@Cmdr:
If you dont hit SZ 26, then there’s no point in hitting SZ 37, SZ 35, Philippines or Borneo either. If hitting SZ 26 is bad, the others are worse!
Hitting 26 can be bad if you need to commit ALL your fleet there (and becoming out of position). Shadow’s idea to go in with the small ships has some appeal, say:
1 sub
2 DD
2 fighters
2 tacs
Odds are 94% with scramble, losses of 28 IPC, causing losses of 52, that’s a differential of 24IPC. In this case, lose the sub, 1 DD and 1 plane, maybe 2 (leaving 1 block)
If no scramble,8 of losses against 33 IPC of damage caused, again IPC differential of 25…
Being in Wake is not too bad, can go to carolines from there and options become pretty open.
I kind of like his suggestion actually!