13L Playoffs Hobo (axis) vs Gamerman01 (allies +12)

[gamerman01]

TripleA Turn Summary for game: World War II Global 1940 2nd Edition, version: 3.8

Game History

Round: 8

Purchase Units - ANZAC
            ANZAC buy 1 destroyer and 1 transport; Remaining resources: 1 PUs;

Combat Move - ANZAC

Non Combat Move - ANZAC
            1 bomber moved from Burma to Russia
            2 fighters moved from Kiangsu to Yunnan
            1 submarine moved from 62 Sea Zone to 42 Sea Zone
            1 infantry moved from Dutch New Guinea to New Guinea
            1 fighter moved from Caroline Islands to Kiangsi
            1 artillery moved from Queensland to South Australia
            1 artillery moved from New South Wales to Queensland
            1 infantry moved from South Australia to Queensland
            1 aaGun and 2 infantry moved from South Australia to Northern Territory

Place Units - ANZAC
            1 destroyer and 1 transport placed in 62 Sea Zone

Turn Complete - ANZAC
            ANZAC collect 10 PUs; end with 11 PUs total
            Objective ANZAC 2 Control Strategic Islands: ANZAC met a national objective for an additional 5 PUs; end with 16 PUs

[gamerman01]

TripleA Turn Summary for game: World War II Global 1940 2nd Edition, version: 3.8

Game History

Round: 8

Combat Move - French

Non Combat Move - French

Turn Complete - French

[gamerman01]

I will check periodically tonight in case you need decisions during G9 so that you will not have to wait long and can finish your turn tonight (assuming you are playing)

[hobo]

well I’m going to attack russia with everything, so you going with best def here?  I have almost an 80% chance which I never thought I’d see in this game  :lol:

as I always say, between two good players it’s all about the dice  :evil:

[gamerman01]

I want to see first round dice

Still respecting you

I have you at 73%

[gamerman01]

I did not expect you could send all 5 fighters east and buy 4 bombers, and as it happened all my Allied fighters were out of range.  That coupled with your swingback from Caucasus, and suddenly you have 73% which also surprised me.  But, with all due respect, I don’t think there’s any way you can win, even with amazing dice in Moscow

[hobo]

TripleA Move Summary for game: World War II Global 1940 2nd Edition, version: 3.8

Game History

Round: 9

Research Technology - Germans

Purchase Units - Germans
            Germans buy 13 infantry and 4 mech_infantrys; Remaining resources: 0 PUs;

Combat Move - Germans
            1 bomber and 4 fighters moved from Bryansk to Russia
            1 fighter moved from Novgorod to Russia
            4 bombers moved from Germany to Russia
            3 mech_infantrys moved from Ukraine to Russia
            9 artilleries, 23 infantry and 6 mech_infantrys moved from Smolensk to Russia
            8 armour, 1 artillery and 18 mech_infantrys moved from Bryansk to Russia
            1 artillery and 1 infantry moved from Western Germany to Denmark

[hobo]

it’s about 77-78% when I do it… here goes

[gamerman01]

Are you using AACalc on the A&A site?  Because I noticed earlier today when doing the calc on Moscow that it takes infantry off before bombers.  That makes a big difference.

Well it is what it is now….  :-)

[hobo]

not good so far, aaa shot down 3, plus I lost the denmark battle which was a 90%… of course I lost 90% all the time for some reason  :lol:

going with best def or what, 21 hits

[gamerman01]

Yeah, I saw the AA and Denmark dice

Sure, I guess it makes sense to go with best defense, go ahead and take off the bombers

[hobo]

ok you win, I knew that was coming after all the dice, save MAYBE a couple turns that went my way  :lol:

[hobo]

that was pretty horrific… you won with 14 units remaining…  that’s probably a 1-2% probability outcome  :?

[gamerman01]

OK, Hobo,

Congratulations on a fantastic year once you got the rust off, an amazing 21-4 record plus 2 big wins in the playoffs, and an extremely crafty and scrappy champ game

Wish you well

[hobo]

yeah thanks for the game and congrats to you… if I had won that on the good side, this might have became an epic game  :lol:

[gamerman01]

I was hoping that you would win Moscow

[hobo]

uhhh using low luck I would have won with 6 tanks and 8 air left.  had I been slightly lucky there might have been 10+ ground units there, making a fairly dicey counter attack.  even if you won the counter attack I would have taken it back for good with 7 mech and 8 air…  not sure what you are saying when you wish I had won  :-P

put it this way, you won with +13 units over average on that pretty disastrous attack.  had I won with just half that outcome which was still about a 20-30% probability, you would not have been able to take back moscow…

[gamerman01]

I don’t think I needed to hold Moscow, and yes on the counterattack if it failed I would probably destroy almost all of the tanks

You said it would have been an epic game if it continued, and yes I half hoped you wouldn’t lose Moscow

But I am also glad I won and that the game is over.  It’s called mixed feelings.

[gamerman01]

You won’t agree with me, but from my perspective you dodged a lot of bullets to get this far.

You are as dangerous and cunning as I remember from 5 years ago, and played like your record.  Well done, and let’s refrain from arguing about the game.  We see it differently, and I don’t expect that will be reconciled.

[hobo]

well obviously we have different opinions. the way I saw this game if russia went, it would have been game over.  you were in no way threatening japan, and despite taking a few ipcs, really had no shot on taking germany.

so what would have happened if I had a slightly favorable outcome with +4-5 units over average?  there would have been 8 tanks and 4 mech in russia since I would have sac’d some air in the last round and still have 5-6 air left.  if you don’t take it back I would finish what’s left of the 15 russian dudes the next turn.  if you took it back and won, you would have had 2-3 ground units in russia.  I counter attack with 7 mech, 5 air and finish every single russian guy left.  after that, everything would have gone to europe.

oh yeah, and india would have fallen and you wouldn’t have been able to retake either, then middle east/africa fairly quickly after that.  I had the numbers on the us in the pacific so you could have done nothing other than annoying attacks, like what happened in china.

game wasn’t as lopsided as you think.  when you opened up russia, my odds of winning the game was pretty much that moscow battle.  of course, that’s how I saw it but we will never know now  :lol:

you should never have given that shot on russia imho.  had I been in your shoes I would have grinded the game down since you were in a fairly dominating position to attrition the game out…