here is some statistic on what people bid in bm306-03.PNG
axis-dominion vs ksmckay (allies) bm3
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you can take the dd after tipping the bb
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ok 2 sub hits, 6 others, so 8 casualties. Assumed dd and bb hit for sub shots, but you dont really have to make that decision until you see the rest of it so feel free to change it up
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ok then just max defense
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bb before figs
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bb last, italian ftr last?
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ok looks like I got fucked…
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not so great for you, first round was about average, and then second round went in my favor, you whiffed on defense and I cleared you out.
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6 ftr 1 tac survived for me
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but I know how much you hate convoys and no subs left in med so thats a win right!
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ah crap, you’re not gonna believe this, but I was looking at the battle calc with 9 planes, not 8. I wouldn’t have scrambled in that case. but that’s not your fault. what a bad oversight
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so I based my decision on a faulty calculation
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:( sorry!
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yah it’s too late now. and I only realized my oversight when I saw the last dice email with 5 rolls, instead of 6. cuz you said there were 8 casualties total, and it didn’t add up
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yeah that makes quite a difference. With only 8 planes I had 60%+ with +20 expected outcome no matter what
But with one more ftr it would drop to 40ish and a negative outcome.
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@ksmckay said in axis-dominion vs ksmckay (allies) bm3:
yeah that makes quite a difference. With only 8 planes I had 60%+ with +20 expected outcome no matter what
But with one more ftr it would drop to 40ish and a negative outcome.
yep that’s what I saw, barely 40 and slightly negative
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Didnt think you would scramble in the first case but wasnt sure and was willing to gamble, and then the dice helped me out.
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TripleA Turn Summary: UK_Pacific round 7
TripleA Turn Summary for game: World War II Global 1940 Balanced Mod3, version: 3.4
Game History
Round: 7 Purchase Units - Americans Americans buy 1 carrier, 1 destroyer, 2 fighters, 4 infantry, 2 submarines and 2 transports; Remaining resources: 0 PUs; Combat Move - Americans 1 infantry moved from Caroline Islands to 33 Sea Zone 1 artillery moved from Caroline Islands to 33 Sea Zone 1 artillery, 1 infantry and 1 transport moved from 33 Sea Zone to 34 Sea Zone 1 artillery and 1 infantry moved from 34 Sea Zone to Paulau Island 7 fighters and 1 tactical_bomber moved from 33 Sea Zone to Paulau Island 1 bomber moved from Caroline Islands to Paulau Island 1 submarine moved from 21 Sea Zone to 34 Sea Zone 1 bomber moved from Caroline Islands to Paulau Island 1 armour moved from Algeria to 92 Sea Zone 1 infantry moved from Algeria to 92 Sea Zone 1 infantry and 1 mech_infantry moved from Algeria to 92 Sea Zone 1 armour, 2 infantry, 1 mech_infantry and 2 transports moved from 92 Sea Zone to 99 Sea Zone 1 armour, 2 infantry and 1 mech_infantry moved from 99 Sea Zone to Cyprus 1 cruiser and 1 marine moved from 92 Sea Zone to 99 Sea Zone 1 marine moved from 99 Sea Zone to Cyprus 2 infantry and 1 transport moved from 92 Sea Zone to 99 Sea Zone 1 infantry moved from 99 Sea Zone to Greece 1 bomber moved from Gibraltar to Cyprus 2 fighters moved from 92 Sea Zone to 99 Sea Zone 1 destroyer moved from 92 Sea Zone to 99 Sea Zone Combat - Americans Battle in 34 Sea Zone Americans attack with 1 submarine and 1 transport Japanese defend with 1 transport 1 transport owned by the Japanese lost in 34 Sea Zone Americans roll dice for 1 submarine in 34 Sea Zone, round 2 : 1/1 hits, 0.33 expected hits Americans win with 1 submarine and 1 transport remaining. Battle score for attacker is 7 Casualties for Japanese: 1 transport Battle in 99 Sea Zone Americans attack with 1 cruiser, 1 destroyer, 2 fighters, 1 infantry and 3 transports Italians defend with 1 destroyer Americans roll dice for 1 cruiser, 1 destroyer, 2 fighters and 3 transports in 99 Sea Zone, round 2 : 2/4 hits, 1.83 expected hits Italians roll dice for 1 destroyer in 99 Sea Zone, round 2 : 1/1 hits, 0.33 expected hits 1 destroyer owned by the Italians and 1 destroyer owned by the Americans lost in 99 Sea Zone Americans win, taking 99 Sea Zone from Italians with 1 cruiser, 2 fighters and 3 transports remaining. Battle score for attacker is 0 Casualties for Americans: 1 destroyer Casualties for Italians: 1 destroyer Battle in Greece Battle in Paulau Island Americans attack with 1 artillery, 2 bombers, 7 fighters, 1 infantry and 1 tactical_bomber Japanese defend with 2 infantry Americans roll dice for 1 artillery, 2 bombers, 7 fighters, 1 infantry and 1 tactical_bomber in Paulau Island, round 2 : 6/12 hits, 6.17 expected hits Japanese roll dice for 2 infantry in Paulau Island, round 2 : 0/2 hits, 0.67 expected hits 2 infantry owned by the Japanese lost in Paulau Island Americans win, taking Greece from Italians, taking Paulau Island from Japanese with 1 artillery, 2 bombers, 7 fighters, 1 infantry and 1 tactical_bomber remaining. Battle score for attacker is 6 Casualties for Japanese: 2 infantry Battle in Cyprus Americans attack with 1 armour, 1 bomber, 2 infantry, 1 marine and 1 mech_infantry Italians defend with 1 artillery and 1 infantry Americans roll dice for 1 armour, 1 bomber, 2 infantry, 1 marine and 1 mech_infantry in Cyprus, round 2 : 2/6 hits, 2.00 expected hits Italians roll dice for 1 artillery and 1 infantry in Cyprus, round 2 : 2/2 hits, 0.67 expected hits 1 infantry owned by the Americans, 1 artillery owned by the Italians, 1 infantry owned by the Italians and 1 mech_infantry owned by the Americans lost in Cyprus Americans win, taking Cyprus from Italians with 1 armour, 1 bomber, 1 infantry and 1 marine remaining. Battle score for attacker is 0 Casualties for Americans: 1 infantry and 1 mech_infantry Casualties for Italians: 1 artillery and 1 infantry Non Combat Move - Americans 1 bomber moved from Cyprus to Syria 1 carrier and 1 destroyer moved from 92 Sea Zone to 91 Sea Zone 1 submarine moved from 93 Sea Zone to 91 Sea Zone 2 fighters moved from Eastern United States to Gibraltar 1 fighter moved from Gibraltar to 91 Sea Zone 2 fighters moved from Gibraltar to Egypt 1 aaGun moved from Algeria to Morocco 1 mech_infantry moved from Algeria to Libya 3 infantry and 1 mech_infantry moved from Central United States to 101 Sea Zone 3 infantry, 1 mech_infantry and 2 transports moved from 101 Sea Zone to 91 Sea Zone 3 infantry and 1 mech_infantry moved from 91 Sea Zone to Morocco 2 bombers, 7 fighters and 1 tactical_bomber moved from Paulau Island to 33 Sea Zone 1 fighter and 1 tactical_bomber moved from Wake Island to 33 Sea Zone 1 carrier and 1 destroyer moved from 26 Sea Zone to 33 Sea Zone 2 bombers moved from 33 Sea Zone to Caroline Islands 1 carrier and 1 destroyer moved from 10 Sea Zone to 26 Sea Zone 1 fighter moved from Western United States to Wake Island 1 fighter moved from Western United States to Wake Island 1 bomber moved from Western United States to Caroline Islands 1 carrier moved from 92 Sea Zone to 99 Sea Zone Place Units - Americans 1 transport placed in 10 Sea Zone 1 infantry placed in Western United States 1 transport placed in 101 Sea Zone 3 infantry placed in Central United States 2 fighters placed in Western United States 1 carrier, 1 destroyer and 2 submarines placed in 10 Sea Zone Turn Complete - Americans Total Cost from Convoy Blockades: 2 Rolling for Convoy Blockade Damage in 97 Sea Zone. Rolls: 3,6,3,2 Americans collect 52 PUs (2 lost to blockades); end with 52 PUs Trigger Americans 7 North Africa Beach Head: Americans met a national objective for an additional 5 PUs; end with 57 PUs Objective Americans 1 Homeland: Americans met a national objective for an additional 10 PUs; end with 67 PUs Objective Americans 9 Vital Forward Bases: Americans met a national objective for an additional 5 PUs; end with 72 PUs Objective Americans 3 Defense Obligations: Americans met a national objective for an additional 5 PUs; end with 77 PUs Objective Americans 2 Outer Territories: Americans met a national objective for an additional 5 PUs; end with 82 PUs Purchase Units - Chinese Trigger Chinese Loses Burma Road: Chinese has their production frontier changed to: productionChinese_Burma_Road_Closed Chinese buy 2 infantry; Remaining resources: 2 PUs; Combat Move - Chinese 1 artillery and 1 infantry moved from Shensi to Szechwan 2 infantry moved from Shensi to Kweichow 1 fighter moved from Tsinghai to Kweichow Combat - Chinese Battle in Kweichow Chinese attack with 1 fighter and 2 infantry Japanese defend with 1 mech_infantry Chinese roll dice for 1 fighter and 2 infantry in Kweichow, round 2 : 1/3 hits, 0.83 expected hits Japanese roll dice for 1 mech_infantry in Kweichow, round 2 : 0/1 hits, 0.33 expected hits 1 mech_infantry owned by the Japanese lost in Kweichow Chinese win, taking Kweichow from Japanese with 1 fighter and 2 infantry remaining. Battle score for attacker is 4 Casualties for Japanese: 1 mech_infantry Battle in Szechwan Chinese attack with 1 artillery and 1 infantry Japanese defend with 1 infantry Chinese roll dice for 1 artillery and 1 infantry in Szechwan, round 2 : 0/2 hits, 0.67 expected hits Japanese roll dice for 1 infantry in Szechwan, round 2 : 0/1 hits, 0.33 expected hits Chinese roll dice for 1 artillery and 1 infantry in Szechwan, round 3 : 1/2 hits, 0.67 expected hits Japanese roll dice for 1 infantry in Szechwan, round 3 : 0/1 hits, 0.33 expected hits 1 infantry owned by the Japanese lost in Szechwan Chinese win, taking Szechwan from Japanese with 1 artillery and 1 infantry remaining. Battle score for attacker is 3 Casualties for Japanese: 1 infantry Non Combat Move - Chinese 1 fighter moved from Kweichow to Shensi 2 infantry moved from Tsinghai to Shensi Place Units - Chinese 2 infantry placed in Shensi Turn Complete - Chinese Chinese collect 5 PUs; end with 7 PUs Purchase Units - British British buy 1 fighter, 1 harbour and 4 infantry; Remaining resources: 0 PUs; Purchase Units - UK_Pacific UK_Pacific buy 2 infantry; Remaining resources: 1 PUs; Combat Move - British 1 artillery, 1 fighter and 1 infantry moved from India to Burma 1 tactical_bomber moved from India to Northwest Persia 1 artillery and 2 infantry moved from Iraq to Northwest Persia 2 infantry moved from Trans-Jordan to 98 Sea Zone 2 infantry and 1 transport moved from 98 Sea Zone to 99 Sea Zone 1 artillery and 3 infantry moved from Algeria to 92 Sea Zone 1 artillery, 3 infantry and 2 transports moved from 92 Sea Zone to 99 Sea Zone 1 artillery and 5 infantry moved from 99 Sea Zone to Crete 1 cruiser and 1 destroyer moved from 92 Sea Zone to 97 Sea Zone 1 battleship and 2 cruisers moved from 92 Sea Zone to 99 Sea Zone 1 cruiser moved from 98 Sea Zone to 99 Sea Zone 3 fighters and 1 tactical_bomber moved from 98 Sea Zone to 97 Sea Zone 1 bomber and 1 fighter moved from Egypt to 97 Sea Zone 1 fighter moved from 92 Sea Zone to 97 Sea Zone 1 fighter and 1 submarine moved from 92 Sea Zone to 97 Sea Zone 1 submarine moved from 94 Sea Zone to 97 Sea Zone 1 submarine moved from 96 Sea Zone to 97 Sea Zone 2 submarines moved from 98 Sea Zone to 97 Sea Zone Combat - British Italians scrambles 3 units out of Northern Italy to defend against the attack in 97 Sea Zone Italians scrambles 2 units out of Yugoslavia to defend against the attack in 97 Sea Zone Italians scrambles 3 units out of Southern Italy to defend against the attack in 97 Sea Zone Battle in Crete British attack with 1 artillery and 5 infantry Italians defend with 2 infantry British roll dice for 1 battleship and 3 cruisers in Crete, round 2 : 2/4 hits, 2.17 expected hits Italians roll dice for 2 infantry in Crete, round 2 : 2/2 hits, 0.67 expected hits 2 infantry owned by the Italians and 2 infantry owned by the British lost in Crete British win, taking Crete from Italians with 1 artillery and 3 infantry remaining. Battle score for attacker is 0 Casualties for British: 2 infantry Casualties for Italians: 2 infantry Battle in Burma British attack with 1 artillery, 1 fighter and 1 infantry Japanese defend with 1 infantry British roll dice for 1 artillery, 1 fighter and 1 infantry in Burma, round 2 : 0/3 hits, 1.17 expected hits Japanese roll dice for 1 infantry in Burma, round 2 : 0/1 hits, 0.33 expected hits British roll dice for 1 artillery, 1 fighter and 1 infantry in Burma, round 3 : 0/3 hits, 1.17 expected hits Japanese roll dice for 1 infantry in Burma, round 3 : 0/1 hits, 0.33 expected hits British roll dice for 1 artillery, 1 fighter and 1 infantry in Burma, round 4 : 2/3 hits, 1.17 expected hits Japanese roll dice for 1 infantry in Burma, round 4 : 1/1 hits, 0.33 expected hits 1 infantry owned by the Japanese and 1 infantry owned by the British lost in Burma British win, taking Burma from Japanese with 1 artillery and 1 fighter remaining. Battle score for attacker is 0 Casualties for British: 1 infantry Casualties for Japanese: 1 infantry Battle in Northwest Persia British attack with 1 artillery, 2 infantry and 1 tactical_bomber Germans defend with 2 infantry British roll dice for 1 artillery, 2 infantry and 1 tactical_bomber in Northwest Persia, round 2 : 1/4 hits, 1.33 expected hits Germans roll dice for 2 infantry in Northwest Persia, round 2 : 1/2 hits, 0.67 expected hits 1 infantry owned by the Germans and 1 infantry owned by the British lost in Northwest Persia British roll dice for 1 artillery, 1 infantry and 1 tactical_bomber in Northwest Persia, round 3 : 0/3 hits, 1.17 expected hits Germans roll dice for 1 infantry in Northwest Persia, round 3 : 0/1 hits, 0.33 expected hits British roll dice for 1 artillery, 1 infantry and 1 tactical_bomber in Northwest Persia, round 4 : 3/3 hits, 1.17 expected hits Germans roll dice for 1 infantry in Northwest Persia, round 4 : 1/1 hits, 0.33 expected hits 1 infantry owned by the Germans and 1 infantry owned by the British lost in Northwest Persia British win, taking Northwest Persia from Germans with 1 artillery and 1 tactical_bomber remaining. Battle score for attacker is 0 Casualties for British: 2 infantry Casualties for Germans: 2 infantry Battle in 97 Sea Zone British attack with 1 bomber, 1 cruiser, 1 destroyer, 6 fighters, 5 submarines and 1 tactical_bomber Germans defend with 6 fighters and 1 tactical_bomber; Italians defend with 1 battleship, 2 cruisers, 1 destroyer and 1 fighter British roll dice for 5 submarines in 97 Sea Zone, round 2 : 2/5 hits, 1.67 expected hits Units damaged: 1 battleship owned by the Italians British roll dice for 1 bomber, 1 cruiser, 1 destroyer, 6 fighters and 1 tactical_bomber in 97 Sea Zone, round 2 : 6/10 hits, 5.17 expected hits Italians roll dice for 1 battleship, 2 cruisers, 1 destroyer, 7 fighters and 1 tactical_bomber in 97 Sea Zone, round 2 : 7/12 hits, 7.17 expected hits 1 destroyer owned by the Italians, 1 destroyer owned by the British, 2 cruisers owned by the Italians, 2 fighters owned by the Germans, 1 cruiser owned by the British, 1 tactical_bomber owned by the Germans, 1 battleship owned by the Italians and 5 submarines owned by the British lost in 97 Sea Zone British roll dice for 1 bomber, 6 fighters and 1 tactical_bomber in 97 Sea Zone, round 3 : 6/8 hits, 4.33 expected hits Italians roll dice for 5 fighters in 97 Sea Zone, round 3 : 2/5 hits, 3.33 expected hits 4 fighters owned by the Germans, 1 bomber owned by the British, 1 fighter owned by the Italians and 1 fighter owned by the British lost in 97 Sea Zone British win with 5 fighters and 1 tactical_bomber remaining. Battle score for attacker is 61 Casualties for British: 1 bomber, 1 cruiser, 1 destroyer, 1 fighter and 5 submarines Casualties for Italians: 1 battleship, 2 cruisers, 1 destroyer and 1 fighter Casualties for Germans: 6 fighters and 1 tactical_bomber Non Combat Move - British 5 fighters and 1 tactical_bomber moved from 97 Sea Zone to 99 Sea Zone 1 fighter moved from 99 Sea Zone to Cyprus 2 carriers and 1 destroyer moved from 98 Sea Zone to 99 Sea Zone 1 fighter moved from 99 Sea Zone to Cyprus 1 carrier and 1 destroyer moved from 92 Sea Zone to 91 Sea Zone 1 tactical_bomber moved from Northwest Persia to Iraq 1 fighter moved from Burma to India 2 infantry moved from Trans-Jordan to Syria 1 aaGun moved from Iraq to Syria 2 mech_infantrys moved from Egypt to Syria 1 armour moved from Libya to Alexandria 1 destroyer moved from 123 Sea Zone to 106 Sea Zone Place Units - British 1 harbour placed in Cyprus 3 infantry placed in Egypt 1 fighter and 1 infantry placed in United Kingdom Turn Complete - British British collect 33 PUs; end with 33 PUs Trigger British 3 No Enemy Submarines: British met a national objective for an additional 3 PUs; end with 36 PUs Objective British 4 Control Convoy Lanes: British met a national objective for an additional 3 PUs; end with 39 PUs Objective British 1 Original: British met a national objective for an additional 3 PUs; end with 42 PUs Place Units - UK_Pacific 2 infantry placed in India Turn Complete - UK_Pacific Total Cost from Convoy Blockades: 0 Rolling for Convoy Blockade Damage in 39 Sea Zone. Rolls: 5,6 UK_Pacific collect 6 PUs; end with 7 PUs Some Units in India change ownership: 2 infantryCombat Hit Differential Summary :
Germans : 0.67 Italians : 1.83 British : 1.50 Americans : 0.67 Chinese : -0.17 Japanese : -1.67 -
and I’m not able to get any convoy on india, again
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@axis-dominion said in axis-dominion vs ksmckay (allies) bm3:
@ksmckay said in axis-dominion vs ksmckay (allies) bm3:
yeah that makes quite a difference. With only 8 planes I had 60%+ with +20 expected outcome no matter what
But with one more ftr it would drop to 40ish and a negative outcome.
yep that’s what I saw, barely 40 and slightly negative
Yeah I wouldnt have been that bold and would have sent more. But thought as long as I kept it positive you wouldnt risk it which is probably the case.
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