@The_Good_Captain Game History
Round: 1 Combat Move - Germans 1 mech and 2 tanks moved from El Agheila to Zella 1 mech, 1 scoutcar and 2 tanks moved from Zella to Mersa Brega 1 G-antitank and 1 artillery moved from El Agheila to Mersa Brega 1 G-bomber and 1 G-fighter moved from Tripoli to Mersa Brega Combat - Germans Non Combat Move - Germans Trigger AddCoastRoadTripoli: Germans has 1 coast_road placed in Tripoli Turning on Edit Mode EDIT: Removing units owned by Germans from El Agheila: 1 5-supply EDIT: Adding units owned by Italians to El Agheila: 3 1-supplys EDIT: Removing units owned by British from Mersa Brega: 1 5-supply EDIT: Adding units owned by Uncontrolled to Mersa Brega: 3 1-supplys EDIT: Removing units owned by Italians from El Agheila: 2 1-supplys EDIT: Removing units owned by Germans from Mersa Brega: 1 scoutcar EDIT: Removing units owned by Germans from Mersa Brega: 1 artillery and 1 mech EDIT: Removing units owned by British from Mersa Brega: 1 artillery, 1 infantry and 1 matilda EDIT: Removing units owned by British from Mersa Brega: 1 UK-truck EDIT: Adding units owned by Germans to Mersa Brega: 1 UK-truck EDIT: Turning off Edit Mode Trigger RemoveCoastRoadTripoli: has removed 1 coast_road owned by Germans in Tripoli 1 G-bomber and 1 G-fighter moved from Mersa Brega to El Agheila 1 mech moved from Tripoli to Mersa Brega Place Units - Germans 1 1-supply and 2 G-fighters placed in Tripoli Convoy G Assign Convoy Escorts - Germans Trigger AllowGermanFighterToStayAtSea: Setting carrierCost to 0 for unitAttachment attached to G-fighter Trigger AllowGermanBomberToStayAtSea: Setting carrierCost to 0 for unitAttachment attached to G-bomber Trigger ReduceMovementGermanAircraft: Setting movement to 2 for unitAttachment attached to G-fighter Trigger ReduceMovementGermanAircraft: Setting movement to 2 for unitAttachment attached to G-bomber Trigger 1British5-supplyCairo: Uncontrolled has 1 5-supply placed in Sahara Desert 1 Trigger 2British1-supplyMalta: Uncontrolled has 1 1-supply placed in Sahara Desert 1 Trigger 1British1-supplyTobruk: Uncontrolled has 1 1-supply placed in Sahara Desert 1 Trigger 2British5-supplyTobruk: Uncontrolled has 1 5-supply placed in Sahara Desert 1 Trigger 2British1-supplyTobruk: Uncontrolled has 1 1-supply placed in Sahara Desert 1 Trigger 2German1-supplyTripoli: Uncontrolled has 1 1-supply placed in Sahara Desert 1 Trigger 2British1-supplyBenghazi: Uncontrolled has 1 1-supply placed in Sahara Desert 1 Trigger 1British5-supplyTobruk: Uncontrolled has 1 5-supply placed in Sahara Desert 1 Trigger 3British1-supplyTobruk: Uncontrolled has 1 1-supply placed in Sahara Desert 1 Trigger 3British1-supplyBenghazi: Uncontrolled has 1 1-supply placed in Sahara Desert 1 Trigger 1British1-supplyBenghazi: Uncontrolled has 1 1-supply placed in Sahara Desert 1 Trigger 1German1-supplyTripoli Convoy G: Uncontrolled has 1 1-supply placed in Sahara Desert 1 Trigger 3German1-supplyTripoli: Uncontrolled has 1 1-supply placed in Sahara Desert 1 Trigger 1Italian1-supplyEl Agheila: Uncontrolled has 1 1-supply placed in Sahara Desert 1 Trigger 1German1-supplyTripoli: Uncontrolled has 1 1-supply placed in Sahara Desert 1 Trigger 1British1-supplyMalta: Uncontrolled has 1 1-supply placed in Sahara Desert 1 Trigger 3British5-supplyTobruk: Uncontrolled has 1 5-supply placed in Sahara Desert 1 Trigger IncreaseAircraftMovementTo4: Setting movement to 4 for unitAttachment attached to G-fighter Trigger IncreaseAircraftMovementTo4: Setting movement to 4 for unitAttachment attached to G-bomber 1 G-bomber moved from Sicily to Sea Zone 13 2 G-fighters moved from Tripoli Convoy G to Sea Zone 13 End Turn - Germans Germans collect 0 PUs; end with 4 PUs Objective Germans Base Income: Germans met a national objective for an additional 25 PUs; end with 29 PUsExperimental Alpha 4 Game - Wrongway Corrigan vs. Noll
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Do you think 3rounds of 9 IPCs (27) to Japan won’t change anything?
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1 in 91
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I might have been able to retake, in any case, you were actually taking shots at battles with less than 50% odds.
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Also I had to sacrifice transport for those attacks
each attack costed anzac 14IPCs average
that’s 42 IPCs wasted for nothing.
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Giving 1damage was enough to let me take it the next round, but I never hit and you always hit back 100%.
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and you didn’t have even 50% odds, you were playing for luck.
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and for you taking back Java was costly, and that was my point
you get back 9 ipcs but you pay at least 13 for it.
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ok - but I don’t believe that the game came down to that.
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66% of giving you 1hit x3 rounds is luck?
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but you sacrifice more than 13 to get it. Â
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What I mean is that I don’t cry bad luck for all the things that happened to me in this game, so it always sounds like I’m the only one getting lucky rolls.
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I’m not crying here, I’m just trying to confirm that I can trust the odds calculators or not.
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also, what’s the chance of 4dd in 4different seazones all hitting me back?
Making me lose 1anzac fighter, 1american fighter, 1submarine, 1dd?
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although it is a shame, because it would have been awesome to play out the game with the expected result.
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I think we agree that this is a game of dice, and the dice can be crazy.
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anyway, at the end of the day, I’m not ready to comment on balance after 1 game, but I do believe that it played out like WW II.
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1.) UK fleet in 91, 98, 110, 112 move to 111 (includes tac bomb on cv)
2.) Naval base in Scotland
3.) airbase on Gibraltar
4.) fighter on Malta and gib removed, moved to Scotland
5.) interceptors shoot at 2
6.) USSR Dow rights delayed to Round 6
7.) USA DOW rights delayed to Round 8
8.) One consolidated income for UK, to be used as they see fit
9.) Amphib Assaults attack at -1
10.) France and Italy switch sides? -
I wanna add something else to the luck factor
what’s the chance of 16chinese inf +1chinese fig hitting 4 total in defense?
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1.) UK fleet in 91, 98, 110, 112 move to 111 (includes tac bomb on cv)
2.) Naval base in Scotland
3.) airbase on Gibraltar
4.) fighter on Malta and gib removed, moved to Scotland
5.) interceptors shoot at 2
6.) USSR Dow rights delayed to Round 6
7.) USA DOW rights delayed “end of” Round 8
8.) One consolidated income for UK, to be used as they see fitFrance and Italy switch sides = no! It’s too complicated, also, if Italy switches side I think it will help the Axis more xD
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since the expected number of hits is 6, probably greater than you believe, certainly greater than 5%,





