Help me understand this. When I have 99% odds, I fail. But when I have only a 25% chance of winning, then I succeed.
DING DONG, THE WITCH IS DEAD, THE WITCH IS DEAD. ALL MUNCHKINS REJOICE
Bul
Rolls: 3@1; Total Hits: 13@1: (4, 5, 1)Rolls: 1@2; Total Hits: 01@2: (6)
Rambo is dead, but he took out SIX infantry and one TANK, ALONE. I have NEVER seen a single infantry do so much damage in 2 back to back game rounds. I will probably remember that guy for at least a year.
Per - AA (Cau)
Ukr - 2 AA (EPl) 6 INF (Cau)
EPl - INF (BSt)
Cau - 2 ARM (EPl)
Rus - ARM (BSt) FTR (Eve)
Nov - 2 INF (Rus)
Place INF, 2 ART, ARM (Cau)
Place 3 INF (Rus)
Collect 40, 40 on hand
Yes, we have witnessed an amazing thing.
2 infantry + 1 tank vs. 1 infantry
A .724% chance the 1 infantry wins
5 infantry vs. 1 infantry
A .37% chance the infantry wins
A .84% chance the infantry takes out 4 or 5 attacking infantry
Put those together, and the chance that your 1 infantry does that much damage is .724% X .84% = .00006216 probability.
1 chance in 16,443. That’s rare.
(I recognize that the rest of my round I only took 1 hit and tanks were exposed in Eve, so losing 4 infantry and a tank in the round is actually not too bad…… for once (for the Russians) :-))
J8 purchase cv, dd, trn, fgt & 12 inf spend 75 (save 0)
combat
#1 sbr CAU v bmb (ind)
#2 HAW (2inf) v inf, art(wak) BB, & 2 fgt (z52)
#3 ala (mt) v inf (jpn) cwol
#4 sud (inf) v 2 inf (sum) trn z38>34 & 5 fgt (2z15,1-34 & 2-38)
#5 eaf (mt) v inf (ind) v trn z34>35>34 cwol
#6 per (3inf, art) v 2inf (sum) bb (z38) 3inf, arm (ind) fgt (z34)
#7 chi (mt) v inf (nin) cwol
dice….
#1 CAU sbr damageRolling 1:
(6)
#2 HAW attackRolls: 1@4 2@3 2@2; Total Hits: 31@4: (2)2@3: (3, 6)2@2: (1, 4)v 2infRolls: 2@2; Total Hits: 22@2: (2, 2)
cau damaged by 6
haw cleared not taken
#4 sud attackRolls: 5@3 2@1; Total Hits: 25@3: (3, 5, 6, 4, 3)2@1: (2, 2)v infRolls: 1@2; Total Hits: 01@2: (5)
sud cwol
#6 per attack
R aa fireRolls: 1@1; Total Hits: 01@1: (2)if aa misses the fgt attacksRolls: 1@3; Total Hits: 01@3: (5)& BBRolls: 1@4; Total Hits: 11@4: (3)w/arm & 5infRolls: 5@1 1@3; Total Hits: 15@1: (1, 4, 5, 5, 2)1@3: (5)vs 3inf, artRolls: 4@2; Total Hits: 24@2: (2, 4, 2, 4)
2nd wave attackRolls: 2@3 3@1; Total Hits: 12@3: (1, 5)3@1: (5, 2, 5)v inf, artRolls: 2@2; Total Hits: 12@2: (1, 6)
3rd wave attackRolls: 2@3 2@1; Total Hits: 02@3: (5, 4)2@1: (2, 4)v artRolls: 1@2; Total Hits: 11@2: (2)
4th wave attackRolls: 2@3 1@1; Total Hits: 12@3: (3, 6)1@1: (5)v artRolls: 1@2; Total Hits: 11@2: (2)
what’s the odds of that 7 hits for 11 @ 2.
per twlo 5 inf
ncm:
sud 2 fgt >z15
sud 3 fgt & per fgt > z34
z38 fleet > z34
z34 trn > z38
haw 2 fgt > z53
hup 2 inf > sik
sui inf > nin
yun 3inf, arm > sik
man inf, art > bry
z62 trn > z63
jpn 2 inf > far
z62 dd > z64
z52 ca > z64
z62 2 fgt > z38
fic 2 arm > ind
placement cv & dd z38, 2 inf sum, 3inf ind, 2 inf fic, trn& fgt z62, 5inf JPN
J collects 69
3.86%
Yay - some evening out!
You need to land the bomber that is in Cau. I won’t allow it to continuously bomb Stalingrad until J9 to do the maximum 8 damage…. :-)
You also moved 2 subs and destroyer from 51 to 53
UK move will actually be unaffected by the bomber placement, I think….
Probably need to be buying AA anyway.
UK8 with 31, buy 5 INF, 2 ARM, AA
Combat moves -
Sud - INF, FTR (Egy) 2 FTR (Z27)
Chi - FTR (Cau) BMB (Egy)
NWE - INF, ART (GBr) offload from 5
NWE - 2 FTR (Z5)
TrJ - INF (Egy)
NWERolls: 2@2 2@3; Total Hits: 42@2: (2, 1)2@3: (1, 3)Rolls: 2@2; Total Hits: 02@2: (6, 4)
SudRolls: 1@1 3@3; Total Hits: 11@1: (2)3@3: (3, 5, 4)Rolls: 2@2; Total Hits: 12@2: (4, 2)
Sud2Rolls: 3@3; Total Hits: 13@3: (6, 3, 5)Rolls: 1@2; Total Hits: 11@2: (2)
ChiRolls: 1@3 1@4; Total Hits: 21@3: (1)1@4: (2)Rolls: 1@2; Total Hits: 11@2: (1)
