Classic 2nd edition, Avin (Allies) vs AcesWild (Axis) RR no bid, game2

Avin

TripleA Turn Summary: Americans round 13

TripleA Turn Summary for game: World War II Classic, version: 2.0

Game History

Round: 13

    Purchase Units - Americans
        Americans buy 1 armour, 1 bomber and 4 infantry; Remaining resources: 0 PUs; 

    Combat Move - Americans
        1 bomber moved from East US to Karelia S.S.R.
        1 armour moved from Mexico to Panama
              Americans take Panama from Japanese
        1 armour moved from Panama to Mexico
        1 transport moved from West Spain Sea Zone to West Mediteranean Sea Zone
        1 infantry moved from Algeria to West Mediteranean Sea Zone
        1 infantry moved from Algeria to West Mediteranean Sea Zone
        2 infantry and 1 transport moved from West Mediteranean Sea Zone to Central Mediteranean Sea Zone
        2 infantry moved from Central Mediteranean Sea Zone to South Europe
        1 battleship moved from West Spain Sea Zone to Central Mediteranean Sea Zone

    Combat - Americans
        Strategic bombing raid in Karelia S.S.R.
            Bombing raid in Karelia S.S.R. rolls: 4 and costs: 4 PUs.
            Bombing raid costs 4 PUs
        Battle in South Europe
            Americans attack with 2 infantry
            Germans defend with 1 factory and 1 infantry
                Americans roll dice for 1 battleship in South Europe, round 2 : 1/1 hits, 0.67 expected hits
                Germans roll dice for 1 infantry in South Europe, round 2 : 1/1 hits, 0.33 expected hits
                1 infantry owned by the Germans and 1 infantry owned by the Americans lost in South Europe
            Americans win, taking South Europe from Germans with 1 infantry remaining. Battle score for attacker is 0
            Casualties for Americans: 1 infantry
            Casualties for Germans: 1 infantry

    Non Combat Move - Americans
        1 bomber moved from Karelia S.S.R. to Russia
        2 fighters moved from West Spain Sea Zone to Anglo Sudan Egypt
        1 submarine moved from West Spain Sea Zone to Central Mediteranean Sea Zone
        2 transports moved from West Spain Sea Zone to East Canada Sea Zone
        2 transports moved from West Spain Sea Zone to East Canada Sea Zone
        7 infantry moved from West Canada to East Canada Sea Zone
        7 infantry and 4 transports moved from East Canada Sea Zone to West Spain Sea Zone
        1 infantry moved from Syria Jordan to Anglo Sudan Egypt
        8 infantry moved from Anglo Sudan Egypt to Kenya-Rhodesia
        1 armour moved from Anglo Sudan Egypt to Kenya-Rhodesia
        6 infantry moved from French Equatorial Africa to Anglo Sudan Egypt
        1 armour moved from Algeria to Anglo Sudan Egypt
        4 infantry moved from Algeria to French Equatorial Africa
        2 fighters moved from Anglo Sudan Egypt to Kenya-Rhodesia
        1 fighter moved from Russia to Anglo Sudan Egypt
        7 infantry moved from West Spain Sea Zone to Algeria
        1 armour moved from East US to West Canada
        1 infantry moved from East US to East Canada
        4 infantry moved from West US to West Canada

    Place Units - Americans
        1 bomber placed in East US
        1 armour and 4 infantry placed in West US

    Turn Complete - Americans
        Americans collect 39 PUs; end with 39 PUs

Combat Hit Differential Summary :

Germans : 0.67
Americans : 0.33

Savegame

Avin

TripleA Turn Summary: Russians round 14

TripleA Turn Summary for game: World War II Classic, version: 2.0

Game History

Round: 14

    Purchase Units - Russians
        Russians buy 4 infantry; Remaining resources: 1 PUs; 

    Combat Move - Russians
        2 infantry moved from Russia to Kazakh S.S.R.
        2 fighters moved from Russia to Kazakh S.S.R.

    Combat - Russians
        Battle in Kazakh S.S.R.
            Russians attack with 2 fighters and 2 infantry
            Japanese defend with 1 infantry
                Russians roll dice for 2 fighters and 2 infantry in Kazakh S.S.R., round 2 : 2/4 hits, 1.33 expected hits
                Japanese roll dice for 1 infantry in Kazakh S.S.R., round 2 : 0/1 hits, 0.33 expected hits
                1 infantry owned by the Japanese lost in Kazakh S.S.R.
            Russians win, taking Kazakh S.S.R. from Japanese with 2 fighters and 2 infantry remaining. Battle score for attacker is 3
            Casualties for Japanese: 1 infantry

    Non Combat Move - Russians
        2 fighters moved from Kazakh S.S.R. to Russia

    Place Units - Russians
        4 infantry placed in Russia

    Turn Complete - Russians
        Russians collect 10 PUs; end with 11 PUs

Combat Hit Differential Summary :

Russians : 0.67
Japanese : -0.33

Savegame

The_Good_Captain

TripleA Turn Summary: Germans round 14

TripleA Turn Summary for game: World War II Classic, version: 2.0

Game History

Round: 14

    Purchase Units - Germans
        Germans buy 10 infantry; Remaining resources: 1 PUs; 

    Combat Move - Germans
        3 infantry moved from Germany to South Europe
        1 fighter moved from West Europe to South Europe
        1 fighter moved from Germany to South Europe
        1 infantry moved from Germany to South Europe

    Combat - Germans
        Battle in South Europe
            Germans attack with 2 fighters and 4 infantry
            Americans defend with 1 factory and 1 infantry
                Germans roll dice for 2 fighters and 4 infantry in South Europe, round 2 : 1/6 hits, 1.67 expected hits
                Americans roll dice for 1 infantry in South Europe, round 2 : 0/1 hits, 0.33 expected hits
                1 infantry owned by the Americans lost in South Europe
            Germans win, taking South Europe from Americans with 2 fighters and 4 infantry remaining. Battle score for attacker is 3
            Casualties for Americans: 1 infantry

    Non Combat Move - Germans
        1 fighter moved from South Europe to West Europe
        1 fighter moved from South Europe to Germany
        1 infantry moved from Caucasus to Karelia S.S.R.
        1 aaGun moved from East Europe to South Europe
        1 aaGun moved from Ukraine S.S.R. to East Europe
        1 armour moved from East Europe to Germany
        5 infantry moved from Germany to East Europe
        2 infantry moved from Germany to West Europe

    Place Units - Germans
        10 infantry placed in Germany

    Turn Complete - Germans
        Germans collect 34 PUs; end with 35 PUs

Combat Hit Differential Summary :

Germans : -0.67
Americans : -0.33

Savegame

Avin

TripleA Turn Summary: British round 14

TripleA Turn Summary for game: World War II Classic, version: 2.0

Game History

Round: 14

    Purchase Units - British
        British buy 1 aaGun, 1 armour and 4 infantry; Remaining resources: 2 PUs; 

    Combat Move - British
        4 transports moved from Baltic Sea Zone to North Sea Zone
        7 infantry moved from United Kingdom to North Sea Zone
        7 infantry and 4 transports moved from North Sea Zone to Baltic Sea Zone
        7 infantry moved from Baltic Sea Zone to Karelia S.S.R.
        2 armour and 10 infantry moved from Finland Norway to Karelia S.S.R.

    Combat - British
        Battle in Karelia S.S.R.
            British attack with 2 armour and 17 infantry
            Germans defend with 1 factory and 1 infantry
                British roll dice for 1 battleship in Karelia S.S.R., round 2 : 1/1 hits, 0.67 expected hits
                Germans roll dice for 1 infantry in Karelia S.S.R., round 2 : 0/1 hits, 0.33 expected hits
                1 infantry owned by the Germans lost in Karelia S.S.R.
            British win, taking Karelia S.S.R. from Germans with 2 armour and 17 infantry remaining. Battle score for attacker is 3
            Casualties for Germans: 1 infantry

    Non Combat Move - British
        1 transport moved from Baltic Sea Zone to North Sea Zone
        1 aaGun moved from United Kingdom to North Sea Zone
        1 aaGun and 1 transport moved from North Sea Zone to Baltic Sea Zone
        1 aaGun moved from Baltic Sea Zone to Karelia S.S.R.

    Place Units - British
        1 aaGun, 1 armour and 4 infantry placed in United Kingdom

    Turn Complete - British
        British collect 22 PUs; end with 24 PUs

Combat Hit Differential Summary :

Germans : -0.33
British : 0.33

Savegame

The_Good_Captain

TripleA Turn Summary: Japanese round 14

TripleA Turn Summary for game: World War II Classic, version: 2.0

Game History

Round: 14

    Purchase Units - Japanese
        Japanese buy 1 aaGun, 3 armour and 7 infantry; Remaining resources: 11 PUs; 

    Combat Move - Japanese
        3 infantry moved from Persia to Syria Jordan
        1 infantry moved from Persia to Syria Jordan
        33 infantry moved from Novosibirsk to Kazakh S.S.R.
        3 bombers moved from South Africa to Central Mediteranean Sea Zone
        8 armour moved from Novosibirsk to Kazakh S.S.R.

    Combat - Japanese
        Battle in Kazakh S.S.R.
            Japanese attack with 8 armour and 33 infantry
            Russians defend with 2 infantry
                Japanese roll dice for 8 armour and 33 infantry in Kazakh S.S.R., round 2 : 10/41 hits, 9.50 expected hits
                Russians roll dice for 2 infantry in Kazakh S.S.R., round 2 : 1/2 hits, 0.67 expected hits
                1 infantry owned by the Japanese and 2 infantry owned by the Russians lost in Kazakh S.S.R.
            Japanese win, taking Kazakh S.S.R. from Russians with 8 armour and 32 infantry remaining. Battle score for attacker is 3
            Casualties for Japanese: 1 infantry
            Casualties for Russians: 2 infantry
        Battle in Syria Jordan
            Japanese attack with 4 infantry
            Americans defend with 1 infantry
                Japanese roll dice for 4 infantry in Syria Jordan, round 2 : 0/4 hits, 0.67 expected hits
                British roll dice for 1 infantry in Syria Jordan, round 2 : 0/1 hits, 0.33 expected hits
                Japanese roll dice for 4 infantry in Syria Jordan, round 3 : 1/4 hits, 0.67 expected hits
                British roll dice for 1 infantry in Syria Jordan, round 3 : 1/1 hits, 0.33 expected hits
                1 infantry owned by the Japanese and 1 infantry owned by the Americans lost in Syria Jordan
            Japanese win, taking Syria Jordan from British with 3 infantry remaining. Battle score for attacker is 0
            Casualties for Japanese: 1 infantry
            Casualties for Americans: 1 infantry
        Battle in Central Mediteranean Sea Zone
            Japanese attack with 3 bombers
            Americans defend with 1 battleship, 1 submarine and 1 transport
                Japanese roll dice for 3 bombers in Central Mediteranean Sea Zone, round 2 : 3/3 hits, 2.00 expected hits
                Americans roll dice for 1 battleship and 1 transport in Central Mediteranean Sea Zone, round 2 : 1/2 hits, 0.83 expected hits
                1 submarine owned by the Americans, 1 bomber owned by the Japanese, 1 transport owned by the Americans and 1 battleship owned by the Americans lost in Central Mediteranean Sea Zone
            Japanese win with 2 bombers remaining. Battle score for attacker is 25
            Casualties for Japanese: 1 bomber
            Casualties for Americans: 1 battleship, 1 submarine and 1 transport

    Non Combat Move - Japanese
        2 bombers moved from Central Mediteranean Sea Zone to Germany
        1 transport moved from Mozambique Sea Zone to Red Sea Zone
        2 infantry moved from Persia to Red Sea Zone
        2 infantry and 1 transport moved from Red Sea Zone to Mozambique Sea Zone
        2 infantry moved from Mozambique Sea Zone to South Africa
        2 infantry moved from India to Indian Ocean Sea Zone
        2 infantry and 1 transport moved from Indian Ocean Sea Zone to Mozambique Sea Zone
        2 infantry moved from Mozambique Sea Zone to South Africa
        1 submarine moved from Angola Sea Zone to Mozambique Sea Zone
        1 transport moved from Angola Sea Zone to Mozambique Sea Zone
        2 battleships moved from Angola Sea Zone to Mozambique Sea Zone
        1 carrier moved from Angola Sea Zone to Mozambique Sea Zone
        1 armour and 1 transport moved from South Argentina Sea Zone to Angola Sea Zone
        1 armour moved from Angola Sea Zone to South Africa
        1 fighter moved from India to South Africa
        1 armour moved from Persia to Kazakh S.S.R.
        1 aaGun moved from Persia to India
        1 aaGun moved from Novosibirsk to Yakut S.S.R.
        5 infantry moved from Manchuria to Yakut S.S.R.
        4 infantry moved from French Indo China to French Indo China Sea Zone
        4 infantry and 2 transports moved from French Indo China Sea Zone to East Compass Sea Zone
        2 infantry moved from Japan to Japan Sea Zone
        2 infantry and 1 transport moved from Japan Sea Zone to French Indo China Sea Zone
        2 infantry moved from French Indo China Sea Zone to French Indo China
        1 infantry moved from Wake Island to Wake Island Sea Zone
        1 infantry and 1 transport moved from Wake Island Sea Zone to Japan Sea Zone
        1 infantry moved from Japan to Japan Sea Zone
        2 infantry moved from Japan Sea Zone to Manchuria

    Place Units - Japanese
        2 armour and 1 infantry placed in Manchuria
        1 aaGun and 1 armour placed in South Africa
        3 infantry placed in India
        3 infantry placed in Japan

    Turn Complete - Japanese
        Japanese collect 51 PUs; end with 62 PUs

Combat Hit Differential Summary :

British : 0.33
Americans : 0.17
Russians : 0.33
Japanese : 1.17

Savegame

The_Good_Captain

just an FYI: there are no more AA guns available for purchase. Piece count limitation rule.

The_Good_Captain

*I bought the last one on the turn I just took, J14

Avin

TripleA Turn Summary: Americans round 14

TripleA Turn Summary for game: World War II Classic, version: 2.0

Game History

Round: 14

    Purchase Units - Americans
        Americans buy 1 armour, 1 bomber and 6 infantry; Remaining resources: 1 PUs; 

    Combat Move - Americans
        1 armour, 2 fighters and 8 infantry moved from Kenya-Rhodesia to South Africa
        1 armour and 1 fighter moved from Anglo Sudan Egypt to South Africa
        1 bomber moved from Russia to South Africa
        3 infantry moved from Anglo Sudan Egypt to Syria Jordan
        1 fighter moved from Russia to Syria Jordan

    Combat - Americans
        Battle in South Africa
            Americans attack with 2 armour, 1 bomber, 3 fighters and 8 infantry
            Japanese defend with 1 aaGun, 2 armour, 1 factory, 3 fighters and 6 infantry
                AA fire in South Africa : 1/4 hits, 0.67 expected hits
                1 fighter owned by the Americans lost in South Africa
                Americans roll dice for 2 armour, 1 bomber, 2 fighters and 8 infantry in South Africa, round 2 : 5/13 hits, 4.00 expected hits
                Japanese roll dice for 2 armour, 3 fighters and 6 infantry in South Africa, round 2 : 8/11 hits, 4.67 expected hits
                5 infantry owned by the Japanese and 8 infantry owned by the Americans lost in South Africa
                Americans roll dice for 2 armour, 1 bomber and 2 fighters in South Africa, round 3 : 3/5 hits, 2.67 expected hits
                Japanese roll dice for 2 armour, 3 fighters and 1 infantry in South Africa, round 3 : 5/6 hits, 3.00 expected hits
                1 infantry owned by the Japanese, 2 armour owned by the Japanese, 2 armour owned by the Americans, 2 fighters owned by the Americans and 1 bomber owned by the Americans lost in South Africa
            Japanese win with 3 fighters remaining. Battle score for attacker is -57
            Casualties for Americans: 2 armour, 1 bomber, 3 fighters and 8 infantry
            Casualties for Japanese: 2 armour and 6 infantry
        Battle in Syria Jordan
            Americans attack with 1 fighter and 3 infantry
            Japanese defend with 3 infantry
                Americans roll dice for 1 fighter and 3 infantry in Syria Jordan, round 2 : 1/4 hits, 1.00 expected hits
                Japanese roll dice for 3 infantry in Syria Jordan, round 2 : 2/3 hits, 1.00 expected hits
                1 infantry owned by the Japanese and 2 infantry owned by the Americans lost in Syria Jordan
                Americans roll dice for 1 fighter and 1 infantry in Syria Jordan, round 3 : 0/2 hits, 0.67 expected hits
                Japanese roll dice for 2 infantry in Syria Jordan, round 3 : 2/2 hits, 0.67 expected hits
                1 infantry owned by the Americans and 1 fighter owned by the Americans lost in Syria Jordan
            Japanese win with 2 infantry remaining. Battle score for attacker is -18
            Casualties for Americans: 1 fighter and 3 infantry
            Casualties for Japanese: 1 infantry

    Non Combat Move - Americans

    Place Units - Americans
        1 armour, 1 bomber and 6 infantry placed in East US

    Turn Complete - Americans
        Americans collect 33 PUs; end with 34 PUs

Combat Hit Differential Summary :

Americans : 0.67
AA fire in South Africa : : 0.33
Japanese : 7.67

Savegame

Avin

I knew that was a risky battle but I felt like I needed it. It didn’t pay off, so I concede here. Very well played, good game!

You had asked what I thought I had done as a mistake earlier: for background, I haven’t ever really played Russia Restricted before these two games, and on the previous game I had an easy enough time because you made the G1 purchase of building up your navy, which meant that even though the dice were against me early on in that game, I still could easily use the Allies production to surround and contain Germany easily in Europe.

This game I underestimated the amount of force I would need to bring on Germany without having had that initial Russian attack but with Germany going heavily on troops as they should, and I diverted my Russian forces in an attempt to keep Japan back longer, which was a mistake. As a result, Germany never did get contained and you had freedom to push out in Eastern Europe throughout the whole game. I do believe that even with Russia Restricted that the Allies have a strong enough lead but I didn’t do the best job demonstrating that because you are certainly an able opponent and capitalized very well on my mistake there. I did still very much enjoy the game, though!

The_Good_Captain

Thanks for that analysis, I appreciate that.

I made two mistakes myself and really regret the one I just made. The first was not throwing in a tank on the attack with five bombers into the mid-east a few turns back. The other mistake I noticed just before posting the comment about the AA gun last night. I forgot that you had a tank in Egypt and I should not have purchased a tank and an AA gun. I should have purchased two fighters. I could have very easily done this as I saved 11 IPC and would only have needed to reduce my inf purchases by one to complete this purchase. Five fighters would have made the odds much more favorable, in the ballpark of 50/50 in which case I doubt you would have attacked at all and your army would have done other things and otherwise be intact. My apologies, I feel I should have paid for that mistake. Instead, I had hot dice.

As I stated a few turns back, this is and perhaps always will be the coolest game of classic I have every played regardless of who would win and I still stand by that. Thank you for pointing me toward the battle calculator and helping me understand the dice much better than I had before. You have really sharpened up my game. This weekend I am going to an AnA tourney to play some anniversary and I am bringing that calc with me. It is essential to immaculate play and I dont know how I got on without it before.

I also learned the word “penultimate”.

The_Good_Captain

Since I have made the videos, I concede that the axis are at a disadvantage using no optional rules. The attack on Ukraine and the Baltic fleet is too much for Germany to handle. I don’t think it is impossible to win, but probably in the ballpark of 75-80% loss average. I now think that RR is essential to fair play. I’m open to the idea that the Axis might still need a boost as well and I have been contemplating several “non-invasive”, no bid adjustments to the “at start” setup to adjust for that but I will need to log a few more games at least and study the stats of those games. I also have a strong inclination that much depends on the first turn (in terms of die roll between the Axis and Allies).

Avin

I too definitely really enjoyed the game! And yes, I agree that the first turn is pretty much decisive of how the rest of the game will play out, but sometimes games can surprise you too.

Good luck on the tournament!

Classic 2nd edition, Avin (Allies) vs AcesWild (Axis) RR no bid, game2

TripleA Turn Summary: Americans round 13

TripleA Turn Summary: Russians round 14

TripleA Turn Summary: Germans round 14

TripleA Turn Summary: British round 14

TripleA Turn Summary: Japanese round 14

TripleA Turn Summary: Americans round 14

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