I can’t help but think that you give ‘the siberians in the east’ too much credit.
Mon Ami ItIsILeClerc , you have a Eurocentric Defensive Approach, I have a AsiaCentric Offensive Approach . Let’s say we have different Allied philosophies, and agree to disagree… as I think you give the Soviet20 too little credit :-)
I admit if Russia moves into Amur in force, Japan should not stack SEAsia with all its air but kill the Russians instead. This gives the Chinese exactly 1 extra turn to survive but the Russians are permanently dead in the east (as well as in Moscow, but that’s another story)… No matter what Russia does in the east, Japan will Always win, at the cost of only 1 turn delay in China. Well, IMHO that’s not worth loosing all Siberians for.
TMG is played correctly affects Japan for 4 turns , not 1 !!!
- It affects the J2 combat , where the TR’s in HK are frozen for combat , in case Japan goes for J2 strike.
- It affects J3 combat by freezing the newly bought TR’s that cannot be pre-loaded.
- It affects J4 by making the Japanese go NORTH - to SZ 5 !!! to kill the Soviet20 in AMUR… after they withdraw… if indeed Japan wants to chase them down!
- Then at SZ 5 in Amur… Japanese Trs and Navy? are out of position to hit any of their major NO …or objectives… only on J5… Japan comes back to its “steady state”… by which time US is ready to move![/color[/size]]
If J1 Non-Combat move ends with 2-3 Japanese TR *UNLOADED * in SZ 20 ( Off Hong Kong) … J2 itself will be frozen THE MOMENT TMG is played!.. if Japan had plans for a J2 strike that is. Now if Japan keeps the TR’s Loaded… at the end of J1… then TMG need not be played. Then on USSR2… the Siberians start their march back to Moscow… reaching there on R7 in a force of 18. China is very happy at not having to fight reinforcements that Japan did not unload
BUT…… if the 2-3 TRs are UNLOADED off HK… at and of J1… and The CV arm of Navy is not all there… &/ Kwangsi does NOT have the 14+ Aircraft at end of J1 … afraid iam giving away too much here… then play TMG ! This will make Japan’s life miserable immediately! J2 will sound like a muffled fart… rather than the explosive impact it has. J2 will NOT get Japan ANYTHING except Hong Kong and killing 3 UK Ships… OR HK and Phillippines…IF they declare on the US… That is all! And US is in the war! Then continuing the thought process… the Soviet20 need NOT attack!.. they can just sit there and Tie up 14-16+ Japanese units… wait for the IJN fleet to move The One move furthur … into DEI/MALAYA… and then strike on USSR4! they will be safe then. The J2 buy will be different… If it cannot “borrow” from Manchuria or Korea… Japan has to pay IPCs to build these units… so …instead of the 3-4 empty TR + CV…it will have 1-2 Loaded TR+CV … that means 2 less targets “hittable” later…
If Japan does NOT do J2 …. seeing the futility of it… and does NOT stack Manchuria/Korea with land troops…AND KEEP beaucoup Airstrike nearby… the Soviet20 strike with the plane(s)… and take Korea and or Manchuria wiping out upto 12 maybe 14 units there…Now … again… this is if Japan does not not have enough Land+Air Combo to kill it off.
If Japan stacks Manchuria and Korea… and keeps beaucoup Airunits at end of J1… then…do a J2 strike… hmm… J2 strike again a whimper! It is likely an either…or scenario… but it gives Allies everything they need to see before they decide.
Hence the timing is crucial…. TMG must be done then and there on J1… a turn later may be too late…
The last thing Japan can do is buy 3 TR on J1 … and keep all available Air it can spare in the vicinity where it can hit Amur. Because there are 2-3 unloaded TRs in HK, UK1 plays TMG on UK1 … USSR then can decide to move to Amur taking the risk on USSR 2 . If Japan kills the Soviet 20… USSR gets the 6 Mongolian units as a bonus… and Japan did not declare on UK+US … fine… but its Air Arm is out of position to help on a J3 strike. UK2 can just be a retreat to Burma with all Naval ( HK has a Naval Base) … and ANZAC may… or may not declare war on Japan…
But this again comes at a price for Japan…. to kill Soviet20… it loses troops… and maybe planes shot down by the 2 AAA… it loses TEMPO! Its TRs are out of position… It pretty much changes the OBJECTIVES of Japan… from taking the DEI and PHP and dominating Southern Pacific and killing China… to pretty much help Germany in killing Russia !
I mean think of the repurcussions…. and this happens before… repeat… before US2… so on US2… Allies can go with the comforting thought that India, Sydney and Hawaii are pretty safe as long as they play conservatively. US + Allies can choose KJF … so long as Egypt seems safe… results of Taranto or Tobruk will be in…
Lastly, should Japan NOT kill the Soviet20 , nor do a J2 strike… UK has the option on UK2… go back to SZ38 with the BB etc… OR do TMG deferred… where you still move the UK BB to SZ 6 … and DD to SZ 36 or 20 … wherever there are Max TRs… and ANZAC again… may… or may NOT declare war… depending.
What does this crazy sacrifice do… well all Japanese TRs are again frozen… If USSR3 was an attack and wipeout of Korea or Manchuria… then… Japan cannot on Combat turn take it out… If these places were stacked… and USSR did not attack… then J3 strike is a muffled whimper… as most TRs cannot do combat loading…
I hope you see the possibilities and the potential here.
Again… TMG is played to minimize J2…and only when J1 Non-Combat moves are favorable…( ie: check Japanese Navy, Air and TR locations) … NOT ALL THE TIME!