Farmboy (Axis +4) vs AD (Allies) BM

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    TripleA Turn Summary for game: World War II Global 1940 Balanced Mod3, version: 3.3

    Game History

    Round: 23

    Purchase Units - Russians
                Russians buy 1 artillery and 11 infantry; Remaining resources: 0 PUs;

    Combat Move - Russians
                1 infantry moved from Smolensk to Belarus
                      Russians take Belarus from Italians
                2 infantry moved from Vologda to Archangel
                1 infantry moved from Smolensk to Archangel
                1 infantry moved from Smolensk to Archangel
                1 fighter and 1 tactical_bomber moved from Russia to Archangel
                2 infantry moved from Ukraine to Western Ukraine
                1 fighter moved from Russia to Western Ukraine
                1 fighter moved from Russia to Archangel

    Combat - Russians
                Battle in Western Ukraine
                    Russians attack with 1 fighter and 2 infantry
                    Germans defend with 1 infantry
                        Russians roll dice for 1 fighter and 2 infantry in Western Ukraine, round 2 : 3/3 hits, 0.83 expected hits
                        Germans roll dice for 1 infantry in Western Ukraine, round 2 : 1/1 hits, 0.33 expected hits
                        1 infantry owned by the Russians and 1 infantry owned by the Germans lost in Western Ukraine
                    Russians win, taking Western Ukraine from Germans with 1 fighter and 1 infantry remaining. Battle score for attacker is 0
                    Casualties for Russians: 1 infantry
                    Casualties for Germans: 1 infantry
                Battle in Archangel
                    Russians attack with 2 fighters, 4 infantry and 1 tactical_bomber
                    Germans defend with 3 infantry
                        Russians roll dice for 2 fighters, 4 infantry and 1 tactical_bomber in Archangel, round 2 : 1/7 hits, 2.33 expected hits
                        Germans roll dice for 3 infantry in Archangel, round 2 : 1/3 hits, 1.00 expected hits
                        1 infantry owned by the Russians and 1 infantry owned by the Germans lost in Archangel
                        Russians roll dice for 2 fighters, 3 infantry and 1 tactical_bomber in Archangel, round 3 : 2/6 hits, 2.17 expected hits
                        Germans roll dice for 2 infantry in Archangel, round 3 : 1/2 hits, 0.67 expected hits
                        1 infantry owned by the Russians and 2 infantry owned by the Germans lost in Archangel
                    Russians win, taking Archangel from Germans with 2 fighters, 2 infantry and 1 tactical_bomber remaining. Battle score for attacker is 3
                    Casualties for Russians: 2 infantry
                    Casualties for Germans: 3 infantry

    Non Combat Move - Russians
                3 artilleries moved from Rostov to Bryansk
                1 artillery moved from Ukraine to Bryansk
                2 artilleries moved from Russia to Bryansk
                2 infantry moved from Volgograd to Tambov
                2 fighters moved from Archangel to Russia
                2 aaGuns and 18 infantry moved from Buryatia to Amur
                1 armour and 2 mech_infantrys moved from Rostov to Ukraine
                1 armour moved from Bryansk to Ukraine
                1 fighter moved from Western Ukraine to Russia
                1 tactical_bomber moved from Archangel to Ukraine
                3 mech_infantrys moved from Russia to Ukraine
                22 mech_infantrys moved from Bryansk to Ukraine
                3 infantry moved from Bryansk to Ukraine
                3 armour and 3 mech_infantrys moved from Russia to Ukraine
                8 infantry moved from Russia to Smolensk
                14 artilleries moved from Bryansk to Smolensk
                1 artillery moved from Bryansk to Smolensk
                5 infantry moved from Bryansk to Smolensk
                5 artilleries moved from Bryansk to Smolensk
                2 infantry moved from Bryansk to Smolensk
                2 artilleries moved from Bryansk to Smolensk
                10 infantry moved from Bryansk to Smolensk
                1 infantry moved from Bryansk to Smolensk
                1 infantry moved from Bryansk to Smolensk

    Place Units - Russians
                1 artillery and 2 infantry placed in Ukraine
                9 infantry placed in Russia

    Turn Complete - Russians
                Russians collect 32 PUs; end with 32 PUs
                Trigger Russians 2 Persia Lend Lease Lane: Russians met a national objective for an additional 2 PUs; end with 34 PUs
                Trigger Russians 3 Siberia Lend Lease Lane: Russians met a national objective for an additional 2 PUs; end with 36 PUs
                Trigger Russians 1 Lend Lease: Russians met a national objective for an additional 2 PUs; end with 38 PUs

    Combat Hit Differential Summary :

    Germans : 1.00
        Russians : 0.67

    triplea_42479_Rus23.tsvg

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    because of the server issues I sent your dice email a copy of the game file.

  • 25 24 22 21 20 19 18 16 15

    @farmboy:

    because of the server issues I sent your dice email a copy of the game file.

    sure. you shud have my latest turn now

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    I saw. Just mulling the soon to be loss of Gibraltar

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    @farmboy:

    I saw. Just mulling the soon to be loss of Gibraltar

    game changer, imo

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    I think you are right.I had been fairly confident that I would have enough air in range to reinforce it over at least one more turn. Should have checked that more carefully.

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    the gib strat you employed hinges on seeing gib all the way thru. if at any point it is lost, it invalidates everything you’ve been working for. while losing w.india is a big deal, I don’t think it is enough to compensate for the loss of gib. but I could be wrong! let’s see what happens.

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    @farmboy:

    I think you are right.I had been fairly confident that I would have enough air in range to reinforce it over at least one more turn. Should have checked that more carefully.

    normally, yes. but you had to send most everything over to get w.india, which meant, I could send most everything over to get gib. it was a trade.

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    I was rather pleased with my Japan set up there. I thought I had likely forced you out of W India without letting you make too much of an immediate inroad in the pacific. But I expected you to keep spending on that rather than on the Atlantic.

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    @farmboy:

    I was rather pleased with my Japan set up there. I thought I had likely forced you out of W India without letting you make too much of an immediate inroad in the pacific. But I expected you to keep spending on that rather than on the Atlantic.

    yah, spending more in the pac doesn’t buy me anything immediate or short to mid term. it would’ve allowed you to make gains on mainland without much loss in the pac. that’s why I figured, if you’re going to go heavy on threatening the Middle East, I can go heavy on retaking gib. I can get more bang for my buck by gaining gib. opens everything up.

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    I’m seeing now. Just sent you the Germany turn.

    @axis-dominion:

    @farmboy:

    I was rather pleased with my Japan set up there. I thought I had likely forced you out of W India without letting you make too much of an immediate inroad in the pacific. But I expected you to keep spending on that rather than on the Atlantic.

    yah, spending more in the pac doesn’t buy me anything immediate or short to mid term. it would’ve allowed you to make gains on mainland without much loss in the pac. that’s why I figured, if you’re going to go heavy on threatening the Middle East, I can go heavy on retaking gib. I can get more bang for my buck by gaining gib. opens everything up.

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    gambling on your fleet in 7. Posted the file but I had 7 hits.

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    By posted, I mean emailed.

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    take out 2 dd, 2 cv, 1 anz fig

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    You had 5 hits so I sacrificed the 2 carriers and a destroyer. My next one was 4 hits.

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    2 anz 1 US fig, and injure cv

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    you had 6 hits and I took out the last 2 destroyers, 2 figs and 2 tacs. I hit another 4 times.

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    ok just go max defense from here

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    I should’ve been more careful with my fleet at sz7, but overall, the result isn’t the end of the world. you did after all lose some precious air as well.

    FINALLY I have gib back! man, it feels like I just liberated france, lol

  • 25 23 22 21 20 19 18 17

    In the last round, had I brought all the German and Italian air in (and even built an Airbase and Naval base in Syria to bring the German units there to Gib), you would have had about 83% odds. So you really would have had nothing to spare (4 air less and your odds are 50%). Probably on those odds alone you would have gone for it, since even a bad roll should hit me hard and you would likely avoid casualties to your air in the first round. I opted not to do that because it would mean the end of most of the German air and because it would expose Italy and the med fleet a turn sooner had you still taken Gibraltar. And I hadn’t thought enough about what I would do in the pacific at that point.

    But I wonder if you would have committed to an 83% battle in the Atlantic when you might need some of those units back in the pacific to block a pacific victory. I’m not sure if you would need them to block a victory but it certainly would have helped me in the pacific if in taking Gibraltar you had to pull all those units away from the pacific. And since taking Gib turns the game decisively (whether I try to hold it or not), I really had nothing to lose. I’ll still try to grab a pacific capital for a turn or two before conceding but I almost certainly can’t.

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