L21 #3 trulpen (X+6) vs ArtofWar1947 (A) P2V


  • @trulpen

    Needed dice to be true in the US attack on Malaya to prevent 1 round with 7 VCs in the pacific. Game ends as it started.
    Congratulations on your superb play. I will post a well-deserved win.


  • @artofwar1947 said in L21 #3 trulpen (X+6) vs ArtofWar1947 (A) P2V:

    @trulpen

    Needed dice to be true in the US attack on Malaya to prevent 1 round with 7 VCs in the pacific. Game ends as it started.
    Congratulations on your superb play. I will post a well-deserved win.

    Yes, Malaya was the spot. Should probably have boosted it even more.

    I thought ANZAC had a follow-up attack, but perhaps I remember it wrong?


  • @trulpen

    True dice would have left 5 - 6 Japanese defenders on Malaya. Even if 6, a UK air attack could have reduced the number to 3 - 4. This would have given ANZAC almost a sure victory. As it is (with 8 defenders in Malaya), the UK air attack could be expected to reduce the defenders to 5, with only 2 UK fighters surviving. This would give ANZAC between a 74% and 82% chance of victory, with 1 or 2 fighters surviving. The surviving fighters would be enough to defend the US fleet in SZ 38 if SZ 43 were blocked. The Japanese would almost surely retake Malaya. The UK could counter attack with 2 inf and 2 art and surviving fighters, and ANZAC could counterattack with 1 inf and surviving fighters. However, if the Japanese fleet parked in SZ 132 and defended with 3 CV-based fighters, the counterattacks would be a tough go, and defending against a Japanese counterattack would be even less likely to succeed.
    It would be hard to break through any where else.
    So, it seemed pointless to continue.

    As you have already won 3 of 3 (which presumably makes playing the best of 5 irrelevant), I look forward to playing you again next year.


  • Great analysis, but it could be worth a shot to try it out. After all it’s a dice-game.

    Anyway, hope to be able to play next year.

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