Feature request: true random dice

djensen · Nov 20, 2019, 4:37 AM

I actually like a lot of the changes in the interface. It needs work, especially around transports but I like it. I just can’t stand these dice.

taamvan · Nov 20, 2019, 4:41 AM

@djensen You’re more an IT guy than me…I’ve seen plenty of anomalous results and like you admonished me a couple days ago–when were playing dozens of games we should expect to see all the possible outcomes…still there is just this “dice vs RNG” debate that we can never resolve. As a slight departure; Chessex has 2 stands at Gencon–the dice are made to look great but whether they are in any way random…I have no clue. One might expect that if no attention is paid to how the dice are physically made the plastic mix must make some sets biased…is that any different than our debate? My IT guru buddy says that random.org uses fluxuations in the radio transmission intensity as a proxy for true randomness…is this all voodoo?

djensen · Nov 20, 2019, 5:10 AM

@taamvan Yeah, the idea for this topic came from random.org. I’d be happy with the following:

Switch to Mersenne Twister or other good PRNG
Provide user facing metrics about dice results, kinda like what TripleA does

Sorry, I didn’t mean to admonish; hope my tone didn’t come off that way. It’s also why I created the dice support groups. As long as the rules are followed anything goes there. That’s where I moved my reactions to dice rolls. I’m hoping here we can come up with a solution. Whether Beamdog does anything is up to them.

taamvan · Nov 20, 2019, 5:12 AM

@djensen I overstated “admonish”, entreated would have been a better way to put it…we are all trying to be patient and passionate at the same time…as usual. As for the technical details…I’m clueless except as it pertains to actual face to face posturing and dice slamming which is why we’re all here.

djensen · Nov 20, 2019, 4:40 PM

Well, based on internal testing in the past two weeks, apparently the dice are “fair.” So I guess I’ll stop making suggestions here and chalk it up to bad luck. (I will continue to rant on the “dice support group” since that’s what it’s for, complaining about bad luck and making irrational statements).

djensen · Nov 20, 2019, 5:19 PM

Also, who am I kidding. I’m not going to stay away forever. I just need a break or I need to play more games. Ya know, to even out the rolls because that how it works (it doesn’t; it doesn’t work that way at all :wink: ).

JuliusBorisovBeamdog · Dec 2, 2019, 5:53 PM

We have updated the FAQ on Steam.

Updated the FAQ about the Dice.

A: A PRNG generates the value. We’ve examined its output versus real random data and have found it to be indistinguishable. This also applies to the Computer opponent.

Based on the community feedback, 3-4 weeks ago we did pretty significant amounts of analysis of dice rolls in our game. As it turned out, our dice are not unfair.

We rolled about 100 million dice against our PRNG as one of our tests, and these were the results:

https://us.v-cdn.net/5019558/uploads/editor/ct/nlpqwbm4etm3.png

The dice results you see are from patch #5.

We’ve also done smaller batches of rolls more in line with the quantity seen in a single game and the results are quite similar. We’ve done 100-size, 1000-size, 1 million size, 100 million, and 10 billion.

Thus far with any of our tests, we have not been able to identify any instances of the dice being “streaky” in smaller batches, nor have we found any evidence of the PRNG being “bad” based on larger and smaller sample sizes.

Imperious Leader · Dec 2, 2019, 7:02 PM

You should actually play the game and watch all the fives and sixes rolled, as well as the “tit for tat” dice behavior where if attacker misses, defender misses and if attacker hits the defender also hits and loses are close to even regardless of attackers advantage. Your looking at how many dice come up 1-6, AND NOT WHAT ACTUALLY COMES UP IN BATTLES, WHICH DEPEND ON THE UNITS PRESENT. In that you may have an equal distribution of numbers, but the units attacking or defending are rolling numbers outside of their predicted hits irrespective of their advantage to cause hits and the weaker side has a greater propensity to cause hits.

djensen · Dec 2, 2019, 9:00 PM

@Imperious-Leader As requested by us, the community, they did the analysis. Case closed.

They took feedback, “Dice suck!” Listened. Did an analysis. And found no issues. They easily could have brushed this under the rug and did real work on getting new features out but we asked and they delivered. Will I continue to yell at the screen when I get bad dice? Yes, of course. ;-) Will I blame Beamdog for it? No, definitely not. It boils down to bad or good luck.

Please move rants to the Dice Support Group.. That is the new place to put our illogical rantings about dice.

djensen · Dec 2, 2019, 9:02 PM

@JuliusBorisovBeamdog Thank you for doing the analysis. My curiosity has been answered and it just turns out that my observations were simply anecdotal and coincidental.

Please pass along my thanks to the team for taking the time to do the analysis. I think a future request will be for low-luck style rolling. :wink:

Feature request: true random dice

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