15L JDOW Axis vs variance Allies+16

Tip Battleship, Tip 1carrier, take 1 Tactical down please

I usually consider US suicide airstrikes and follow up combo attacks, so I did in this case. I have to say I stopped further calculations as I thought the average survivors against the air strike would be sufficient to keep the attack off. Always tricky because casualty selection has to be considered. But it seemed to me that I could at least keep one or two carrier undamaged and take air off instead and keep the capital ships to survive against follow up attacks. I indeed did not have the UK BB on the radar.
Luckily the dice worked in my favor here.

However this was the first time such a combo attack was executed against me so I now know that I am not paranoid:D

TripleA Turn Summary for game: World War II Global 1940 2nd Edition, version: 3.7

Game History

Round: 5

Purchase Units - Italians
            Italians buy 1 carrier; Remaining resources: 0 PUs;

Combat Move - Italians
            2 armour and 1 artillery moved from Ukraine to Bryansk
            2 submarines moved from 98 Sea Zone to 97 Sea Zone

Combat - Italians
            Battle in Bryansk
                Italians attack with 2 armour and 1 artillery
                Russians defend with 1 infantry
                Italians win, taking Bryansk from Russians with 2 armour and 1 artillery remaining. Battle score for attacker is 3
                Casualties for Russians: 1 infantry

Non Combat Move - Italians
            1 fighter moved from Ukraine to 97 Sea Zone
            1 fighter moved from Southern Italy to 97 Sea Zone
            1 submarine moved from 95 Sea Zone to 97 Sea Zone
            2 aaGuns and 4 infantry moved from Northern Italy to Southern Italy
            2 infantry moved from Bessarabia to Ukraine

Place Units - Italians
            1 carrier placed in 97 Sea Zone

Turn Complete - Italians
            Italians collect 14 PUs; end with 14 PUs total

TripleA Turn Summary for game: World War II Global 1940 2nd Edition, version: 3.7

Game History

Round: 5

Purchase Units - Italians
            Italians buy 1 carrier; Remaining resources: 0 PUs;

Combat Move - Italians
            2 armour and 1 artillery moved from Ukraine to Bryansk
            2 submarines moved from 98 Sea Zone to 97 Sea Zone

Combat - Italians
            Battle in Bryansk
                Italians attack with 2 armour and 1 artillery
                Russians defend with 1 infantry
                Italians win, taking Bryansk from Russians with 2 armour and 1 artillery remaining. Battle score for attacker is 3
                Casualties for Russians: 1 infantry

Non Combat Move - Italians
            1 fighter moved from Ukraine to 97 Sea Zone
            1 fighter moved from Southern Italy to 97 Sea Zone
            1 submarine moved from 95 Sea Zone to 97 Sea Zone
            2 aaGuns and 4 infantry moved from Northern Italy to Southern Italy
            2 infantry moved from Bessarabia to Ukraine

Place Units - Italians
            1 carrier placed in 97 Sea Zone

Turn Complete - Italians
            Italians collect 14 PUs; end with 14 PUs total
            Turning on Edit Mode
            EDIT: Removing units owned by Japanese from 42 Sea Zone: 1 fighter
            EDIT: Adding units owned by Japanese to Java: 1 fighter
            EDIT: Removing units owned by Japanese from Java: 1 tactical_bomber
            EDIT: Adding units owned by Japanese to 42 Sea Zone: 1 tactical_bomber
            EDIT: Turning off Edit Mode

TripleA Turn Summary for game: World War II Global 1940 2nd Edition, version: 3.7

Game History

Round: 6

Politics - Germans
            Germans takes Political Action: Political Action Germans To War With Chinese
                Germans succeeds on action: Political Action Germans To War With Chinese: Changing Relationship for Germans and Chinese from Neutrality to War

Purchase Units - Germans
            Germans buy 1 airfield, 3 armour, 3 bombers and 1 fighter; Remaining resources: 0 PUs;

Combat Move - Germans
            2 infantry moved from Novgorod to Archangel
            2 tactical_bombers moved from Novgorod to Archangel
            1 fighter moved from Novgorod to Archangel
            1 infantry moved from Belarus to Smolensk
            2 tactical_bombers moved from Ukraine to Smolensk
            10 armour moved from Ukraine to Rostov
            10 mech_infantrys moved from Ukraine to Rostov
            1 infantry moved from Ukraine to Rostov
            1 bomber moved from Western Germany to Archangel
            2 armour moved from Ukraine to Rostov
            1 mech_infantry moved from Western Ukraine to Tambov
                  Germans take Tambov from Russians

Combat - Germans
            Battle in Archangel
                Germans attack with 1 bomber, 1 fighter, 2 infantry and 2 tactical_bombers
                Russians defend with 1 armour and 1 mech_infantry
                Germans win, taking Archangel from Russians with 1 bomber, 1 fighter, 1 infantry and 2 tactical_bombers remaining. Battle score for attacker is 7
                Casualties for Germans: 1 infantry
                Casualties for Russians: 1 armour and 1 mech_infantry
            Battle in Rostov
                Germans attack with 12 armour, 1 infantry and 10 mech_infantrys
                Russians defend with 1 aaGun, 1 armour, 1 artillery and 2 infantry
                Germans win, taking Rostov from Russians with 12 armour, 1 infantry and 10 mech_infantrys remaining. Battle score for attacker is 21
                Casualties for Russians: 1 aaGun, 1 armour, 1 artillery and 2 infantry
            Battle in Smolensk
                Germans attack with 1 infantry and 2 tactical_bombers
                Russians defend with 1 infantry
                Germans win, taking Smolensk from Russians with 1 infantry and 2 tactical_bombers remaining. Battle score for attacker is 3
                Casualties for Russians: 1 infantry

Non Combat Move - Germans
            2 fighters moved from Ukraine to Southern Italy
            1 fighter moved from Western Germany to Southern Italy
            2 fighters moved from Western Germany to Yugoslavia
            1 fighter moved from Archangel to Yugoslavia
            1 aaGun moved from Western Ukraine to Bryansk
            2 mech_infantrys moved from Novgorod to Bryansk
            1 aaGun moved from Belarus to Novgorod
            4 infantry moved from Belarus to Bryansk
            2 infantry moved from Western Ukraine to Bryansk
            2 armour and 10 mech_infantrys moved from Eastern Poland to Bryansk
            5 armour, 14 artilleries, 21 infantry and 4 mech_infantrys moved from Ukraine to Bryansk
            1 bomber moved from Ukraine to Yunnan
            2 tactical_bombers moved from Smolensk to Ukraine
            1 bomber moved from Archangel to Novgorod
            1 artillery moved from Finland to Norway
            1 submarine moved from 110 Sea Zone to 92 Sea Zone
            1 infantry moved from Northern Italy to Southern Italy
            1 artillery moved from France to Northern Italy
            1 infantry moved from France to Northern Italy
            1 aaGun moved from Western Germany to Northern Italy
            1 aaGun moved from Northern Italy to Yugoslavia
            1 artillery moved from France to Northern Italy
            1 tactical_bomber moved from Archangel to Novgorod
            1 tactical_bomber moved from Archangel to Novgorod

Place Units - Germans
            3 armour placed in Ukraine
            3 bombers placed in Western Germany
            1 fighter placed in Novgorod
            1 airfield placed in Yugoslavia

Turn Complete - Germans
            Germans collect 58 PUs; end with 58 PUs total
            Trigger Germans 5 Swedish Iron Ore: Germans met a national objective for an additional 5 PUs; end with 63 PUs
            Objective Germans 2 Control Novgorod Or Volgograd Or Russia: Germans met a national objective for an additional 5 PUs; end with 68 PUs

TripleA Turn Summary for game: World War II Global 1940 2nd Edition, version: 3.7

Game History

Round: 6

Purchase Units - Japanese
            Japanese buy 1 armour, 1 artillery, 1 bomber, 1 destroyer, 3 infantry, 3 mech_infantrys, 1 submarine and 1 transport; Remaining resources: 6 SuicideAttackTokens; 0 PUs;

Combat Move - Japanese
            4 infantry moved from Ulaanbaatar to Yakut S.S.R.
            1 tactical_bomber moved from Jehol to Yakut S.S.R.
            2 bombers moved from Shantung to Yakut S.S.R.
            1 submarine moved from 6 Sea Zone to 16 Sea Zone
            1 submarine moved from 16 Sea Zone to 15 Sea Zone
            1 submarine moved from 15 Sea Zone to 8 Sea Zone
            1 fighter moved from 6 Sea Zone to 8 Sea Zone
            1 infantry moved from Yunnan to Burma
            1 artillery moved from Yunnan to Burma
            1 tactical_bomber moved from Kwangsi to Burma
            1 infantry moved from Java to 42 Sea Zone
            1 infantry and 1 transport moved from 42 Sea Zone to 37 Sea Zone
            1 artillery moved from Shan State to 37 Sea Zone
            1 artillery, 1 infantry and 1 transport moved from 37 Sea Zone to 41 Sea Zone
            1 infantry moved from 41 Sea Zone to Sumatra
            1 artillery moved from 41 Sea Zone to Sumatra
            1 bomber moved from Shan State to Sumatra
            1 infantry moved from Java to 42 Sea Zone
            1 artillery moved from Java to 42 Sea Zone
            1 artillery, 1 infantry and 1 transport moved from 42 Sea Zone to 44 Sea Zone
            1 artillery moved from 44 Sea Zone to Celebes
            1 infantry moved from 44 Sea Zone to Celebes
            1 tactical_bomber moved from 42 Sea Zone to Celebes
            1 fighter moved from Java to 44 Sea Zone
            1 submarine moved from 35 Sea Zone to 46 Sea Zone
            2 fighters moved from Caroline Islands to 46 Sea Zone
            2 tactical_bombers moved from Caroline Islands to 46 Sea Zone
            1 destroyer moved from 42 Sea Zone to 55 Sea Zone
            2 fighters moved from 42 Sea Zone to Celebes
            1 fighter moved from 42 Sea Zone to 55 Sea Zone
            1 fighter moved from Caroline Islands to 46 Sea Zone
            1 infantry moved from Suiyuyan to Shensi
            1 infantry moved from Hopei to Shensi
            1 tactical_bomber moved from Kwangsi to Shensi
            1 fighter moved from Kwangsi to Shensi
            1 tactical_bomber moved from Kwangsi to Burma

Combat - Japanese
            Battle in 44 Sea Zone
                Japanese attack with 1 fighter and 1 transport
                ANZAC defend with 1 transport
                Japanese win with 1 fighter and 1 transport remaining. Battle score for attacker is 7
                Casualties for ANZAC: 1 transport
            Battle in Sumatra
                Japanese attack with 1 artillery, 1 bomber and 1 infantry
                ANZAC defend with 1 aaGun and 1 infantry
                ANZAC win with 1 aaGun and 1 infantry remaining. Battle score for attacker is -19
                Casualties for Japanese: 1 artillery, 1 bomber and 1 infantry
            Battle in Celebes
                Japanese attack with 1 artillery, 2 fighters, 1 infantry and 1 tactical_bomber
                ANZAC defend with 2 infantry
                Japanese win, taking Celebes from ANZAC with 1 artillery, 2 fighters and 1 tactical_bomber remaining. Battle score for attacker is 3
                Casualties for ANZAC: 2 infantry
                Casualties for Japanese: 1 infantry
            Battle in 46 Sea Zone
                Japanese attack with 3 fighters, 1 submarine and 2 tactical_bombers
                Americans defend with 2 destroyers
                Japanese win with 3 fighters, 1 submarine and 2 tactical_bombers remaining. Battle score for attacker is 16
                Casualties for Americans: 2 destroyers
            Battle in Yakut S.S.R.
                Japanese attack with 2 bombers, 4 infantry and 1 tactical_bomber
                Russians defend with 1 aaGun and 4 infantry
                Japanese win, taking Yakut S.S.R. from Russians with 1 bomber and 3 infantry remaining. Battle score for attacker is -9
                Casualties for Russians: 1 aaGun and 4 infantry
                Casualties for Japanese: 1 bomber, 1 infantry and 1 tactical_bomber
            Battle in 55 Sea Zone
                Japanese attack with 1 destroyer and 1 fighter
                ANZAC defend with 1 submarine
                Japanese win with 1 fighter remaining. Battle score for attacker is -2
                Casualties for ANZAC: 1 submarine
                Casualties for Japanese: 1 destroyer
            Battle in Burma
                Japanese attack with 1 artillery, 1 infantry and 2 tactical_bombers
                British defend with 1 artillery and 1 infantry
                Japanese win, taking Burma from UK_Pacific with 1 artillery and 2 tactical_bombers remaining. Battle score for attacker is 4
                Casualties for British: 1 artillery and 1 infantry
                Casualties for Japanese: 1 infantry
            Battle in 8 Sea Zone
                Japanese attack with 1 fighter and 1 submarine
                Americans defend with 1 destroyer and 1 transport
                Japanese win with 1 fighter remaining. Battle score for attacker is 9
                Casualties for Americans: 1 destroyer and 1 transport
                Casualties for Japanese: 1 submarine
            Battle in Shensi
                Japanese attack with 1 fighter, 2 infantry and 1 tactical_bomber
                Chinese defend with 2 infantry
                Japanese win, taking Shensi from Chinese with 1 fighter, 1 infantry and 1 tactical_bomber remaining. Battle score for attacker is 3
                Casualties for Chinese: 2 infantry
                Casualties for Japanese: 1 infantry

Non Combat Move - Japanese
            1 bomber moved from Yakut S.S.R. to Buyant-Uhaa
            1 artillery moved from Yunnan to Shan State
            2 mech_infantrys moved from French Indo China to Szechwan
            1 armour moved from Kweichow to Szechwan
            1 mech_infantry moved from Kweichow to Yunnan
            1 mech_infantry moved from French Indo China to Kweichow
            1 fighter moved from 8 Sea Zone to 6 Sea Zone
            2 destroyers moved from 6 Sea Zone to 35 Sea Zone
            1 submarine moved from 6 Sea Zone to 35 Sea Zone
            1 battleship, 3 carriers and 2 cruisers moved from 42 Sea Zone to 35 Sea Zone
            2 fighters moved from Celebes to 35 Sea Zone
            1 tactical_bomber moved from Celebes to 35 Sea Zone
            1 fighter moved from 55 Sea Zone to 35 Sea Zone
            1 fighter moved from Caroline Islands to 6 Sea Zone
            1 infantry moved from Japan to 6 Sea Zone
            1 infantry and 1 transport moved from 6 Sea Zone to 35 Sea Zone
            1 infantry moved from 35 Sea Zone to Philippines
            1 tactical_bomber moved from 46 Sea Zone to Caroline Islands
            1 tactical_bomber moved from 46 Sea Zone to Philippines
            2 tactical_bombers moved from Burma to Shan State
            1 fighter moved from Shensi to Kweichow
            1 tactical_bomber moved from Shensi to Kweichow
            3 infantry moved from Anhwe to Kweichow
            2 mech_infantrys moved from Kiangsu to Hunan
            1 infantry moved from Kiangsu to Anhwe
            1 fighter moved from 46 Sea Zone to Caroline Islands
            1 fighter moved from 46 Sea Zone to Caroline Islands
            1 fighter moved from 46 Sea Zone to Philippines
            1 submarine moved from 41 Sea Zone to 39 Sea Zone
            1 fighter moved from 44 Sea Zone to Philippines

Place Units - Japanese
            1 artillery, 1 bomber and 1 infantry placed in Japan
            1 destroyer, 1 submarine and 1 transport placed in 6 Sea Zone
            1 armour, 1 infantry and 1 mech_infantry placed in French Indo China
            1 infantry and 2 mech_infantrys placed in Kiangsu

Turn Complete - Japanese
            Japanese collect 64 PUs; end with 64 PUs total

@variance:

My idea was to use the USA airstrike and then the UK battleship to get the planes off your damaged carriers and then ANZAC finish off that fleet or at least reduce it.  A high risk, high profit gamble that went terribly wrong.  Now I am kind of screwed in the Pacific.  But oh well I get to kill Italy next turn so that’s something.   :|

In the first run I aborted calculations after I saw the result of the US air strike I now spend some additional thoughts on it. I am not sure, but I do not know how to tell the OOP in the calculator to tip and sink a CC before tipping the second one.

In a nutshell I believe that the triple attack needed good luck to succeed and that with average dice the Japanese fleet would survived. In case of a total annihilation with maybe 2 Japanese fighters at Java the situation would have been interesting but not necessarily lost for Japan.

However with that complicated OOP scenarios some unknown risks remain I guess.

OOP = OOL

And don’t forget to give your Sumatra inf a medal :D