@Stucifer submerge sub?
Lemming (Allies) v Wheatbeer (Axis) g40 a2
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 z125 R2: sub sneak 1st dice 
 Att Rolls: 1@2 1@2 2@3; Total Hits: 21@2: (5)1@2: (1)2@3: (2, 5) Rolls: 1@2 1@2 2@3; Total Hits: 21@2: (5)1@2: (1)2@3: (2, 5)
 Def Rolls: 1@1; Total Hits: 01@1: (2) Rolls: 1@1; Total Hits: 01@1: (2)
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 Non-combat as per map. (reshuffled some Chinese troops to Yunnan instead too) 
 Place 1Mech, 1Arm Saf, rest in z110 and UK.
 Place 4Inf, 2Art Ind.
 London collect 33IPCs.
 Ind collect 18IPCs.Anzac5 
 save 11IPCs.
 Non-combat as per map.
 Collect 8+11=19IPCs.
 Map
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 I5 Buy (29/29) 
 3 inf
 2 figCM: SZ92 
 4 sub, 1 dest, 1 bsh SZ98
 2 fig sitaMOR 
 1 inf egy load trans SZ98 unload morneed scrambling orders SZ92 
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 no scramble 
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 SZ92 A 4 sub, 1 dest, 1 bsh, 2 fig  Rolls: 5@2 2@3 1@4; Total Hits: 55@2: (1, 5, 3, 4, 2)2@3: (3, 1)1@4: (4) Rolls: 5@2 2@3 1@4; Total Hits: 55@2: (1, 5, 3, 4, 2)2@3: (3, 1)1@4: (4)D 1 dest  Rolls: 1@2; Total Hits: 01@2: (6) Rolls: 1@2; Total Hits: 01@2: (6)
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 sz92 cleared no loss 
 mor walk inNCM: 
 2 fig SZ92 >> tun
 1 inf, 1 art, 1 aa gun sita >> nita
 1 trans SZ98 >> SZ97Mobilize: 
 3 inf egy
 2 fig sitaCollect 33 IPC 
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 France can’t impact Germany so I am going to post G6 for the sake of expediency. G6 Buy (51/51) 
 17 infCM: POL 
 2 inf, 1 art gerEPL 
 22 inf, 2 mech, 14 art, 6 tank hun
 1 inf, 3 art rom
 1 fig sita
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 POL A 2 inf, 1 art  Rolls: 1@1 2@2; Total Hits: 01@1: (6)2@2: (5, 5) Rolls: 1@1 2@2; Total Hits: 01@1: (6)2@2: (5, 5)D 1 inf  Rolls: 1@2; Total Hits: 01@2: (6) Rolls: 1@2; Total Hits: 01@2: (6)
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 POL r2 A 2 inf, 1 art  Rolls: 1@1 2@2; Total Hits: 11@1: (4)2@2: (3, 2) Rolls: 1@1 2@2; Total Hits: 11@1: (4)2@2: (3, 2)D 1 inf  Rolls: 1@2; Total Hits: 01@2: (5) Rolls: 1@2; Total Hits: 01@2: (5)
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 pol twol EPL aa fire  Rolls: 1@1; Total Hits: 01@1: (4) Rolls: 1@1; Total Hits: 01@1: (4)
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 EPL A 23 inf, 2 mech, 17 art, 6 tank, 1 fig  Rolls: 8@1 34@2 7@3; Total Hits: 258@1: (1, 5, 6, 1, 6, 6, 2, 3)34@2: (1, 6, 2, 1, 2, 1, 6, 2, 3, 3, 1, 3, 4, 3, 4, 2, 2, 5, 4, 1, 1, 6, 1, 1, 4, 1, 1, 3, 1, 3, 5, 1, 2, 1)7@3: (2, 3, 2, 1, 5, 4, 4) Rolls: 8@1 34@2 7@3; Total Hits: 258@1: (1, 5, 6, 1, 6, 6, 2, 3)34@2: (1, 6, 2, 1, 2, 1, 6, 2, 3, 3, 1, 3, 4, 3, 4, 2, 2, 5, 4, 1, 1, 6, 1, 1, 4, 1, 1, 3, 1, 3, 5, 1, 2, 1)7@3: (2, 3, 2, 1, 5, 4, 4)D 28 inf, 11 art, 7 tank, 1 tact, 1 fig  Rolls: 39@2 8@3 1@4; Total Hits: 1539@2: (5, 6, 1, 2, 4, 3, 3, 2, 6, 4, 3, 6, 5, 3, 3, 6, 4, 6, 6, 6, 5, 1, 2, 5, 2, 4, 6, 3, 3, 3, 6, 1, 3, 1, 3, 1, 3, 6, 3)8@3: (3, 3, 5, 2, 2, 2, 4, 1)1@4: (5) Rolls: 39@2 8@3 1@4; Total Hits: 1539@2: (5, 6, 1, 2, 4, 3, 3, 2, 6, 4, 3, 6, 5, 3, 3, 6, 4, 6, 6, 6, 5, 1, 2, 5, 2, 4, 6, 3, 3, 3, 6, 1, 3, 1, 3, 1, 3, 6, 3)8@3: (3, 3, 5, 2, 2, 2, 4, 1)1@4: (5)
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 Did not expect that. I need to think. 
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 I guess I’ll push on. EPL r2 A 8 inf, 2 mech, 17 art, 6 tank, 1 fig  Rolls: 27@2 7@3; Total Hits: 1027@2: (1, 2, 4, 6, 5, 3, 4, 4, 5, 4, 4, 3, 4, 5, 2, 2, 4, 1, 3, 1, 5, 4, 3, 6, 1, 1, 5)7@3: (2, 5, 3, 6, 6, 5, 4) Rolls: 27@2 7@3; Total Hits: 1027@2: (1, 2, 4, 6, 5, 3, 4, 4, 5, 4, 4, 3, 4, 5, 2, 2, 4, 1, 3, 1, 5, 4, 3, 6, 1, 1, 5)7@3: (2, 5, 3, 6, 6, 5, 4)D 3 inf, 11 art, 7 tank, 1 tact, 1 fig  Rolls: 14@2 8@3 1@4; Total Hits: 1014@2: (5, 3, 6, 3, 6, 5, 1, 3, 1, 4, 2, 2, 6, 6)8@3: (3, 2, 6, 2, 6, 3, 2, 6)1@4: (4) Rolls: 14@2 8@3 1@4; Total Hits: 1014@2: (5, 3, 6, 3, 6, 5, 1, 3, 1, 4, 2, 2, 6, 6)8@3: (3, 2, 6, 2, 6, 3, 2, 6)1@4: (4)
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 EPL r3 A 17 art, 6 tank, 1 fig  Rolls: 17@2 7@3; Total Hits: 817@2: (2, 5, 5, 2, 5, 3, 2, 3, 5, 6, 2, 2, 6, 1, 3, 2, 5)7@3: (6, 2, 5, 4, 6, 6, 4) Rolls: 17@2 7@3; Total Hits: 817@2: (2, 5, 5, 2, 5, 3, 2, 3, 5, 6, 2, 2, 6, 1, 3, 2, 5)7@3: (6, 2, 5, 4, 6, 6, 4)D 4 art, 7 tank, 1 tact, 1 fig  Rolls: 4@2 8@3 1@4; Total Hits: 74@2: (1, 6, 6, 2)8@3: (6, 5, 3, 2, 4, 2, 3, 2)1@4: (5) Rolls: 4@2 8@3 1@4; Total Hits: 74@2: (1, 6, 6, 2)8@3: (6, 5, 3, 2, 4, 2, 3, 2)1@4: (5)
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 EPL r4 A 10 art, 6 tank, 1 fig  Rolls: 10@2 7@3; Total Hits: 910@2: (6, 2, 4, 3, 6, 1, 1, 2, 1, 5)7@3: (5, 5, 1, 5, 1, 1, 2) Rolls: 10@2 7@3; Total Hits: 910@2: (6, 2, 4, 3, 6, 1, 1, 2, 1, 5)7@3: (5, 5, 1, 5, 1, 1, 2)D 3 tank, 1 tact, 1 fig  Rolls: 4@3 1@4; Total Hits: 14@3: (5, 5, 4, 6)1@4: (2) Rolls: 4@3 1@4; Total Hits: 14@3: (5, 5, 4, 6)1@4: (2)
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 epl twlo 23 inf, 2 mech, 8 art 
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 NCM: 1 fig epl >> hun 
 1 aa gun hun >> epl
 2 mech sita >> fra
 2 carrier, 1 fig, 2 tact SZ98 >> SZ92
 2 trans SZ98 >> SZ97
 1 fig SZ98 >> sita
 1 sub SZ95 >> SZ98
 2 inf nita >> fra
 4 inf wgr >> ger
 4 inf, 3 art ger >> polMobilize: 
 7 inf wgr
 10 inf gerCollect 44 IPC 
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 Think I can concede. The luck was just not realistic 
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 If you want me to reroll, I’m willing to do that rather than simply end the game. But I have to point out that there was 5.4% chance of Germany doing that well or better and a 38.8% chance of Germany winning the battle overall (unless the odds calculator at frood.net is in error). I am not denying I was lucky, but it wasn’t that improbable either. 
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 - the end result being 5.4% chance or better
 After running round 1 probability, Germany’s hits on Round 1 alone being so effective was only a 0.8% chance. Let me know whether you want a reroll or what. 



 
		 
		







