone to 21 Sea Zone
2 fighters moved from 6 Sea Zone to 21 Sea Zone
1 fighter moved from 6 Sea Zone to 21 Sea Zone
3 fighters moved from 6 Sea Zone to 20 Sea Zone
1 bomber moved from 35 Sea Zone to Philippines
1 fighter moved from 6 Sea Zone to 21 Sea Zone
1 tactical_bomber moved from Kwangsi to 20 Sea Zone
Combat - Japanese
Japanese creates battle in territory 37 Sea Zone
Battle in Java
Japanese attack with 1 artillery and 1 infantry
Americans defend with 1 artillery
Japanese roll dice for 1 artillery and 1 infantry in Java, round 2 : 1/2 hits, 0.67 expected hits
Americans roll dice for 1 artillery in Java, round 2 : 0/1 hits, 0.33 expected hits
1 artillery owned by the Americans lost in Java
Japanese win, taking Java from Americans with 1 artillery and 1 infantry remaining. Battle score for attacker is 4
Casualties for Americans: 1 artillery
Battle in Philippines
Japanese attack with 2 bombers, 2 fighters and 5 tactical_bombers
Americans defend with 1 airfield, 1 harbour and 1 infantry
Japanese roll dice for 2 bombers, 2 fighters and 5 tactical_bombers in Philippines, round 2 : 3/9 hits, 5.17 expected hits
Americans roll dice for 1 infantry in Philippines, round 2 : 0/1 hits, 0.33 expected hits
1 infantry owned by the Americans lost in Philippines
Japanese win with 2 bombers, 2 fighters and 5 tactical_bombers remaining. Battle score for attacker is 3
Casualties for Americans: 1 infantry
Turning on Edit Mode
EDIT: Removing units owned by Japanese from 21 Sea Zone: 4 fighters
EDIT: Adding units owned by Japanese to 21 Sea Zone: 1 submarine
EDIT: Adding units owned by Japanese to 6 Sea Zone: 4 fighters
EDIT: Removing units owned by Japanese from 6 Sea Zone: 1 submarine
EDIT: Removing units owned by Japanese from Philippines: 1 bomber
EDIT: Adding units owned by Japanese to Philippines: 1 bomber
EDIT: Turning off Edit Mode
Turning on Edit Mode
EDIT: Removing units owned by Japanese from 21 Sea Zone: 1 submarine
EDIT: Adding units owned by Japanese to 6 Sea Zone: 1 submarine
EDIT: Removing units owned by Japanese from 6 Sea Zone: 2 fighters
EDIT: Adding units owned by Japanese to 21 Sea Zone: 3 carriers and 2 fighters
EDIT: Removing units owned by Japanese from 21 Sea Zone: 3 carriers
EDIT: Turning off Edit Mode
Battle in 21 Sea Zone
Japanese attack with 3 fighters
ANZAC defend with 1 destroyer
Japanese roll dice for 3 fighters in 21 Sea Zone, round 2 : 1/3 hits, 1.50 expected hits
ANZAC roll dice for 1 destroyer in 21 Sea Zone, round 2 : 0/1 hits, 0.33 expected hits
1 destroyer owned by the ANZAC lost in 21 Sea Zone
Japanese win with 3 fighters remaining. Battle score for attacker is 8
Casualties for ANZAC: 1 destroyer
Battle in 20 Sea Zone
Japanese attack with 6 fighters and 1 tactical_bomber
ANZAC defend with 1 destroyer
Japanese roll dice for 6 fighters and 1 tactical_bomber in 20 Sea Zone, round 2 : 5/7 hits, 3.67 expected hits
ANZAC roll dice for 1 destroyer in 20 Sea Zone, round 2 : 0/1 hits, 0.33 expected hits
1 destroyer owned by the ANZAC lost in 20 Sea Zone
Japanese win with 6 fighters and 1 tactical_bomber remaining. Battle score for attacker is 8
Casualties for ANZAC: 1 destroyer
Battle in 41 Sea Zone
Japanese attack with 1 destroyer, 1 fighter, 1 tactical_bomber and 1 transport
ANZAC defend with 1 submarine
Japanese roll dice for 1 destroyer, 1 fighter, 1 tactical_bomber and 1 transport in 41 Sea Zone, round 2 : 2/3 hits, 1.50 expected hits
ANZAC roll dice for 1 submarine in 41 Sea Zone, round 2 : 1/1 hits, 0.17 expected hits
1 destroyer owned by the Japanese and 1 submarine owned by the ANZAC lost in 41 Sea Zone
Japanese win with 1 fighter, 1 tactical_bomber and 1 transport remaining. Battle score for attacker is -2
Casualties for Japanese: 1 destroyer
Casualties for ANZAC: 1 submarine
Battle in Sumatra
Japanese attack with 1 artillery and 1 infantry
ANZAC defend with 1 infantry
Japanese roll dice for 1 artillery and 1 infantry in Sumatra, round 2 : 0/2 hits, 0.67 expected hits
ANZAC roll dice for 1 infantry in Sumatra, round 2 : 1/1 hits, 0.33 expected hits
1 infantry owned by the Japanese lost in Sumatra
Japanese roll dice for 1 artillery in Sumatra, round 3 : 0/1 hits, 0.33 expected hits
ANZAC roll dice for 1 infantry in Sumatra, round 3 : 0/1 hits, 0.33 expected hits
Japanese roll dice for 1 artillery in Sumatra, round 4 : 0/1 hits, 0.33 expected hits
ANZAC roll dice for 1 infantry in Sumatra, round 4 : 1/1 hits, 0.33 expected hits
1 artillery owned by the Japanese lost in Sumatra
ANZAC win with 1 infantry remaining. Battle score for attacker is -7
Casualties for Japanese: 1 artillery and 1 infantry
Non Combat Move - Japanese
Turning on Edit Mode
EDIT: Turning off Edit Mode
1 carrier, 1 cruiser and 1 submarine moved from 37 Sea Zone to 36 Sea Zone
1 tactical_bomber moved from 41 Sea Zone to 36 Sea Zone
1 fighter moved from 41 Sea Zone to 36 Sea Zone
1 fighter and 1 tactical_bomber moved from 36 Sea Zone to Kwangsi
5 fighters moved from 21 Sea Zone to 36 Sea Zone
2 bombers moved from Philippines to Kwangsi
1 tactical_bomber moved from Philippines to 35 Sea Zone
2 fighters and 4 tactical_bombers moved from Philippines to 36 Sea Zone
1 tactical_bomber moved from 35 Sea Zone to 36 Sea Zone
6 fighters and 1 tactical_bomber moved from 20 Sea Zone to Kwangsi
1 aaGun, 5 artilleries and 12 infantry moved from Yunnan to Burma
2 infantry moved from Shan State to Burma
1 artillery moved from Korea to 6 Sea Zone
2 artilleries moved from Japan to 6 Sea Zone
1 infantry moved from Korea to 6 Sea Zone
2 infantry moved from Japan to 6 Sea Zone
3 artilleries, 2 battleships, 5 carriers, 1 cruiser, 1 destroyer, 2 fighters, 3 infantry, 10 submarines and 3 transports moved from 6 Sea Zone to 36 Sea Zone
3 artilleries and 3 infantry moved from 36 Sea Zone to Kwangsi
3 infantry moved from Kwangtung to Kwangsi
3 infantry moved from French Indo China to Shan State
2 fighters moved from 36 Sea Zone to Kwangsi
Place Units - Japanese
3 destroyers placed in 36 Sea Zone
3 infantry placed in Kwangtung
1 fighter and 2 infantry placed in Japan
2 infantry placed in Korea
Turning on Edit Mode
EDIT: Removing units owned by Japanese from 6 Sea Zone: 1 submarine
EDIT: Adding units owned by Japanese to 36 Sea Zone: 1 submarine
EDIT: Turning off Edit Mode
Turning on Edit Mode
EDIT: Adding units owned by Japanese to Manchuria: 1 artillery and 1 infantry
EDIT: Removing units owned by Japanese from Korea: 1 artillery and 1 infantry
EDIT: Removing units owned by Japanese from Japan: 1 fighter
EDIT: Adding units owned by Japanese to Kwangsi: 1 fighter
EDIT: Turning off Edit Mode
Turn Complete - Japanese
Total Cost from Convoy Blockades: 15
Rolling for Convoy Blockade Damage in 42 Sea Zone. Rolls: 5,3
Rolling for Convoy Blockade Damage in 44 Sea Zone. Rolls: 3,3
Rolling for Convoy Blockade Damage in 43 Sea Zone. Rolls: 3,1
Rolling for Convoy Blockade Damage in 37 Sea Zone. Rolls: 6,3
Rolling for Convoy Blockade Damage in 36 Sea Zone. Rolls: 2,5
Japanese collect 44 PUs (15 lost to blockades); end with 44 PUs
Combat Hit Differential Summary :
Americans regular : -0.67
Japanese regular : -1.83
ANZAC regular : 1.17
Roll bombing on Ukraine for US.
aa
[dice 1d6=<1]
[dice 1d6<=1]