2019 18L TITLE PLAYOFF SEMIFINAL G40 BM Adam vs JuanSpain (Axis + 9)

TripleA Turn Summary: UK_Pacific round 17

TripleA Turn Summary for game: World War II Global 1940 Balanced Mod3, version: 3.3

Game History

Round: 17

    Purchase Units - Americans
        Americans buy 1 airfield, 1 artillery, 2 destroyers, 5 infantry, 2 submarines, 3 tactical_bombers and 1 transport; Remaining resources: 0 PUs; 

    Combat Move - Americans
        1 bomber moved from Norway to Germany
        2 bombers moved from Gibraltar to Western Germany
        3 fighters moved from 110 Sea Zone to Western Germany
        1 destroyer moved from 92 Sea Zone to 97 Sea Zone
        1 bomber moved from Northern Territory to Java
        1 artillery and 1 infantry moved from Caroline Islands to 33 Sea Zone
        1 artillery, 1 battleship, 1 cruiser, 1 infantry and 1 transport moved from 33 Sea Zone to 42 Sea Zone
        1 artillery and 1 infantry moved from 42 Sea Zone to Java
        1 artillery and 1 infantry moved from Western United States to 10 Sea Zone
        1 artillery, 1 infantry and 1 transport moved from 10 Sea Zone to 8 Sea Zone
        1 artillery and 1 infantry moved from 8 Sea Zone to Aleutian Islands

    Combat - Americans
        Air Battle in Western Germany
            Americans attacks with 5 units heading to Western Germany
            Air Battle is over, the remaining bombers go on to their targets
        Strategic bombing raid in Western Germany
                AA fire in Western Germany : 1/2 hits, 0.33 expected hits
            1 bomber killed by AA
            Bombing raid in Western Germany rolls: 7 and causes: 7 damage to unit: factory_major
            Bombing raid in Western Germany causes 7 damage total. 
        Strategic bombing raid in Germany
                AA fire in Germany : 0/1 hits, 0.17 expected hits
            Bombing raid in Germany rolls: 3 and causes: 3 damage to unit: factory_major
            Bombing raid in Germany causes 3 damage total. 
        Battle in 97 Sea Zone
            Americans attack with 1 destroyer and 5 submarines
            Germans defend with 1 submarine
                Americans roll dice for 5 submarines in 97 Sea Zone, round 2 : 1/5 hits, 1.67 expected hits
                1 submarine owned by the Germans lost in 97 Sea Zone
            Americans win, taking 97 Sea Zone from Germans with 1 destroyer and 5 submarines remaining. Battle score for attacker is 6
            Casualties for Germans: 1 submarine
        Battle in Aleutian Islands
            Americans attack with 1 artillery and 1 infantry
            Japanese defend with 1 infantry
                Americans roll dice for 1 artillery and 1 infantry in Aleutian Islands, round 2 : 2/2 hits, 0.67 expected hits
                Japanese roll dice for 1 infantry in Aleutian Islands, round 2 : 1/1 hits, 0.33 expected hits
                1 infantry owned by the Japanese and 1 infantry owned by the Americans lost in Aleutian Islands
            Americans win, taking Aleutian Islands from Japanese with 1 artillery remaining. Battle score for attacker is 0
            Casualties for Americans: 1 infantry
            Casualties for Japanese: 1 infantry
        Battle in Java
            Americans attack with 1 artillery, 1 bomber and 1 infantry
            Japanese defend with 1 infantry
                Americans roll dice for 1 battleship and 1 cruiser in Java, round 2 : 2/2 hits, 1.17 expected hits
                Japanese roll dice for 1 infantry in Java, round 2 : 1/1 hits, 0.33 expected hits
                1 infantry owned by the Japanese and 1 infantry owned by the Americans lost in Java
            Americans win, taking Java from Japanese with 1 artillery and 1 bomber remaining. Battle score for attacker is 0
            Casualties for Americans: 1 infantry
            Casualties for Japanese: 1 infantry
        Cleaning up after air battles

    Non Combat Move - Americans
        1 bomber moved from Java to Northern Territory
        5 carriers, 9 destroyers, 9 fighters, 13 submarines and 1 tactical_bomber moved from 33 Sea Zone to 42 Sea Zone
        2 fighters moved from Western United States to Hawaiian Islands
        1 carrier, 1 destroyer and 1 submarine moved from 10 Sea Zone to 30 Sea Zone
        1 armour moved from Libya to Alexandria
        1 infantry moved from Tunisia to Libya
        1 artillery and 5 infantry moved from Central United States to 101 Sea Zone
        1 artillery, 5 infantry and 3 transports moved from 101 Sea Zone to 91 Sea Zone
        1 artillery and 5 infantry moved from 91 Sea Zone to Morocco
        2 transports moved from 91 Sea Zone to 101 Sea Zone
        1 submarine moved from 110 Sea Zone to 109 Sea Zone
        1 armour, 6 artilleries, 1 battleship, 5 carriers, 2 cruisers, 4 destroyers, 7 infantry, 3 marines, 1 submarine and 18 transports moved from 110 Sea Zone to 91 Sea Zone
        1 armour, 6 artilleries and 7 infantry moved from 91 Sea Zone to Morocco
        1 aaGun, 2 artilleries and 5 infantry moved from Algeria to Morocco
        1 mech_infantry moved from Karelia to Archangel
        1 armour moved from Karelia to Norway
        6 fighters moved from Norway to Eastern Poland
        1 bomber moved from Western Germany to Norway
        1 bomber moved from Germany to Eastern Poland
        3 fighters moved from Western Germany to Norway
        7 fighters moved from 110 Sea Zone to Norway
        3 fighters moved from Gibraltar to Norway
        1 armour moved from Karelia to Norway
        1 infantry moved from Norway to Finland

    Place Units - Americans
        1 airfield and 3 tactical_bombers placed in Norway
        2 destroyers, 2 submarines and 1 transport placed in 10 Sea Zone
        1 artillery and 1 infantry placed in Western United States
        4 infantry placed in Central United States

    Turn Complete - Americans
        Americans collect 62 PUs; end with 62 PUs
        Trigger Americans 7 North Africa Beach Head: Americans met a national objective for an additional 5 PUs; end with 67 PUs
        Objective Americans 1 Homeland: Americans met a national objective for an additional 10 PUs; end with 77 PUs
        Objective Americans 9 Vital Forward Bases: Americans met a national objective for an additional 5 PUs; end with 82 PUs
        Objective Americans 8 Pacific Airfields: Americans met a national objective for an additional 5 PUs; end with 87 PUs
        Objective Americans 3 Defense Obligations: Americans met a national objective for an additional 5 PUs; end with 92 PUs
        Objective Americans 2 Outer Territories: Americans met a national objective for an additional 5 PUs; end with 97 PUs

    Purchase Units - Chinese
        Trigger Chinese Loses Burma Road: Chinese has their production frontier changed to: productionChinese_Burma_Road_Closed
        Chinese buy 8 infantry; Remaining resources: 0 PUs; 

    Combat Move - Chinese

    Combat - Chinese

    Non Combat Move - Chinese
        2 infantry moved from Yunnan to Burma
        1 artillery moved from Kiangsi to Anhwe

    Place Units - Chinese
        2 infantry placed in Yunnan
        2 infantry placed in Anhwe
        4 infantry placed in Kiangsi

    Turn Complete - Chinese
        Chinese collect 23 PUs; end with 23 PUs

    Combat Move - British
        1 bomber moved from Trans-Jordan to Iraq

    Combat - British
        Strategic bombing raid in Iraq
                AA fire in Iraq : 1/1 hits, 0.17 expected hits
            1 bomber killed by AA
            Bombing raid in Iraq causes 0 damage total. 

    Non Combat Move - British
        Turning on Edit Mode
        EDIT: Removing units owned by Japanese from 42 Sea Zone: 1 transport
        EDIT: Turning off Edit Mode
        1 battleship moved from 33 Sea Zone to 42 Sea Zone
        1 armour, 1 infantry and 1 mech_infantry moved from Belarus to Eastern Poland
        2 infantry moved from Turkmenistan to Kazakhstan
        1 infantry moved from Kansu to Suiyuyan
        1 fighter moved from Gibraltar to Norway
        1 fighter moved from Rostov to Eastern Poland
        2 infantry moved from Caucasus to Rostov

    Turn Complete - UK_Pacific

Combat Hit Differential Summary :

AA fire in Western Germany : : 0.67
Americans : 1.50
AA fire in Iraq : : 0.83
Japanese : 1.33
AA fire in Germany : : -0.17

Savegame

I edited the UK cruisers with the rest of the fleet, forgot them.

TripleA Turn Summary: French round 17

TripleA Turn Summary for game: World War II Global 1940 Balanced Mod3, version: 3.3

Game History

Round: 17

    Purchase Units - ANZAC
        ANZAC buy 1 destroyer and 2 submarines; Remaining resources: 0 PUs; 

    Combat Move - ANZAC

    Non Combat Move - ANZAC
        1 infantry moved from Belarus to Smolensk
        3 fighters moved from Rostov to Smolensk
        1 submarine moved from 62 Sea Zone to 42 Sea Zone
        1 submarine moved from 33 Sea Zone to 44 Sea Zone
        1 submarine moved from 33 Sea Zone to 43 Sea Zone
        1 artillery and 1 infantry moved from Caroline Islands to 33 Sea Zone
        1 artillery, 1 infantry and 2 transports moved from 33 Sea Zone to 55 Sea Zone
        2 infantry moved from Northern Territory to 55 Sea Zone
        1 artillery, 3 infantry and 2 transports moved from 55 Sea Zone to 42 Sea Zone
        1 artillery and 3 infantry moved from 42 Sea Zone to Java
        2 fighters moved from Caroline Islands to Java
        2 destroyers moved from 33 Sea Zone to 42 Sea Zone
        1 infantry moved from Turkmenistan to Kazakhstan
        1 infantry moved from Queensland to Northern Territory

    Place Units - ANZAC
        1 destroyer and 2 submarines placed in 62 Sea Zone

    Turn Complete - ANZAC
        ANZAC collect 12 PUs; end with 12 PUs
        Objective ANZAC 3 Pacific Supply Lines: ANZAC met a national objective for an additional 3 PUs; end with 15 PUs
        Objective ANZAC 2 Control Strategic Islands: ANZAC met a national objective for an additional 3 PUs; end with 18 PUs

    Combat Move - French

    Non Combat Move - French
        1 infantry moved from Belarus to Smolensk

    Turn Complete - French

Combat Hit Differential Summary :

Savegame

Good game!

Yeah the Sealion dice gave Axis a chance. It was quite harsh on Russia.

Thanks for the vote of confidence :relaxed: .

Gratz to Adam and thanks Juan for the nice wishes.
A very interesting game and again, Juan has prepared something on the whiteboard. Always good for a surprise.

2 things surprised me in general.

1. The biggest surprise was Japan giving up China. Especially with so many ground units bought early. I thought, Japan could have done both, taking Eastern Russian territories AND take China and later India. I think Japan keeping up the threat to win the game would have provided more relief to Germany as USA would not have been able to go so hard after Germany then without unleashing Japan to become a monster.

2. Now, as you had the big Japanese army marching west, I was totally surprised to see it move to Vologda in turn 11. I thought your plan was from the beginning to sent these troops to take Egypt. You could have penetrated the middle east two turns earlier in case this army heads to Kaz in turn 11. This would have brought extra money to Germany, too.
   I believe the game would still be going in this case.

Haven’t followed this game in detail but I largely agree with JDOW, particularly point 1.

A couple of other more minor things were building the first Japanese IC on Manchuria instead of Kiangsu. I don’t really understand why so many top players do this. I also dislike passing the opportunity to build the first IC J1, particularly without the DOW. I think having a J1 IC on Kiangsu would really have changed the equation for abandoning China. I think the J2 Crussia makes the Manchuria IC an even weaker option.

G4 Sea lion is not a move I’m a big fan of either. Couldn’t the second CV have been bought G3 and 2 more transports G2? I suppose the problem may have been that Normandy wasn’t taken G1.

I think the Italians failed a little. Landing the 2 fighters on Holland I1 when they could have defended the fleet in SZ97 seems a miscue. Was that needed because Normandy wasn’t attacked G1? I would expect Italy to be smacking the allies around in Africa if London is down but they weren’t.

In spite of these criticisms, it was obviously a very well fought game to last so long against Adam514. Are trying the things I mention above what Juan is referring to when he said he wanted to try some different things? I think this game demonstrates the benefits of activating Vichy in a Sea Lion game. The benefits would have been big, providing even dice.

Has the championship game started yet? Should be a great game.

Can’t wait to put my theories into practice in the 2020 playoffs! Assuming I make it, of course.

I agree with Simon, good analysis.

The championship game is gonna start in the upcoming week.

@JDOW

In JDOW we trust! SOMEONE has to break the current Adam streak. But then again, Adam’s streak is nothing if not incredible. Reminds me of AllWeNeedIsLove back in 2013.

It’s Adam’s genius and flexibility even in the light of horrific dice vs. JDOW’s unmatched long-term planning.

What should the over/under be for rounds on this one?

Any takers? (JDOW, you used to work in the gambling industry, perhaps you can help us with some playable bets?)