@Mary:
(SNIP)I think the crucial point that you’re missing is that you have zero evidence for believing in anything other than carbon-based life, yet you believe so to avoid an argument.
That’s BS. I have the same evidence for Si based life and for the existance of a creator.
Your faith in the existence of strange life-forms is no different than that of a theist’s faith in the existence of God.
And i have as much proof.
You argue about silicon-based life, and even if I grant that it’s likely, the likelihood is taking into account conditions in THIS universe, which are very hospitable for life.
Yes, of course it is. It must. This is the only universe i know of. This is the universe i live in.
So, you are arguning for me, using Bayes Theorem:
We life in this universe.
Thus the probability for the universe to have conditions “hospitable for life” is …… 1.
I have to take that into account for everything i calculate.
Are you really claiming that life can exist in a universe where atoms can’t form, where stars can’t form, where planets can’t form?
That is utter BS.
Quote me.
If that’s the best you can do, the argument is in good shape.
That and your comment on your book on your bookshelf reminds me that i have Joyce’s “Ulysses” still unread on my shelf.
As far as Hawking goes, it doesn’t hurt the argument at all if 98% of possible universes would have had the same constant values.
If the universe had a 98% chance to come out like that, why is it fine tuned then? It is NOT unlikely then. THat is the core of teh fine-tuning argument: our universe is unlikely, someone must have rigged it.But, it is not unlikely.
Even if the constants are “fixed” at the moment of the Big bang, the question would simply become: why are the constants fixed in such a way that the universe supports life?
That is not the question. I look at the humans and Bayes Theorem and know the constants just are.
See, i can ask you the same: Why is god? Why is a creator?
You’d probably say: the uncaused cause.
Hwaking has shown that the universe itself can be uncaused. We don’t need a creator.
So, the answer to your question (which is what i meant that creationists “need to feel special”.):
there is no reason.
You seem to forget that even if the constants are fixed or highly probable, we can still generate models of universes where the constants are different (and the fact that drives the argument would still remain: change the constants just a little bit, and the universe would not support life).
No, i don’t forget that. But with the 98% and the fact that we are here … just tells us that we live in a highly likely universe. Sure we can do the models, but we don’t need them anymore.
WE are highly probable.
In fact, it would support the argument if we found out that the universe HAS to be a life-supporting one, that all possible big bangs produce life supporting universes. How strange would THAT be?
98% would. I don’t see the strangeness at all.