Round 5-7 1/2 totals
No, that should be round 8 1/2. 3 1/2 rounds of play.
SBR results
Allies
0/6 hits from AA on SBR
22 damage total, for a 3.67 damage average (3.5 expected)
Axis
0/0 hits from AA on SBR
11 damage total on 3 runs, for a 3.67 damage average (exactly the same as Allies)
Other AA
Allies
Missed twice
Axis
Missed thrice
So as far as lucky SBR’s, I’m about 1 bomber ahead and 4.5 damage ahead (downed bomber would do no damage except kill a couple of random cows)
So it seems you are also subject to personal bias (aren’t we all) and in fact we’ve both had close to average luck with SBR’s (with me so far being slightly luckier than average)
Yeah, I like crunching numbers. It’s what I do. :-) Seems to translate into a lot of A&A success, too.
Very interesting when the numbers are crunched!
You need to land the bomber that is in Cau. I won’t allow it to continuously bomb Stalingrad until J9 to do the maximum 8 damage…. :-)
yeah I remembered this as I drove home from work yesterday, been incredibly busy, sorry……land it in IND…I think that should be fine?
SBR results
Allies
Missed twice
Russia knocked a german bmb out of the sky. You missed that.
Don’t even talk to me about defensive 2’s. Pretty sure you’ve been hitting around 50% so far. Now I’m curious and will go check.
OK, the numbers are in. You’re not hitting 50%, it just feels like it. That’s why I like to check the numbers - to reconcile facts with feelings. In the charts below, the results are the number of hits suffered by each power. So, for example, in the first 4 rounds Russia faced a 29.6% hit rate from all Axis defending 2’s.
Rounds 1-4 totals (facing defensive 2’s only):
G 2/18 11.1%
R 8/27 29.6%
J 6/22 27.3%
UK 5/9 55.6%
I 2/4 50%
US 3/8 37.5%Axis 10/44 22.7% (Yeah, that was noticeable)
Allies 16/44 36.4% (a little worse than average over 4 rounds)Round 5-7 1/2 totals
G 8/22 36.4% (Can’t get lucky forever)
R 18/53 34.0%
J 9/21 42.9% (Ouch)
UK 7/19 36.8%
I 1/8 12.5%
US 1/2 50%Axis 18/51 35.3%
Allies 26/74 35.1%Game totals
Axis 28/95 29.5%
Allies 42/118 35.6%Yep, you’ve been lucky so far. But not lucky enough. :-)
damn, if your going to go this far you should go all the way? I’d argue it is close to even. That R supersub has gotten a lot of traction!
@JWW:
yeah I remembered this as I drove home from work yesterday, been incredibly busy, sorry……land it in IND…I think that should be fine?
Yeah…… I thought about buying a tank instead of AA if you were out of range, but no, I do want that AA gun, so it is fine as it is, yes.
I definitely don’t think it’s been even. Red October success has been more than offset by other things - like when you cleaned up Congo, you were most likely to lose between 2 and 5 planes, and quite possibly not clear it at all. You only lost 3.
It is difficult to really accurately and objectively evaluate the overall luck of a game. Defensive 2’s is a pretty decent indicator. Besides the sub/cruiser battles, it ignores the horrible offense of the Russians. A big reason the Russians have faced 80 defending die rolls on a 2 is because the Russians have missed so often.
To be clear, I’m not trying to make a big deal or prove that you have been luckier than me. I was only looking into my own assertion that it seems you’ve hit so much on 2’s, so I looked at the actual results. I found that it hasn’t been as bad as I thought (First 4 rounds of Germany notwithstanding).
SBR results
Allies
0/6 hits from AA on SBR
22 damage total, for a 3.67 damage average (3.5 expected)Axis
0/0 hits from AA on SBR
11 damage total on 3 runs, for a 3.67 damage average (exactly the same as Allies)Other AA
Allies
Missed twiceAxis
Missed thrice
I did overlook, when doing this summary, the AA hit by Russia.
So under Axis, it should say 1/1 hits from AA on SBR
By “Other AA”, I meant non-SBR AA (neither side has been hit yet)
ita 8 repair 6 purchase 2 inf spend 12 (save 0)
combat
#1 trj (inf) v inf (ita) & bb
dice….
TRJ attack
Rolls: 1@4 1@1; Total Hits: 11@4: (2)1@1: (6)v infRolls: 1@2; Total Hits: 01@2: (4)
US8 with 43, buy 6 INF, 5 ARM
Combat moves -
Ger - SBR (Alg)
TrJ - INF, BMB (Egy) BMB (Alg)
Sud - ARM (Cng) blitz to Egy
EAf - ART (Rho) FTR, BMB (Egy)
Ala - ARM (WUS) BMB (EUS)
Ger AARolls: 1@1; Total Hits: 01@1: (2)
Ger SBRRolling 1:
(2)
AlaRolls: 1@3 1@4; Total Hits: 11@3: (5)1@4: (4)Rolls: 1@2; Total Hits: 01@2: (4)
EAfRolls: 1@2 1@3 1@4; Total Hits: 11@2: (3)1@3: (5)1@4: (3)Rolls: 1@2; Total Hits: 01@2: (5)
TrJRolls: 1@1 2@4; Total Hits: 21@1: (6)2@4: (2, 2)Rolls: 1@2; Total Hits: 11@2: (2)
Gotta go - noncom in about an hour
Z19 - SS (Z55)
Z12 - DD, CV (Z11) FTR (WUS) FTR (ECa)
Egy - FTR (Z12) FTR, BMB (EAf) 2 ARM (Alg) BMB (TrJ)
Lib - 5 INF (Alg)
Alg - INF, ART (EUS) 2 INF, 3 ARM (ECa) BMB (Ger) BMB (TrJ)
ECa - BMB (Ala) 2 ARM (WUS) 2 INF (EUS)
Z10 - TP (Z12)
Place INF, 4 ARM (WUS)
Place 5 INF, ARM (EUS)
Collect 43, 43 on hand
G 9 purch 3arm & 5 inf spend 30 (save 0)
combat
#1 NWE (inf, art) v
#2 bst (inf) v
#3 epl (inf) v
#4 bul (
opppsss
G 9 purch 3arm & 5 inf spend 30 (save 0)
combat
#1 NWE (inf, art) v 3inf (ger) & 4 fgt (fra)
#2 bst (inf) v inf (pol) 2 fgt (ger)
#3 epl (inf) v inf (pol) 2 fgt (ger)
#4 bul ( 3inf) v 15 inf, 2art & 12 arm (pol)
dice…
#1 nwe attackRolls: 4@3 3@1; Total Hits: 24@3: (4, 2, 1, 5)3@1: (3, 5, 2)v inf, aRTRolls: 2@2; Total Hits: 12@2: (5, 1)
