Adam514 (Axis) vs axis-dominion (Allies +9) BM3

TripleA Turn Summary: Russians round 11

TripleA Turn Summary for game: World War II Global 1940 Balanced Mod3, version: 3.4

Game History

Round: 11

    Purchase Units - Russians
        Russians buy 5 infantry and 2 mech_infantrys; Remaining resources: 0 PUs; 

    Combat Move - Russians
        2 infantry moved from Novosibirsk to Vologda
        1 fighter moved from Russia to Vologda
        1 infantry moved from Russia to Vologda
        4 infantry moved from Russia to Smolensk
        1 fighter and 1 tactical_bomber moved from Russia to Smolensk
        3 infantry moved from Bryansk to Ukraine
        2 armour and 1 mech_infantry moved from Bryansk to Ukraine
        9 artilleries and 6 infantry moved from Russia to Tambov
        6 artilleries and 6 infantry moved from Bryansk to Rostov
        2 infantry moved from Bryansk to Western Ukraine
        1 artillery moved from Bryansk to Western Ukraine
        3 infantry moved from Samara to Kazakhstan

    Combat - Russians
        Battle in Ukraine
            Russians attack with 2 armour, 3 infantry and 1 mech_infantry
            Italians defend with 1 factory_minor and 1 mech_infantry
                Russians roll dice for 2 armour, 3 infantry and 1 mech_infantry in Ukraine, round 2 : 2/6 hits, 1.67 expected hits
                Italians roll dice for 1 mech_infantry in Ukraine, round 2 : 0/1 hits, 0.33 expected hits
                1 mech_infantry owned by the Italians lost in Ukraine
            Russians win, taking Ukraine from Italians with 2 armour, 3 infantry and 1 mech_infantry remaining. Battle score for attacker is 4
            Casualties for Italians: 1 mech_infantry
        Battle in Tambov
            Russians attack with 9 artilleries and 6 infantry
            Italians defend with 1 infantry
                Russians roll dice for 9 artilleries and 6 infantry in Tambov, round 2 : 5/15 hits, 5.00 expected hits
                Italians roll dice for 1 infantry in Tambov, round 2 : 0/1 hits, 0.33 expected hits
                1 infantry owned by the Italians lost in Tambov
            Russians win, taking Tambov from Italians with 9 artilleries and 6 infantry remaining. Battle score for attacker is 3
            Casualties for Italians: 1 infantry
        Battle in Western Ukraine
            Russians attack with 1 artillery and 2 infantry
            Germans defend with 1 infantry
                Russians roll dice for 1 artillery and 2 infantry in Western Ukraine, round 2 : 1/3 hits, 0.83 expected hits
                Italians roll dice for 1 infantry in Western Ukraine, round 2 : 0/1 hits, 0.33 expected hits
                1 infantry owned by the Germans lost in Western Ukraine
            Russians win, taking Western Ukraine from Italians with 1 artillery and 2 infantry remaining. Battle score for attacker is 3
            Casualties for Germans: 1 infantry
        Battle in Rostov
            Russians attack with 6 artilleries and 6 infantry
            Italians defend with 1 aaGun and 1 infantry
                Russians roll dice for 6 artilleries and 6 infantry in Rostov, round 2 : 6/12 hits, 4.00 expected hits
                Italians roll dice for 1 aaGun and 1 infantry in Rostov, round 2 : 1/1 hits, 0.33 expected hits
                1 infantry owned by the Russians, 1 aaGun owned by the Italians and 1 infantry owned by the Italians lost in Rostov
            Russians win, taking Rostov from Italians with 6 artilleries and 5 infantry remaining. Battle score for attacker is 5
            Casualties for Russians: 1 infantry
            Casualties for Italians: 1 aaGun and 1 infantry
        Battle in Smolensk
            Russians attack with 1 fighter, 4 infantry and 1 tactical_bomber
            Germans defend with 3 infantry
                Russians roll dice for 1 fighter, 4 infantry and 1 tactical_bomber in Smolensk, round 2 : 3/6 hits, 1.83 expected hits
                Germans roll dice for 3 infantry in Smolensk, round 2 : 3/3 hits, 1.00 expected hits
                3 infantry owned by the Russians and 3 infantry owned by the Germans lost in Smolensk
            Russians win, taking Smolensk from Germans with 1 fighter, 1 infantry and 1 tactical_bomber remaining. Battle score for attacker is 0
            Casualties for Russians: 3 infantry
            Casualties for Germans: 3 infantry
        Battle in Kazakhstan
            Russians attack with 3 infantry
            Italians defend with 1 infantry
                Russians roll dice for 3 infantry in Kazakhstan, round 2 : 1/3 hits, 0.50 expected hits
                Italians roll dice for 1 infantry in Kazakhstan, round 2 : 0/1 hits, 0.33 expected hits
                1 infantry owned by the Italians lost in Kazakhstan
            Russians win, taking Kazakhstan from Italians with 3 infantry remaining. Battle score for attacker is 3
            Casualties for Italians: 1 infantry
        Battle in Vologda
            Russians attack with 1 fighter and 3 infantry
            Germans defend with 1 infantry
                Russians roll dice for 1 fighter and 3 infantry in Vologda, round 2 : 0/4 hits, 1.00 expected hits
                Germans roll dice for 1 infantry in Vologda, round 2 : 1/1 hits, 0.33 expected hits
                1 infantry owned by the Russians lost in Vologda
                Russians roll dice for 1 fighter and 2 infantry in Vologda, round 3 : 1/3 hits, 0.83 expected hits
                Germans roll dice for 1 infantry in Vologda, round 3 : 0/1 hits, 0.33 expected hits
                1 infantry owned by the Germans lost in Vologda
            Russians win, taking Vologda from Germans with 1 fighter and 2 infantry remaining. Battle score for attacker is 0
            Casualties for Russians: 1 infantry
            Casualties for Germans: 1 infantry

    Non Combat Move - Russians
        1 aaGun moved from Bryansk to Tambov
        1 fighter moved from Vologda to Russia
        1 fighter moved from Smolensk to Russia
        1 tactical_bomber moved from Smolensk to Russia
        2 aaGuns and 18 infantry moved from Amur to Buryatia
        3 infantry moved from Bryansk to Tambov
        2 infantry moved from Bryansk to Tambov
        2 artilleries moved from Bryansk to Tambov
        23 infantry moved from Bryansk to Rostov
        2 infantry moved from Bryansk to Tambov
        2 infantry moved from Bryansk to Rostov

    Place Units - Russians
        5 infantry and 2 mech_infantrys placed in Russia

    Turn Complete - Russians
        Russians collect 26 PUs; end with 26 PUs
        Trigger Russians 3 Siberia Lend Lease Lane: Russians met a national objective for an additional 2 PUs; end with 28 PUs

Combat Hit Differential Summary :

Germans : 2.33
Italians : -0.67
Russians : 3.33

Savegame

TripleA Manual Gamesave Post: Russians round 11

TripleA Manual Gamesave Post for game: World War II Global 1940 Balanced Mod3, version: 3.4

Game History

Round: 11

    Purchase Units - Russians
        Russians buy 5 infantry and 2 mech_infantrys; Remaining resources: 0 PUs; 

    Combat Move - Russians
        2 infantry moved from Novosibirsk to Vologda
        1 fighter moved from Russia to Vologda
        1 infantry moved from Russia to Vologda
        4 infantry moved from Russia to Smolensk
        1 fighter and 1 tactical_bomber moved from Russia to Smolensk
        3 infantry moved from Bryansk to Ukraine
        2 armour and 1 mech_infantry moved from Bryansk to Ukraine
        9 artilleries and 6 infantry moved from Russia to Tambov
        6 artilleries and 6 infantry moved from Bryansk to Rostov
        2 infantry moved from Bryansk to Western Ukraine
        1 artillery moved from Bryansk to Western Ukraine
        3 infantry moved from Samara to Kazakhstan

    Combat - Russians
        Battle in Ukraine
            Russians attack with 2 armour, 3 infantry and 1 mech_infantry
            Italians defend with 1 factory_minor and 1 mech_infantry
                Russians roll dice for 2 armour, 3 infantry and 1 mech_infantry in Ukraine, round 2 : 2/6 hits, 1.67 expected hits
                Italians roll dice for 1 mech_infantry in Ukraine, round 2 : 0/1 hits, 0.33 expected hits
                1 mech_infantry owned by the Italians lost in Ukraine
            Russians win, taking Ukraine from Italians with 2 armour, 3 infantry and 1 mech_infantry remaining. Battle score for attacker is 4
            Casualties for Italians: 1 mech_infantry
        Battle in Tambov
            Russians attack with 9 artilleries and 6 infantry
            Italians defend with 1 infantry
                Russians roll dice for 9 artilleries and 6 infantry in Tambov, round 2 : 5/15 hits, 5.00 expected hits
                Italians roll dice for 1 infantry in Tambov, round 2 : 0/1 hits, 0.33 expected hits
                1 infantry owned by the Italians lost in Tambov
            Russians win, taking Tambov from Italians with 9 artilleries and 6 infantry remaining. Battle score for attacker is 3
            Casualties for Italians: 1 infantry
        Battle in Western Ukraine
            Russians attack with 1 artillery and 2 infantry
            Germans defend with 1 infantry
                Russians roll dice for 1 artillery and 2 infantry in Western Ukraine, round 2 : 1/3 hits, 0.83 expected hits
                Italians roll dice for 1 infantry in Western Ukraine, round 2 : 0/1 hits, 0.33 expected hits
                1 infantry owned by the Germans lost in Western Ukraine
            Russians win, taking Western Ukraine from Italians with 1 artillery and 2 infantry remaining. Battle score for attacker is 3
            Casualties for Germans: 1 infantry
        Battle in Rostov
            Russians attack with 6 artilleries and 6 infantry
            Italians defend with 1 aaGun and 1 infantry
                Russians roll dice for 6 artilleries and 6 infantry in Rostov, round 2 : 6/12 hits, 4.00 expected hits
                Italians roll dice for 1 aaGun and 1 infantry in Rostov, round 2 : 1/1 hits, 0.33 expected hits
                1 infantry owned by the Russians, 1 aaGun owned by the Italians and 1 infantry owned by the Italians lost in Rostov
            Russians win, taking Rostov from Italians with 6 artilleries and 5 infantry remaining. Battle score for attacker is 5
            Casualties for Russians: 1 infantry
            Casualties for Italians: 1 aaGun and 1 infantry
        Battle in Smolensk
            Russians attack with 1 fighter, 4 infantry and 1 tactical_bomber
            Germans defend with 3 infantry
                Russians roll dice for 1 fighter, 4 infantry and 1 tactical_bomber in Smolensk, round 2 : 3/6 hits, 1.83 expected hits
                Germans roll dice for 3 infantry in Smolensk, round 2 : 3/3 hits, 1.00 expected hits
                3 infantry owned by the Russians and 3 infantry owned by the Germans lost in Smolensk
            Russians win, taking Smolensk from Germans with 1 fighter, 1 infantry and 1 tactical_bomber remaining. Battle score for attacker is 0
            Casualties for Russians: 3 infantry
            Casualties for Germans: 3 infantry
        Battle in Kazakhstan
            Russians attack with 3 infantry
            Italians defend with 1 infantry
                Russians roll dice for 3 infantry in Kazakhstan, round 2 : 1/3 hits, 0.50 expected hits
                Italians roll dice for 1 infantry in Kazakhstan, round 2 : 0/1 hits, 0.33 expected hits
                1 infantry owned by the Italians lost in Kazakhstan
            Russians win, taking Kazakhstan from Italians with 3 infantry remaining. Battle score for attacker is 3
            Casualties for Italians: 1 infantry
        Battle in Vologda
            Russians attack with 1 fighter and 3 infantry
            Germans defend with 1 infantry
                Russians roll dice for 1 fighter and 3 infantry in Vologda, round 2 : 0/4 hits, 1.00 expected hits
                Germans roll dice for 1 infantry in Vologda, round 2 : 1/1 hits, 0.33 expected hits
                1 infantry owned by the Russians lost in Vologda
                Russians roll dice for 1 fighter and 2 infantry in Vologda, round 3 : 1/3 hits, 0.83 expected hits
                Germans roll dice for 1 infantry in Vologda, round 3 : 0/1 hits, 0.33 expected hits
                1 infantry owned by the Germans lost in Vologda
            Russians win, taking Vologda from Germans with 1 fighter and 2 infantry remaining. Battle score for attacker is 0
            Casualties for Russians: 1 infantry
            Casualties for Germans: 1 infantry

    Non Combat Move - Russians
        1 aaGun moved from Bryansk to Tambov
        1 fighter moved from Vologda to Russia
        1 fighter moved from Smolensk to Russia
        1 tactical_bomber moved from Smolensk to Russia
        2 aaGuns and 18 infantry moved from Amur to Buryatia
        3 infantry moved from Bryansk to Tambov
        2 infantry moved from Bryansk to Tambov
        2 artilleries moved from Bryansk to Tambov
        23 infantry moved from Bryansk to Rostov
        2 infantry moved from Bryansk to Tambov
        2 infantry moved from Bryansk to Rostov

    Place Units - Russians
        5 infantry and 2 mech_infantrys placed in Russia

    Turn Complete - Russians
        Russians collect 26 PUs; end with 26 PUs
        Trigger Russians 3 Siberia Lend Lease Lane: Russians met a national objective for an additional 2 PUs; end with 28 PUs

Combat Hit Differential Summary :

Germans : 2.33
Italians : -0.67
Russians : 3.33

Savegame

good game, I’m calling this!

@axis-dominion said in Adam514 (Axis) vs axis-dominion (Allies +9) BM3:

good game, I’m calling this!

That surprises me. Egypt is the knock out blow? Doesn’t look like it can be saved.

I was anticipating one of two options US10 in the Pacific:

• Attack Kiangsu and retreat to Midway, with the 3 blockers. Depending on dice, this attack could have been pressed or the British mechanised forces could have cleaned up the survivors. That way the IC would have been removed which slows down Japan.
• Don’t attack Kiangsu, only bomb it and attack most of the mechs. Then land on the Carolines and use 2 blockers. A third blocker would have been needed if you couldn’t deal with a landing on Hawaii.

I suppose if you thought that you were well behind you could risk attacking both places and you’d probably succeed. I don’t know, I’m inclined to think Japan wasn’t that strong on Asia or at least vulnerable and India could have been defended. In spite of Japan’s powerful fleet. Positioning the USN at the Carolines does mean it needs to stick together. Perhaps if it came down all at once India could be taken. Then the DEI is in danger.

Perhaps I’m ignoring the strength of the German mobile and air forces. Could they have held Egypt while also coming back to USSR? Perhaps.

Well played Adam, congratz. Especially as the Allies got a nice gift at Yunnan in turn one. This made the Chinese a nasty spike for Japan throughout the whole game.

I find it unsatisfying that AD now resigns after allowing the Germans to create an unstoppable threat against Egypt easily without any resistance.
I think this wasn’t hard to calculate so before you just let it happen I would have made a stand at TJ and hope the Germans get diced. This can end up in a pyrrhic victory. A lot of winning outcomes aren’t good for Germany, so 80% winning chances is IMO just “good” in 50-60% of the outcomes. the bottom 20-30% of the winning outcome keeps the Allies in the game. Allies could have a counter against the ground so Egypt might hold.

AD, what odds did Germany have on TJ against a full stand?

I felt I had a decent game going, as well as can be expected against a strong axis player. I simply botched it up toward the end, when I didn’t think it through some more and rushed the US turn. If I had simply sent a few more of those 7 figs in china over to Turkmen, I could’ve held Egypt. or I could’ve probably just took a stand at TJ and risked that, as jdow pointed out (which I did consider as well). that particular day I was playing very fast turns and a lot of them, and going back & forth with ksmckay and even one turn with farm boy, so I think I got worn out. I should’ve slowed down some more on this critical turn. I ended up making a few mistakes in my ksmckay game as well!

anyway, not sure what my chances were anyway with axis so positionally strong, but I do feel I had SOME chances at least.

@Adam514 said in Adam514 (Axis) vs axis-dominion (Allies +9) BM3:

@simon33 You’re forgetting the German bomber in the Pac which severely limits the options of the smaller US fleet, can’t block without wasting many ships.

Good point that does explain why you can’t stack the Caroline’s but it doesn’t explain why kiangsu wasn’t attacked. There would have been a real loss of momentum for Japan in that instance. In fact, if the German bomber had moved up to Tokyo g10, the midway stack would have been off.

Perhaps enough Monday morning quarterback there though.