1 hit in sz111, OOL?
L21 playoff OOB jkeller(X) vs trulpen (L+43)
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average TUV swing seems to be less bad with scramble in sz97 so I will reroll it
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Which figs to scramble?
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3 Italian fighters
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If you need to adjust noncombat based on results I have no problem with that of course
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The rerolled battle.
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Adjusted. 2 UK-figs on the US-ac.
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@jkeller holy shit 34 ipc below expectation lol that was horrible
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Wasn’t good for Mussolini. With the bad result on the first go I can understand you wanted another shot. Could’ve worked, but this was of course worse. I’ll try to not assume so much regarding scrambles, but rather await your decisions.
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The difference in TUV between the two results was just 8 though.
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Oh, wait, perhaps not.
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wasnt based on dice at all but average expected outcome. of course average does not mean it will be better than even a bad initial roll lol. oh well i would still make same decision again especially with even a small possibility of killing uk fighters and german counter on british fleet
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Yes, seems correct.
First was +26.
Second +34.
Expected TUV was +10.
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@jkeller said in L21 playoff OOB jkeller(X) vs trulpen (L+43):
wasnt based on dice at all but average expected outcome. of course average does not mean it will be better than even a bad initial roll lol. oh well i would still make same decision again especially with even a small possibility of killing uk fighters and german counter on british fleet
Yep, that actually makes a lot of sense.
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initial roll was -28 vs -20 expected. adjusted battle was -44 vs a -10 expected. but i would do it again
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ya first one -26. second one -44
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Game History
Round: 9 Research Technology - Germans Purchase Units - Germans Germans repair damage of 3x factory_minor; Remaining resources: 77 PUs; Germans buy 1 artillery, 1 fighter, 13 infantry and 6 mech_infantrys; Remaining resources: 0 PUs; Combat Move - Germans 1 mech_infantry moved from Volgograd to Kazakhstan 4 infantry moved from Volgograd to Kazakhstan 1 infantry moved from Smolensk to Vologda 1 bomber moved from Western Germany to Vologda 1 infantry moved from Volgograd to Samara 1 infantry moved from Tambov to Samara 11 armour and 22 mech_infantrys moved from Volgograd to Northwest Persia 1 bomber moved from Southern Italy to Samara 4 fighters moved from Western Germany to 97 Sea Zone 2 fighters moved from Southern Italy to 97 Sea Zone 1 infantry moved from Smolensk to Vologda 1 infantry moved from Archangel to Vologda Combat - Germans Battle in 97 Sea Zone Germans attack with 6 fighters British defend with 1 destroyer; Americans defend with 1 submarine 1 submarine owned by the Americans submerged Germans roll dice for 6 fighters in 97 Sea Zone, round 2 : 4/6 hits, 3.00 expected hits Americans roll dice for 1 destroyer in 97 Sea Zone, round 2 : 0/1 hits, 0.33 expected hits 1 destroyer owned by the British lost in 97 Sea Zone Germans win with 6 fighters remaining. Battle score for attacker is 8 Casualties for British: 1 destroyer Battle in Northwest Persia Germans attack with 11 armour and 22 mech_infantrys British defend with 3 artilleries, 1 fighter, 6 infantry and 1 tactical_bomber Germans roll dice for 11 armour and 22 mech_infantrys in Northwest Persia, round 2 : 9/33 hits, 9.17 expected hits British roll dice for 3 artilleries, 1 fighter, 6 infantry and 1 tactical_bomber in Northwest Persia, round 2 : 2/11 hits, 4.17 expected hits 3 artilleries owned by the British, 2 mech_infantrys owned by the Germans and 6 infantry owned by the British lost in Northwest Persia Germans roll dice for 11 armour and 20 mech_infantrys in Northwest Persia, round 3 : 10/31 hits, 8.83 expected hits British roll dice for 1 fighter and 1 tactical_bomber in Northwest Persia, round 3 : 2/2 hits, 1.17 expected hits 1 tactical_bomber owned by the British, 2 mech_infantrys owned by the Germans and 1 fighter owned by the British lost in Northwest Persia Germans win, taking Northwest Persia from British with 11 armour and 18 mech_infantrys remaining. Battle score for attacker is 35 Casualties for Germans: 4 mech_infantrys Casualties for British: 3 artilleries, 1 fighter, 6 infantry and 1 tactical_bomber Battle in Kazakhstan Germans attack with 4 infantry and 1 mech_infantry Russians defend with 1 infantry Germans roll dice for 4 infantry and 1 mech_infantry in Kazakhstan, round 2 : 2/5 hits, 0.83 expected hits Russians roll dice for 1 infantry in Kazakhstan, round 2 : 0/1 hits, 0.33 expected hits 1 infantry owned by the Russians lost in Kazakhstan Germans win, taking Kazakhstan from Russians with 4 infantry and 1 mech_infantry remaining. Battle score for attacker is 3 Casualties for Russians: 1 infantry Battle in Samara Germans attack with 1 bomber and 2 infantry Russians defend with 1 infantry Germans roll dice for 1 bomber and 2 infantry in Samara, round 2 : 1/3 hits, 1.00 expected hits Russians roll dice for 1 infantry in Samara, round 2 : 0/1 hits, 0.33 expected hits 1 infantry owned by the Russians lost in Samara Germans win, taking Samara from Russians with 1 bomber and 2 infantry remaining. Battle score for attacker is 3 Casualties for Russians: 1 infantry Battle in Vologda Germans attack with 1 bomber and 3 infantry Russians defend with 1 artillery and 1 infantry Germans roll dice for 1 bomber and 3 infantry in Vologda, round 2 : 1/4 hits, 1.17 expected hits Russians roll dice for 1 artillery and 1 infantry in Vologda, round 2 : 0/2 hits, 0.67 expected hits 1 infantry owned by the Russians lost in Vologda Germans roll dice for 1 bomber and 3 infantry in Vologda, round 3 : 3/4 hits, 1.17 expected hits Russians roll dice for 1 artillery in Vologda, round 3 : 0/1 hits, 0.33 expected hits 1 artillery owned by the Russians lost in Vologda Germans win, taking Vologda from Russians with 1 bomber and 3 infantry remaining. Battle score for attacker is 7 Casualties for Russians: 1 artillery and 1 infantry Non Combat Move - Germans 3 infantry moved from Novgorod to Archangel 2 infantry moved from Novgorod to Archangel 1 bomber moved from Samara to Volgograd 3 artilleries moved from Ukraine to Bryansk 3 artilleries moved from Belarus to Bryansk 2 mech_infantrys moved from Poland to Belarus 1 infantry moved from Archangel to Smolensk 1 transport moved from 115 Sea Zone to 114 Sea Zone 2 infantry moved from Germany to 114 Sea Zone 2 infantry and 1 transport moved from 114 Sea Zone to 115 Sea Zone 2 infantry moved from 115 Sea Zone to Novgorod 8 mech_infantrys moved from Western Germany to Slovakia Hungary 1 mech_infantry moved from Western Germany to Slovakia Hungary 1 bomber moved from Vologda to Archangel 1 fighter moved from 97 Sea Zone to Volgograd 2 fighters moved from 97 Sea Zone to Southern Italy 3 fighters moved from 97 Sea Zone to Western Germany 2 aaGuns moved from France to Western Germany Place Units - Germans 3 infantry placed in Ukraine 3 infantry placed in Volgograd Germans undo move 1. 1 artillery and 2 infantry placed in Ukraine 3 infantry placed in Novgorod 2 infantry placed in Germany 3 infantry placed in France 1 fighter and 6 mech_infantrys placed in Western Germany Germans undo move 5. 1 infantry placed in Western Germany 2 infantry placed in France Turn Complete - Germans Total Cost from Convoy Blockades: 2 Rolling for Convoy Blockade Damage in 97 Sea Zone. Rolls: 3,1 Germans collect 62 PUs (2 lost to blockades); end with 62 PUs Trigger Germans 5 Swedish Iron Ore: Germans met a national objective for an additional 5 PUs; end with 67 PUs Objective Germans 6 Control Iraq Or Persia Or Northwest Persia: Germans met a national objective for an additional 2 PUs; end with 69 PUs Objective Germans 3 Control Caucasus: Germans met a national objective for an additional 5 PUs; end with 74 PUs Objective Germans 2 Control Novgorod Or Volgograd Or Russia: Germans met a national objective for an additional 10 PUs; end with 84 PUsCombat Hit Differential Summary :
Americans regular : -0.33 Russians regular : -1.67 Germans regular : 4.83 British regular : -1.33 -
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