After running round 1 probability, Germany’s hits on Round 1 alone being so effective was only a 0.8% chance.
Let me know whether you want a reroll or what.
I’m not trying to worm my way out. I had a guy just quit on me after bad dice roll in fights he should never have tried, so I know it’s frustrating.
My calculator says your average IPC loss 169, mine 149, with a 40% chance you win vs a 60% chance I win.
By low-luck, you should have 81+342+73=97/6=16 MOD 1 hits
I should have 392+83+14=106/6=17 MOD 4 hits.
A difference of 10 more hits is way too huge in the first roll of a a near 50 dice per side battle.
I’m ok if you actually win, just not with 9 Art, 6 tanks and 1 fighter left :-)
The kind of naval battle off Egypt earlier when my Med fleet was wiped out, or the crazy roll in Fin last round, I can certainly accept as part and parcel of the game. It’s high stakes and calculated risk, but with 50 dice a side and plenty of inf to soak the hits, you would think luck will even out. There’s no way I can change my strat to address this kind of extremes, unless you double my IPCs. It would be unplayable.
It’s a shame to end. I fought off a NZ kill but your Japs are ruling the Pacific. I’m just making Normandy but your Africa is rock solid, eastern front v balanced until this. Certainly a great game.
In my ftf games our house rule is not allowed to even try such mega fights with low margins, unless we are about to stop the game anyway. Just leaves a bad taste in everyone’s mouth otherwise.
I’ll leave it to you, we continue with low luck if you still want to roll for this? Unfair to make you swallow a lousy result too. I know you’re trying a hit and run, but normally I only do it when I have overwhelmingly superior hitting power which you do not. Your call.
I just wanted to weaken EPL enough that it could not take POL and perhaps dissuade it from entering Romania again.
Low like is hitting power divided by 6 then rolling the remainder right?
So MOD 4 means you’d roll 4@1 or 1@4?
1@4.
Really if you are uncomfortable it’s cool too.
I don’t mind using low luck for this battle given that I already risked significant losses. I don’t want to use low luck for the whole game though.
So I will roll for EPL r1 remainders
A
Rolls: 1@1; Total Hits: 01@1: (3)
D
Rolls: 1@4; Total Hits: 01@4: (6)
leaves us with
Germany
2 mech, 6 inf, 17 art, 6 tank, 1 fig
USSR
12 inf, 11 art, 7 tank, 1 tact, 1 fig
still too many Russians :-P
Round 2 would be:
25@2 7@3 = 71, 11 hits mod5
23@2 8@3 1@4 = 12 hits mod2
right?
25@2 7@3 = 71 hitting power = 11 hits mod5
23@2 8@3 1@4 = 74 hitting power = 12 hits mod2
EPL r2 remainders
A
Rolls: 1@5; Total Hits: 11@5: (1)
D
Rolls: 1@2; Total Hits: 11@2: (2)
EPL r3
A 12@2 7@3 = 45 = 7 hits mod 3
Rolls: 1@3; Total Hits: 11@3: (2)
D 11@2 8@3 1@4 = 50 = 8 hits mod 2
Rolls: 1@2; Total Hits: 11@2: (1)
I think I will stop there and retreat to Romania.
Non-com will be somewhat different.
sure go ahead and redo
NCM:
1 fig epl >> rom
2 fig SZ98 >> SZ92
2 tact SZ98 >> rom
1 aa gun hun >> rom
4 inf, 3 art ger >> hun
2 carrier SZ98 >> SZ92
2 trans SZ98 >> SZ97
2 mech sita >> yugo
3 inf, 2 art fra >> nita
4 inf wgr >> ger
Mobilize:
7 inf wgr
10 inf ger
Collect 43 IPC
make that:
2 inf, 2 art fra >> nita
1 inf fra >> wgr
If you can just move an inf from nita to wgr on the R6 map
Russia6
44 IPCs buy 11Mech
Combat:
2Art, 1Fig, 1Tac Kar >> Fin
1Mech, 1Arm Nov >> Fin
AttRolls: 3@2 2@3 1@4; Total Hits: 43@2: (1, 5, 2)2@3: (1, 5)1@4: (2)
DefRolls: 3@2; Total Hits: 13@2: (2, 4, 3)
1Mech Nov >> Pol
2Art, 1Fig, 1Tac Epl >> Pol
AttRolls: 3@2 1@3 1@4; Total Hits: 13@2: (4, 4, 6)1@3: (5)1@4: (1)
DefRolls: 3@2; Total Hits: 03@2: (6, 6, 6)
Pol R2:
AttRolls: 3@2 1@3 1@4; Total Hits: 23@2: (1, 3, 6)1@3: (5)1@4: (2)
DefRolls: 2@2; Total Hits: 02@2: (3, 3)
Non-combat as per map.
Place 3Mech in Nov, 3Mech in Sukr, 5Mech in Rus.
Collect 49IPCs.
Map.
J6
Buy (36/38)
1 carrier
2 fig
CM:
SUM
3 inf, 1 mech, 1 art, 1 tank fic load 3x trans SZ36 >> SZ41 unload sum
CEL
1x trans SZ33 >> SZ34 load 1 inf pau >> SZ44 unload cel
NCM:
1 fig, 2 tact car >> jap
1 tact car >> haw
2 strat phi >> jav
1 dest SZ36 >> SZ38
2 sub, 1 dest, 1 carrier, 2 fig SZ36 >> SZ41
2 carrier, 2 fig, 2 tact SZ43 >> SZ41
1 dest SZ43 >> SZ56
1 sub, 1 dest, 3 carrier, 4 fig, 2 tact, 2 bsh SZ33 >> SZ42
1 sub SZ54 >> SZ42
2 inf jap load 1x trans SZ6 >> SZ26 unload haw
2 inf, 2 art car load 2x trans SZ33 >> SZ42 unload jav
1 cru SZ33 >> SZ6
1 trans SZ6 >> SZ35
Mobilize:
1 carrier, 2 fig SZ6
Collect 49 IPC (51 total)
Just so you know, I will be particular about OOL for SZ41, SZ42, and SZ6.
