Noll (Allies) vs. Corriganbp (Axis) - A3 as of Nov 2011 - Anti Sea Lion Test


  • 67% - expected result is 4 surviving planes.

    If you really have to get to Gib this turn, then block with the CA and DD. Â

    if you have all your carriers at gib, the odds get bad for Germany.

    Of course, I will happily sink the CA and DD.

    Also, I will want to relook at my Italian turn, to see what I would have done differently.

    If we’re going to do this, we should basically back up to Allies 3, complete the non combat moves, and then let me take Italy’s turn.


  • I think that what you are suggesting is very close to what should be done; however, implementation - dice rolls - the breaks will be different each game.

    I do not believe that the specifics of what the allies do are so important, as long as they take enough pressure off of Russia that russia can do what it must do for the allies to win a post sea lion game.

    Also, remember that the Russian NO is changing.  You are going by the current official A3 rule, but Krieg has already suggested that the NO for pro allied neutrals, Yugo, Greece, is going away.


  • this game is somewhat of an experiment for me as well, as I am trying to see what would happen if Germany bought all Navy R3.


  • I noticed that you forgot the CRD against UK Mumbai, Shan State and Siam.

    here’s rolling for that:

    DiceRolls: 7@3; Total Hits: 27@3: (3, 4, 6, 2, 6, 5, 6)


  • I am deducting 2 from the UK Mumbai’s ipc total for the CRD.  There was enough to deduct Shan State and Siam.


  • CRD against Korea as well

    DiceRolls: 9@3; Total Hits: 69@3: (2, 4, 3, 2, 2, 1, 3, 5, 5)


  • that’s 3 less ipcs for USSR


  • Japan 4
    With 71 ipcs,
    3 cvs = 48
    2 dds = 16
    1 sub = 6
    Save 1 ipc

    Combat
    1 inf fr sze to sik
    1 inf fr she to tsi
    1 inf fr she to kan

    Attack sui (4 inf) with
    3 inf 2 art fr she
    1 inf fr hop
    2 bmbs fr kwa

    AttackDiceRolls: 2@1 4@2 2@4; Total Hits: 42@1: (2, 1)4@2: (5, 1, 1, 4)2@4: (6, 3)
    DefendDiceRolls: 4@2; Total Hits: 24@2: (2, 6, 5, 1)

    Attack sz 42 ( 1 dd) with
    1 sub fr 41
    Ftr tac fr 41
    Ftr tac fr kwa

    AttackDiceRolls: 1@2 2@3 2@4; Total Hits: 31@2: (2)2@3: (4, 6)2@4: (2, 2)
    DefendDiceRolls: 1@2; Total Hits: 01@2: (4)

    Attack shan state ( 1 inf ) with
    2 inf fr Malaya
    3 ftrs 2 tacs fr kwa, 37, 41

    AttackDiceRolls: 2@1 3@3 2@4; Total Hits: 22@1: (5, 4)3@3: (6, 3, 3)2@4: (6, 5)
    DefendDiceRolls: 1@2; Total Hits: 01@2: (4)

    Drop 1 inf fr Celebes to FIC
    Drop 1 inf fr Borneo to Siam

    Attack phillipines (2 inf) with

    1 inf 1 art fr Sumatra
    2 inf fr Kwangtung 1 art fr Kwa 1 inf fr Palau
    1 bb 1 ca support shots
    Ftr tac fr kwa
    2 ftrs fr 36
    BombardDiceRolls: 1@3 1@4; Total Hits: 21@3: (2)1@4: (2)
    AttackDiceRolls: 2@1 4@2 3@3 1@4; Total Hits: 62@1: (6, 3)4@2: (1, 2, 3, 5)3@3: (2, 3, 2)1@4: (1)
    DefendDiceRolls: 2@2; Total Hits: 02@2: (6, 4)


  • Japan collects 63, saved 1 = 64

    we’ve got our oil 4.AAM


  • hmmmmm

    by checking the game, don’t you agree that my chances of defending a Japanese victory are very slim?

    You can get Sydney in 2 turns, with:

    11inf 3rtl 7fig 5tac
    2cr bomb 2bb bomb

    VS:

    up to:

    2aa 10inf 3rtl 1arm 2fig (1american one)

    for a 100.0% chance of winning.

    After Sydney even 2 full buys of Pacific #USA won’t prevent an Hawaii falling, do you agree with me and we can start a new game?


  • you might be in position to take a VC with the Russians by then, but I do agree that Japan can overcome and you must choose between Atlantic or Pacific.

    we can start a new game, or continue an old game if you like.


  • @corriganbp:

    you might be in position to take a VC with the Russians by then, but I do agree that Japan can overcome and you must choose between Atlantic or Pacific.

    we can start a new game, or continue an old game if you like.

    or both! :)

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