From the wide variety of responses to the original question that have been generated, I think I’ve got a better feel for how complicated an issue Germany’s resupply of Italian troops in Africa will be.
Key factors FOR African resupply seem to be:
- need for more IPCs from African / Middle Eastern territories
- possible link-up with Japan / threat from below for USSR
- Dardanelles closed (no amphibious landings in USSR possible; makes Africa Axis priority)
- acheiving Italian National Objectives (yet to be revealed)
- putting a use to Italy’s big ol’ navy and its shore bombardment capabilities (Italy only)
Key factors AGAINST African resupply seem to be:
- Germany will have to build its own navy in the Mediterranean, or hamper Italian movement
- Malta (and Gibraltar?) aircraft interception
- need to support Germany on the Eastern front (both Germans & Italian ‘can-opener’ units)
- Italy might take France / Greece and thus (unintentionally?) keep Germans out of Africa
If I’ve left out any obvious factors, let me know.
For the moment, all things considered, it looks to me like the factors weigh towards resupply. However, as convoy raiding with Allied subs will be a concern in the Med, building up Axis naval presence there might be necessary regardless of the intention to take up the offensive in Africa. This necessary build-up will just make it easier to use the navy for what it was meant to do. It will be a touch balancing act for the Axis, nevertheless; it’s going to be very interesting to play Italy in this version, or the Germans, trying to figure out how to best distribute their forces and resources…