XDAP - 02 Final Draft (Axis) vs Dairy Qryn (Allies)

ho ho, you bombed the harbor eh.

I am starting to not believe in these built in aa guns lol.

Some people do it for a day or two, I do it for a month or two, do it did good and do it did great do it non stop do it to death.

Of course I attack with my 1 sub. Just be glad veqryn didn’t attack way back when with his 1 sub against your carrier bship. I would have totally sunk Germany way back when. That is just how I roll with my subs dawg. They my grand hustlas, bein broke aint an option. Of course I attack, I DO IT TO THE MAXIMUM. Ain’t nothin change but the name on the mail and I make it rain anywhere. My sub in sz 39 did it for his mama and his papa, he did it for his partner, and they said he was too irrational, but he did it like a ball player, 808 WEST SIDE, DO IT HOW THEY WANT TO DO, AND THEY DO IT RIGHT IN FRONT OF YOU. That is where the sub was from homie. 808 sub always hits, everybody knows that, it always hits. Just like china sucks on defense. Everybody know that.

my bad that sub was from cali, 805 homie.

I never let you down I am going to shine on sight. no matter what they do they don’t do it like me, I am a g. I am back. Keep your mind on your grind and off mine aight. Recognize I am back. I am disappointed in you dawg, you ain’t holding it down. What is a molotov cocktail that ain’t never break the glass? I ain’t never satisfied till someone dies, but I am patient like the reaper.

TripleA Turn Summary for game: World War II Global 1940 Alpha 3 Future, version: 3.1

Game History

Round :8

Purchase Units - ANZAC
            ANZAC buy 1 fighter and 1 infantry; Remaining resources: 2 PUs;

Combat Move - ANZAC
            1 artillery and 1 infantry moved from New South Wales to 62 Sea Zone
            1 artillery, 1 infantry and 1 transport moved from 62 Sea Zone to 45 Sea Zone
            1 artillery and 1 infantry moved from 45 Sea Zone to Dutch New Guinea
            1 submarine moved from 43 Sea Zone to 45 Sea Zone
            1 fighter moved from Queensland to Dutch New Guinea

Combat - ANZAC
            Battle in 45 Sea Zone
                ANZAC attack with 1 submarine and 1 transport
                Japanese defend with 1 transport
                    1 transport owned by the Japanese lost in 45 Sea Zone
                    ANZAC roll dice for 1 submarine in 45 Sea Zone, round 1 :  0/1 hits
                ANZAC win with 1 submarine and 1 transport remaining. Battle score for attacker is 7
                Casualties for Japanese: 1 transport
            Battle in Dutch New Guinea
                ANZAC attack with 1 artillery, 1 fighter and 1 infantry
                Japanese defend with 1 artillery and 1 infantry
                    ANZAC roll dice for 1 artillery, 1 fighter and 1 infantry in Dutch New Guinea, round 1 :  2/3 hits
                    Japanese roll dice for 1 artillery and 1 infantry in Dutch New Guinea, round 1 :  1/2 hits
                    1 infantry owned by the ANZAC , 1 infantry owned by the Japanese and 1 artillery owned by the Japanese lost in Dutch New Guinea
                ANZAC win, taking Dutch New Guinea from Japanese with 1 artillery and 1 fighter remaining. Battle score for attacker is 4
                Casualties for Japanese: 1 artillery and 1 infantry
                Casualties for ANZAC: 1 infantry

Non Combat Move - ANZAC
            1 fighter moved from Dutch New Guinea to New Guinea
            1 submarine moved from 62 Sea Zone to 54 Sea Zone
            2 infantry moved from Egypt to 81 Sea Zone
            1 fighter moved from Kansu to Burma
            1 infantry moved from India to Burma

Place Units - ANZAC
            1 fighter and 1 infantry placed in New South Wales

Turn Complete - ANZAC
            ANZAC collect 10 PUs; end with 12 PUs total
            Objective ANZAC 2 Control Strategic Islands: ANZAC met a national objective for an additional 5 PUs; end with 17 PUs

Territory Summary for ANZAC :

Caroline Islands : 1 flag, 1 airfield, 1 artillery and 1 harbour
    Burma : 1 flag, 1 fighter and 1 infantry
    Queensland : 1 flag, 1 airfield and 1 harbour
    New Zealand : 1 flag, 1 airfield and 1 harbour
    New South Wales : 1 flag, 1 factory_minor, 1 fighter, 1 harbour and 1 infantry
    South Australia : 1 flag, 1 aaGun, 1 artillery and 5 infantry
    New Guinea : 1 flag, 1 aaGun and 1 fighter
    Dutch New Guinea : 1 flag, 1 artillery
    42 Sea Zone : 1 flag
    45 Sea Zone : 1 flag, 1 submarine and 1 transport
    54 Sea Zone : 1 flag, 1 submarine
    81 Sea Zone : 1 flag, 2 infantry

Production/PUs Summary :

Germans : 52 / 65
    Russians : 35 / 40
    Japanese : 64 / 66
    Americans : 53 / 73
    Chinese : 6 / 7
    British : 20 / 0
    UK_Pacific : 6 / 8
    Italians : 12 / 16
    ANZAC : 10 / 17
    French : 7 / 0
    Dutch : 0 / 0
    Mongolians : 0 / 0
    Neutral_Axis : 0 / 0
    Neutral_Allies : 0 / 0
    Neutral_True : 18 / 0

Dice Statistics:

Total
            1 was rolled 3 times
            4 was rolled 2 times
            5 was rolled 1 times
        Average roll : 2.667
        Median : 2.500
        Variance : 1.600
        Standard Deviation : 1.265
        Total rolls : 6

Japanese Combat
            1 was rolled 1 times
            4 was rolled 1 times
        Average roll : 2.500
        Median : 2.500
        Variance : 2.000
        Standard Deviation : 1.414
        Total rolls : 2

ANZAC Combat
            1 was rolled 2 times
            4 was rolled 1 times
            5 was rolled 1 times
        Average roll : 2.750
        Median : 2.500
        Variance : 2.000
        Standard Deviation : 1.414
        Total rolls : 4

TripleA Turn Summary for game: World War II Global 1940 Alpha 3 Future, version: 3.1

Game History

Round :8

Combat Move - French
            2 infantry moved from Libya to Tunisia

Non Combat Move - French

Turn Complete - French

Loaded 44s on the low where the cheese at, fresh off the jet to the Jects where the g’s at

we gonna come back like TI. :D

Also, it would be great if everyone upgraded their TripleA to version 1.6.1.2 right now.
(don’t worry, your savegames will work)

http://www.axisandallies.org/forums/index.php?topic=28038.0

thx

808, 805, all their children will be slant-eyed anyways….

7 rolls or 25 rolls isn’t really enough to illustrate the Law of Central Tendency. I could run the math, but I feel reasonably safe saying that an average of 2.571 is not inconceivable over 7 rolls. Something as high as 4.429 is just as conceivable, so higher or lower numbers being the better is just an arbitration of the rules.

If you take a random sample of any 200 rolls, it shouldn’t come as a surprise that the average roll is somewhere in the neighborhood of 3.500.

Like I said before, the number of dice rolled in a game such as this pretty much eliminates luck in the long run. There is something to be said about luck in a clutch situation, yes, but speaking from experience, luck plays its role in every battle. If you follow the teachings of Sun Tzu, though, you should be accounting for bad luck anyway. Either way, the dice should be a moot point. They are just the vehicle for deciding who lives and who dies instead of actually sending troops to sort it out.  I am not saying that it is an accurate comparison, dice to troops, but it is one of supreme convenience for the situation, a game.

I have seen good and bad “luck” in this match, but I rest assured that, in the long run, it isn’t luck that will win or lose this match.

Garg’s post illustrates the math perfectly, by the way, if his point doesn’t necessarily. His 19-roll average is closer to 3.500 than the Russian 7-roll average. If this were Risk, Garg would be flaunting how lucky he is to have rolled so well. High and low are arbitrary to the system. There is no luck.

Usually people look at dice stats for the entire game. Also when you shove 15 units against 1 and only roll 1 hit… usually stuff like that you would omit, because you only needed 1 hit.

also the dd off london doesn’t matter as a hit, your stuff repairs. :)

you lost 3 inf for 3 inf, that is breaking even, you can say you got diced if you lost the battle and even then it would only be a little skirmish, you do 100 of them you going to lose a few. It is bound to happen.

What are the 15 units though? 15 unsupported infantry getting only one hit on offense is not statistically overly improbable. Even with an average roll of 1.933, 15 unsupported infantry could score only 1 hit and roll 14 2’s. That’s why I am saying that it is the context of the rolls, not luck, that is most affecting games of this nature. Luck is just a “false positive.”