Jenn (Axis) vs Noll (Allies) - Alpha+3 - most recent rules (11/25/11) - no tech

Damage:
Rolls: 1@6; Total Hits: 11@6: (3)
+2

E. Poland:
Attacker:
Rolls: 12@4; Total Hits: 1012@4: (2, 1, 4, 5, 1, 3, 3, 3, 1, 2, 5, 4)
Defender:
Rolls: 12@2; Total Hits: 412@2: (4, 4, 1, 2, 2, 2, 4, 6, 6, 3, 5, 6)

Algeria:
Attacker:
Rolls: 4@1 4@3; Total Hits: 44@1: (3, 2, 2, 1)4@3: (3, 4, 3, 3)
Defender:
Rolls: 3@2; Total Hits: 13@2: (4, 2, 3)

Build: Minor in Iraq
Build: 2 Inf, Art in Egypt
Build: Submarine, Destroyer in SZ 95

Collect: 2 Iraq, 2 C. Persia, 2 N. Persia, 5 Egypt, 5 Med, 20 TT = 36 IPC

Germany:

Buy(61)

• 9 Infantry
• 1 Artillery
• 5 Armor

Combat Moves:

2 Strategic Bombers, Fighter, Tactical, 3 Mechanized Infantry, Armor to Belarus
Armor to Baltic States
Infnatry to Bessarabia
4 Infantry, Fighter, Tactical to Poland
Cruiser, Battleship, 2 Infantry, 2 Fighters to Norway

Combat:

Belarus:
Attacker:
Rolls: 3@1 2@3 3@4; Total Hits: 33@1: (4, 2, 6)2@3: (4, 1)3@4: (3, 3, 6)
Defender:
Rolls: 6@2; Total Hits: 26@2: (4, 5, 4, 1, 1, 4)

Attacker:
Rolls: 1@1 2@3 3@4; Total Hits: 31@1: (4)2@3: (1, 5)3@4: (5, 2, 4)
Defender:
Rolls: 3@2; Total Hits: 13@2: (2, 6, 6)

Poland:
Attacker:
Rolls: 4@1 1@3 1@4; Total Hits: 54@1: (1, 1, 2, 1)1@3: (1)1@4: (3)
Defender:
Rolls: 3@2; Total Hits: 23@2: (4, 2, 1)

Poland:
Attacker:
Rolls: 2@1 3@3 1@4; Total Hits: 12@1: (3, 3)3@3: (4, 6, 4)1@4: (1)
Defender:
Rolls: 1@2; Total Hits: 01@2: (6)

You know, I was not going to use the shore bombardments…now I’m glad I did!

Build: 9 Infantry, Artillery in Germany
Build: 5 Infantry in W. Germany

CRD SZ 119
Rolls: 2@2; Total Hits: 12@2: (3, 2)
Max 2

CRD SZ 109
Rolls: 2@2; Total Hits: 02@2: (4, 6)

Collect: 5 Egypt + 5 Sweeden + 53 TT - 2 CRD = 61 IPC

Note:  If the French ships move towards me I reserve the right to use any units I did not use in combat to kill them before the Americans can reinforce them.

01_Noll_v_Jennifer_Mark_II__08Agermany.AAM

It’s my current position that the allies can stall but will be in a downward loop for the next 3 or 4 turns.  By then the situation could be radically different or the same in Europe.

Why?

America cannot land in Spain until they can secure Turkey from being liberated.  They can attack it with Russia, but that’s going to sap much needed Russian units from keeping the Germans and Italians out.  That means America has to land in Gibraltar.  If they do that then there is almost no hope of Italy or Germany taking Gibraltar and a virtual certainty that the naval base will be bombed by something. (Original plan was to make a tactical bomber on S. Italy this round, just so I could hit the Naval base and land on the carriers next to Gibraltar, but I forgot.)

Meanwhile, with 13 transports in SZ 112, Russia HAS to consider the possibility of an invasion in the north, which limits what they can produce in the south.  With 2 Italian complexes going in or near Egypt, and no help from India, that’s a tough order to fill.  Sure AA Guns have been lousy all around, and that will probably change (though I’ve been under concerted SBR attack by EM on many occassions wondering if all the statistical formulas I had to memorize are actually valid or not…) there is no guarentee of it.  So even with the + 6 IPC Russia should be getting from the Pacific, they are losing 10 IPC in Russia on their complexes, assuming they repair them. (3 or 4 IPC die average + 2 so I rounded down to 5 each.)  Add to that they have no lost the ability to take mainland territories in Europe for their NOs and I think Russia is in the process of going down. (In my opinion, 5 Strategic Bombers for Russia is probably a big contributer to this.  But maybe it’s what is saving Russia from going over the brink.)

The Japanese fleet is not yet crushed, and that’s a big thing really!  America is not “done” until that fleet is gone.  Right now it’s at least two turns until that happens since they will be able to once again block the American fleet.  If the Americans move to Okinawa or Iwo Jima they cannot block again, but can retreat and extend the chase for at least a little longer and that ties up resources and keeps them away from the Germans.

So yes, as of right now, I think the game is going to turn into an Axis win, I think the only reason the last one failed is because I changed horses midstream and turned to attack the Americans instead of India, when this was corrected, the game shifted (in my mind) dramatically the other way.  Sure, America is still king of the Pacific, but it’s not king of the Atlantic as well, and India is not marching across the Middle East sands because there is no India.

I am going to lunch as soon as the United States Post Office brings me my check (so I can afford to go to lunch!)  I have to go to Best Buy afterwards and return a wireless keyboard/mouse. (I subsequently allowed my children to break the laptop I needed it for, thus ending my need for the new peripherals…crap I wish I could spell!)

@Noll:

sz37 cleared with loss of 1dd

(damn I forgot to send 1dd vs the sz45 empty transport… I totally suck…)

Yup.  Kiss Philippines good bye.  Nah, go ahead and kill the transport.  I did it to S. France in one of my games (maybe even this one) where I forgot to put the attack in writing but intended to do it.

@Noll:

then I have to reroll sz37 cause I can send there only 2 dds, I will take 1 as casuality round#1 cause you hitted.

That sounds fair.