Well at least I destroyed something lol.
This attack could really have gone either way.
The probabilities I calculated:
UK:
0 hits - 22.2%
1 hit - 55.6%
2 hits - 22.2%
G:
0 hits - 18.5%
1 hit - 50%
2 hits - 27.8%
3 hits - 3.7%
So your most likely result was getting 1 hit, where I would have a bomber left that would have a 66.6% chance to kill either the transport or the battleship. That would have really helped me.
I tested this battle 5 times which is not a lot, but in three cases I destroyed the transport. In one case I destroyed everything and had a bomber left, and in the last case you had a battleship and a transport remaining just like now. The four battles that went well made me do this attack.
Rolls: 2@1 2@2 1@3 1@4; Total Hits: 32@1: (1, 2)2@2: (2, 5)1@3: (6)1@4: (2)




