Game History
Round: 4 Purchase Units - Ottomans Note to players Ottomans: <body><b>All powers can now produce tank units!<b></body> Condition TankProductionOttomans: Ottomans has their production frontier changed to: lateWarProduction Ottomans buy 7 infantry; Remaining resources: 1 PUs; Combat Move - Ottomans 3 infantry moved from Arabia to Mesopotamia 1 artillery and 11 infantry moved from Ankara to Mesopotamia 2 infantry moved from Smyrna to Trans-Jordan 2 infantry moved from Trans-Jordan to Arabia 2 infantry moved from Constantinople to Smyrna 4 infantry moved from Constantinople to Ankara Combat - Ottomans Ottomans has abandoned SZ 18 to Italians Combat Move - Ottomans Trigger ChangeToTriesteMine: AustroHungarians captures territory SZ 18 Place Units - Ottomans 7 infantry placed in Constantinople Turn Complete - Ottomans Ottomans collect 20 PUs; end with 21 PUsExperimental Alpha 4 Game - Wrongway Corrigan vs. Noll
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Italy collects 17 + 2 saved = 19 less CRD
CRD in 72 capped at 2
Rolls: 2@3; Total Hits: 22@3: (1, 1) -
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you missed my 3 tactical bombers in w germany
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Oh damn…
Well Russia’s turn is already done, my bad.
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However, I not only need to win this, I need to get something close to the expected result or better.
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90% >>
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the key is the 100 ipc spread in damages, you’ve been able to turn several battles that looked like they had massacre potential into almost even exchanges, an even exchange will not carry the game for me, now i need the dice to be kind.
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and you did the same, many times, but I never pointed it out.
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If the calculator is right, you should survive with around
7arm 2fig 3tac 2bmb (if AA doesnt hit) -
I get 416 ipcs of damage, that will look like
1 ftr = 10
109 inf = 327
20 arts = 80that leaves me with 9 armor and 13 arts to hold the territory.
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sorry, 20 combination of arts and mechs hit.
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Germany – Winter 1943-44
With 49 ipcs,
12 mechs = 48
Save 1 ipcGermans assassinate hitler, renounce fascism, this is a war to end communism – all Jews and concentration camps are emptied, please God bless our efforts and allow us to liberate Ukraine!
Attack
N Ukraine (2 aa 74 inf 9 mech 38 art 11 tanks 2 ftrs 1 tac) with
E poland,
3 tacs fr w Germany
2 bmbs fr s Italy
2 ftrs fr 115Aa guns
Rolls: 6@1; Total Hits: 16@1: (6, 3, 5, 5, 1, 3) -
109 inf 2 mech 31 art 9 tank 1 ftr 3 tacs 2 bmbs vs. 2 aa 74 inf 9 mech 38 art 11 tanks 2 ftrs 1 tac
Attack
Rolls: 80@1 62@2 10@3 5@4; Total Hits: 4480@1: (4, 2, 1, 3, 1, 6, 6, 4, 5, 2, 4, 6, 6, 1, 2, 1, 3, 6, 1, 4, 6, 5, 2, 2, 6, 6, 2, 3, 5, 1, 4, 3, 2, 5, 5, 3, 5, 5, 6, 3, 1, 3, 3, 6, 4, 4, 6, 6, 4, 6, 3, 3, 5, 5, 5, 4, 4, 1, 1, 2, 1, 5, 4, 2, 3, 3, 4, 1, 1, 4, 4, 2, 6, 6, 1, 4, 4, 1, 3, 1)62@2: (1, 6, 4, 5, 4, 2, 3, 1, 2, 3, 3, 3, 1, 6, 5, 4, 3, 2, 4, 4, 6, 2, 5, 6, 2, 6, 3, 5, 6, 5, 5, 6, 5, 3, 5, 2, 4, 1, 3, 6, 4, 5, 2, 4, 5, 6, 2, 1, 2, 6, 5, 2, 1, 3, 1, 2, 2, 3, 6, 2, 2, 5)10@3: (2, 6, 1, 6, 2, 5, 6, 4, 5, 4)5@4: (3, 1, 1, 1, 1)
DefendRolls: 121@2 12@3 2@4; Total Hits: 61121@2: (2, 2, 3, 1, 6, 4, 2, 3, 4, 4, 5, 1, 3, 1, 2, 2, 2, 2, 3, 1, 3, 2, 1, 6, 6, 4, 3, 1, 5, 3, 1, 1, 5, 3, 2, 5, 1, 4, 2, 4, 1, 1, 5, 4, 1, 6, 5, 2, 1, 2, 3, 4, 3, 3, 3, 3, 1, 6, 3, 6, 3, 4, 6, 1, 6, 2, 6, 6, 5, 1, 4, 5, 1, 2, 2, 2, 2, 1, 3, 2, 2, 6, 5, 5, 3, 2, 2, 3, 2, 5, 2, 4, 2, 2, 5, 2, 3, 4, 2, 1, 5, 5, 6, 5, 1, 1, 1, 3, 1, 4, 4, 3, 3, 3, 2, 5, 5, 3, 2, 1, 1)12@3: (4, 4, 2, 5, 2, 4, 2, 5, 5, 3, 3, 4)2@4: (2, 2) -
I seriously can’t imagine the opening round of that battle going any better for you.
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45% of your shots at 2 hit.
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sometimes 90% odds are just not enough, now what to do???
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Attack
N Ukraine (2 aa 74 inf 9 mech 38 art 11 tanks 2 ftrs 1 tac) with
E poland,
3 tacs fr w Germany
2 bmbs fr s Italy
2 ftrs fr 11548 inf 2 mech 31 art 9 tank 1 ftr 3 tacs 2 bmbs vs. 32 inf 9 mech 38 art 11 tanks 2 ftrs 1 tac
Attack
Rolls: 19@1 62@2 10@3 5@4; Total Hits: 2919@1: (4, 3, 2, 2, 2, 3, 2, 6, 4, 3, 3, 6, 4, 5, 6, 2, 5, 6, 3)62@2: (5, 1, 4, 6, 4, 1, 2, 4, 6, 5, 6, 6, 2, 3, 1, 4, 4, 4, 5, 4, 2, 1, 1, 2, 5, 5, 1, 6, 3, 1, 3, 2, 2, 6, 2, 5, 6, 3, 3, 5, 2, 3, 4, 4, 5, 5, 1, 3, 3, 6, 1, 4, 1, 1, 5, 5, 6, 6, 5, 3, 6, 1)10@3: (5, 1, 1, 6, 6, 1, 3, 3, 6, 4)5@4: (5, 4, 1, 4, 2)
DefendRolls: 79@2 12@3 2@4; Total Hits: 3679@2: (2, 6, 5, 1, 1, 2, 1, 1, 1, 6, 1, 1, 5, 3, 1, 5, 1, 2, 6, 6, 1, 6, 3, 4, 5, 1, 2, 2, 1, 5, 4, 3, 5, 2, 3, 5, 4, 4, 6, 5, 4, 6, 5, 2, 3, 6, 1, 3, 1, 6, 3, 2, 5, 5, 5, 4, 5, 6, 6, 6, 5, 3, 2, 3, 5, 5, 2, 3, 3, 1, 1, 6, 1, 6, 1, 3, 5, 1, 6)12@3: (5, 1, 2, 1, 6, 1, 5, 3, 6, 5, 2, 6)2@4: (3, 5) -
didn’t get any better there
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40% of your shots at 2 hit that time.
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and so a battle where I had 90% odds and should have come out 100 ipcs ahead,
by the third round has me down to 30% odds and 72 ipcs more in damage than expected.I’m pretty sure that’s a 1 in 100 type of victory for you.
At this point, if we play it out it’s just to see how long it takes you to capture the capitals.
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