Darn those Serbs! I think that was my third attempt on Greece? At 70% odds this was probably my best chance, even though 70% is not that high.
Game History
Round: 18 Research Technology - Austria Austria spend 0 on tech rolls Austria roll 5,4 and gets 0 hits Combat Move - Austria 7 cavalrys moved from Serbia to Greece 18 cavalrys, 16 field_guns and 4 fighters moved from Macedonia to Greece 1 cavalry moved from Albania to Greece 6 gass moved from Belgrade to Greece 5 field_guns moved from Galicia to Odessa 5 infantry moved from Galicia to Odessa 1 infantry moved from Venice to Tyrol 1 field_gun moved from Venice to Tyrol 2 infantry moved from Venice to Milan 1 field_gun moved from Venice to Milan 1 cavalry moved from Venice to Carinthia Austria take Carinthia from USA 1 cavalry moved from Carinthia to Trieste 1 infantry moved from Venice to Trieste 1 field_gun moved from Venice to Trieste Purchase Units - Austria Austria buy 6 cavalrys, 6 heavy_guns, 8 infantry, 1 late_fighter and 3 trenchs; Remaining resources: 7 PUs; 2 techTokens; Combat - Austria Battle in Greece Austria attack with 26 cavalrys, 16 field_guns, 4 fighters and 6 gass Serbia defend with 1 Factory, 11 field_guns, 1 fighter, 3 heavy_guns and 10 trenchs; France defend with 1 cavalry, 13 colonials, 1 field_gun and 3 heavy_guns Austria roll dice for 6 gass in Greece, round 2 : 4/6 hits, 5.00 expected hits 3 colonials owned by the France and 1 cavalry owned by the France lost in Greece 6 gass owned by the Austria lost in Greece Austria roll dice for 26 cavalrys, 16 field_guns and 4 fighters in Greece, round 2 : 19/46 hits, 17.00 expected hits Units damaged: 1 trench owned by the Serbia Serbia roll dice for 10 colonials, 12 field_guns, 1 fighter, 6 heavy_guns and 10 trenchs in Greece, round 2 : 17/29 hits, 12.33 expected hits 17 cavalrys owned by the Austria lost in Greece 9 trenchs owned by the Serbia lost in Greece Austria roll dice for 9 cavalrys, 16 field_guns and 4 fighters in Greece, round 3 : 16/29 hits, 12.33 expected hits Serbia roll dice for 10 colonials, 12 field_guns, 1 fighter, 6 heavy_guns and 1 trench in Greece, round 3 : 15/29 hits, 12.33 expected hits 9 cavalrys owned by the Austria, 2 field_guns owned by the Austria and 4 fighters owned by the Austria lost in Greece 5 field_guns owned by the Serbia, 1 trench owned by the Serbia and 10 colonials owned by the France lost in Greece Austria roll dice for 14 field_guns in Greece, round 4 : 7/14 hits, 7.00 expected hits Serbia roll dice for 7 field_guns, 1 fighter and 6 heavy_guns in Greece, round 4 : 9/14 hits, 7.33 expected hits 9 field_guns owned by the Austria lost in Greece 1 field_gun owned by the France and 6 field_guns owned by the Serbia lost in Greece 5 field_guns owned by the Austria retreated to Macedonia Serbia win with 1 fighter and 6 heavy_guns remaining. Battle score for attacker is -79 Casualties for France: 1 cavalry, 13 colonials and 1 field_gun Casualties for Austria: 26 cavalrys, 11 field_guns, 4 fighters and 6 gass Casualties for Serbia: 11 field_guns and 10 trenchs Battle in Trieste Austria attack with 1 cavalry, 1 field_gun and 1 infantry USA defend with 1 Factory and 1 cavalry Austria roll dice for 1 cavalry, 1 field_gun and 1 infantry in Trieste, round 2 : 1/3 hits, 1.00 expected hits USA roll dice for 1 cavalry in Trieste, round 2 : 0/1 hits, 0.17 expected hits 1 cavalry owned by the USA lost in Trieste Austria win, taking Trieste from USA with 1 cavalry, 1 field_gun and 1 infantry remaining. Battle score for attacker is 4 Casualties for USA: 1 cavalry Battle in Tyrol Austria attack with 1 field_gun and 1 infantry Italy defend with 1 field_gun Austria roll dice for 1 field_gun and 1 infantry in Tyrol, round 2 : 0/2 hits, 0.83 expected hits Italy roll dice for 1 field_gun in Tyrol, round 2 : 0/1 hits, 0.33 expected hits Austria roll dice for 1 field_gun and 1 infantry in Tyrol, round 3 : 2/2 hits, 0.83 expected hits Italy roll dice for 1 field_gun in Tyrol, round 3 : 0/1 hits, 0.33 expected hits 1 field_gun owned by the Italy lost in Tyrol Austria win, taking Tyrol from Italy with 1 field_gun and 1 infantry remaining. Battle score for attacker is 4 Casualties for Italy: 1 field_gun Battle in Milan Austria attack with 1 field_gun and 2 infantry Italy defend with 2 field_guns Austria roll dice for 1 field_gun and 2 infantry in Milan, round 2 : 1/3 hits, 1.00 expected hits Italy roll dice for 2 field_guns in Milan, round 2 : 1/2 hits, 0.67 expected hits 1 infantry owned by the Austria lost in Milan 1 field_gun owned by the Italy lost in Milan Austria roll dice for 1 field_gun and 1 infantry in Milan, round 3 : 1/2 hits, 0.83 expected hits Italy roll dice for 1 field_gun in Milan, round 3 : 0/1 hits, 0.33 expected hits 1 field_gun owned by the Italy lost in Milan Austria win, taking Milan from Italy with 1 field_gun and 1 infantry remaining. Battle score for attacker is 5 Casualties for Austria: 1 infantry Casualties for Italy: 2 field_guns Battle in Odessa Austria attack with 5 field_guns and 5 infantry Russia defend with 4 trenchs Austria roll dice for 5 field_guns and 5 infantry in Odessa, round 2 : 3/10 hits, 4.17 expected hits Units damaged: 3 trenchs owned by the Russia Russia roll dice for 4 trenchs in Odessa, round 2 : 0/4 hits, 0.67 expected hits 5 field_guns owned by the Austria and 5 infantry owned by the Austria retreated to Galicia Non Combat Move - Austria 1 infantry moved from Venice to Carinthia 8 cavalrys moved from Hungary to Serbia 1 tank moved from Hungary to Serbia Place Units - Austria 6 heavy_guns, 2 infantry and 3 trenchs placed in Galicia 6 cavalrys placed in Belgrade 6 infantry placed in Venice 1 late_fighter placed in Hungary Activate Technology - Austria Trigger AustriaS: Austria met a national objective for an additional 1 techTokens; end with 3 techTokens Turn Complete - Austria Austria collect 90 PUs; end with 97 PUs Austria collect 10 PUs from War Bonds; end with 107 PUs 3 units repaired.Combat Hit Differential Summary :
Italy regular : -0.67 Serbia regular : 9.00 USA regular : -0.17 Austria regular : 4.00 Russia regular : -0.67