@knp7765:
This may not be typical, but I played a game a while back where Germany did take London but the Allies still won. In fact, London was never liberated from Germany. USA came in and managed to take Rome, then liberated Paris and just kept hammering at Germany until they finally broke through. If I remember right, Germany was having problems in Russia and had lost most of the Luftwaffe in sinking the Royal Navy and taking London.
I don’t remember what was going on with Japan, but apparently the Pacific Allies managed to keep them in check if the US was able to muster enough force to take Rome.
This sounds perfectly plausible. As long as the Allies can hang on to Honolulu and Sydney, Japan can do whatever it likes in India, China and the Philippines but not get the VCs to win.
Meanwhile time is on the allies side in Europe. After G3 sea lion, the Germans should be basically turtled in to Berlin and USSR should be all over Eastern Europe. The direct route from Berlin and Moscow has 5 territories, so if Germany spends its UK windfall on land units round 4 and then starts marching eastward round 5 (and doesn’t suffer any setbacks despite USSR having very large income for several turns), the earliest they can possibly be at Moscow is round 10.