Life has been in a bit of an upheaval the past few days.
I’m looking forward to sitting down and playing the next move, but not sure when, right now
I hope you don’t mind, thanks
Really poor? You’re revealing either your bias or your ignorance.
Chance of missing everything (that sure would have been nice) = 19.38%
Chance of hitting zero or one = 54.27%
Chance of hitting 2 or less = 82.17%
So it was a typical roll. Certainly not “really poor”.
@JWW:
I am a glass half full guy. I’m above avg. At least that is what my beautiful wife says. :wink:
:-)
Except it seems you are a glass half empty guy to me. You complain about average results! If you were glass half full, you would be glad you hit one!!
If you want to talk dice, it was unfortunate for me to lose a fighter in the Pacific, and to fail to take France, as I got sub-par rolls after the completely average (1/6) AA. Balanced out by tremendous damage rolls, so all in all, I would consider that an average US turn. I think the numbers back me up.
Do you have time for the German move? If you do it, I can move Russia within an hour or two this evening.
Hm - 16 rounds completed in 2 1/2 months. That’s almost a move per day on average - pretty good
You’re revealing either your bias or your ignorance.
or BOTH!
Really? going 0-9 for a one is 20% likely? and 1-9 over 54%?? I am NOT a math guy and I have NO IDEA how you come to those calculations but they seem like really big numbers.
So I guess all those lone super subs that keep getting one’s on D is like a math miracle? Not that we believe in miracles……
@JWW:
Really? going 0-9 for a one is 20% likely? and 1-9 over 54%?? I am NOT a math guy and I have NO IDEA how you come to those calculations but they seem like really big numbers.
Yes.
I have an accurate A&A calculator.
I put in 9 bombers against 9 bombers for 1 round only, and looked at the % distribution.
Yes, there is a 20% chance that 9 1’s will miss completely.
G17 rpr 8 purch 3 inf & art spend 21 (save 1)
combat
#1a ukr (arm) v inf, art (bul)
#1 nwe (3inf, aa) v 4inf, art, arm & 3 fgt (ger)
#2 pol (inf) v 2inf (bul) & 4 fgt (ger)
#3 cze (inf) v 5inf & 10 arm (bul)
this is not looking good……
ukr attackRolls: 2@2; Total Hits: 12@2: (4, 2)v arm
Rolls: 1@3; Total Hits: 01@3: (6)
0.hit 19,38 %
1.hit 34,89 %
2.hit 27,91 %
3.hit 13,02 %
4.hit 3,91 %
5.hit 0,78 %
6.hit 0,10 %
7.hit 0,01 %
8.hit 0,00 %
9.hit 0,00 %
100,00 %
Just tought i should end the discussion. This is for 9 planes running against an AA. The probability is for that exact outcome. So for hitting 3 or less you have to add up 0.hit trough 3.hit etc.
ukr twol
NWE aa fireRolls: 3@1; Total Hits: 13@1: (1, 6, 3)this must be like 70% there isn’t a one?
BS, I don’t believe your math. doesn’t account for the randomness of dice. I prefer to hang in the quantum mechanics world where there is just too much chaos for lack of a better world to make such bold presumptions.
NWE attackRolls: 3@3 2@2 3@1; Total Hits: 33@3: (1, 4, 5)2@2: (1, 1)3@1: (3, 3, 4)v 3inf
Rolls: 3@2; Total Hits: 03@2: (3, 5, 4)
@JWW:
ukr twol
NWE aa fire
Rolls: 3@1; Total Hits: 13@1: (1, 6, 3)this must be like 70% there isn’t a one?
0.hit 57,87 %
1.hit 34,72 %
2.hit 6,94 %
3.hit 0,46 %
nwe twlo fgt
pol attackRolls: 4@3 2@1; Total Hits: 04@3: (6, 6, 6, 6)2@1: (3, 3)v inf
Rolls: 1@2; Total Hits: 11@2: (1)
really
Rolls: 4@3 1@1; Total Hits: 04@3: (6, 6, 4, 4)1@1: (6)v inf
Rolls: 1@2; Total Hits: 11@2: (2)
@JWW:
this must be like 70% there isn’t a one?
57.9%
Evil omens -
Looks like your sign to quit, JW
@Pin:
@JWW:
ukr twol
NWE aa fire
Rolls: 3@1; Total Hits: 13@1: (1, 6, 3)this must be like 70% there isn’t a one?
0.hit 57,87 %
1.hit 34,72 %
2.hit 6,94 %
3.hit 0,46 %
so basically, according to your chart you got lucky seeing as I had a 55% chance of not getting hit?
last post ill make about statistics, sorry but i love statistics :p
1st round 0,72 %
2nd round 0,87 %
total 0,01 %
This is the Poland battle odds for what happened, thats one sick sick outlier. You probably wont see such a skewed fight in most games you roll on this site :p
Evil omens -
Looks like your sign to quit, JW
yeah those odds are like stupid huh?
3rd waveRolls: 3@3 1@1; Total Hits: 43@3: (1, 3, 2)1@1: (1)v inf
Rolls: 1@2; Total Hits: 01@2: (3)