13L G40 Infrastructure vs Gamerman01 (+10 Allies) + tech

[gamerman01]

Damage the 2 carriers and sink 6 subs

[gamerman01]

I’ll keep checking periodically tonight so that you hopefully don’t have to wait very long for each round

[Major Major]

Rd1:
DefenseRolls: 9@1, 6@2, 2@3, 3@4; Total Hits: 59@1,: (2, 6, 1, 5, 1, 4, 6, 5, 2)6@2,: (4, 3, 5, 4, 4, 1)2@3,: (2, 5)3@4: (3, 5, 6)

[Major Major]

Rd2; I lost 2 carr, 1sub.
AttackRolls: 2@2, 5@2, 4@3, 4@4; Total Hits: 82@2,: (6, 2)5@2,: (1, 4, 5, 1, 2)4@3,: (6, 2, 1, 4)4@4: (6, 4, 6, 2)

[Major Major]

ool?

[gamerman01]

Lose last 3 subs, 2 carriers, 3 destroyers

[Major Major]

Rd2;
DefenseRolls: 3@1, 6@2, 2@3, 3@4; Total Hits: 73@1,: (5, 1, 3)6@2,: (3, 5, 1, 3, 1, 1)2@3,: (2, 6)3@4: (5, 3, 4)

[Major Major]

so much for finally getting some luck.

[Major Major]

Rd3; I lost 2sub, 1dest, 2ftr, 2tact.
AttackRolls: 4@2, 2@3, 2@4; Total Hits: 34@2,: (5, 6, 2, 4)2@3,: (4, 2)2@4: (6, 3)

[Major Major]

im fing sick of this bad luck crap.  Skill is only about 10% of Global I’m learning.

ool?

[gamerman01]

1 DD, 2 CA

[Major Major]

Rd3;
DefenseRolls: 1@2, 2@3, 3@4; Total Hits: 31@2,: (2)2@3,: (4, 1)3@4: (5, 5, 2)

[Major Major]

I lose 3dest.

I have to go.
wont be back on until tomorrow night.

[gamerman01]

@Infrastructure:

I have to go.
wont be back on until tomorrow night.

Thank you for letting me know

[gamerman01]

It was a 60/40 battle going in according to the new calculator, with your OOL.  As soon as you damage each carrier there’s 2 more planes that can’t land, so you can’t just run a calculator with standard OOL and expect that to be accurate, because it would assume you take 6 carrier hits first, which you did not do.

Your first round roll was .67 hits above average, but mine was 1.5 hits below average.
Your second round roll was 1 hit above average, and mine was 1.5 hits above average.
Your third round roll was .67 hits below average and mine was .33 hits below average

Because first round luck matters more than later rounds, my 1.5 below was not negated by my 1.5 above.

What all this means is that you are actually having a close to average battle, but slightly in YOUR FAVOR

And you are cursing and swearing, and complaining that 10% of G40 game results are due to skill.
I don’t like it when people complain about dice when they’re getting average or better luck, and never say anything at all when the dice are strongly in their favor.  I don’t think many people do.

If I give you the benefit of the doubt, you honestly believe that you are getting below average luck in this battle and just don’t know how to calculate it accurately.

[Major Major]

I have reached the very sad part in a game when I am hoping for luck to save me.  Luck has consistently beat me down in this game.  The good first round changed my OOL and gave me a glimmer of hope at a luck swing back only to be crushed again.  The battle itself was average.

Of course luck is part of the game, but of about 12 games that I am playing and have played, Luck has been more of a determinant than skill in 9-10 of them.  For a game that takes this much of a time commitment it shouldn’t come down to being 10% better than the luck in the game Risk.

Oh well,
off to work a double.

[gamerman01]

Thanks for the excellent and thoughtful post!
I do understand the frustration of the position you are in now in this game

Good luck with the double, and hoping to game with ya tonight

[Major Major]

actually is it legal to retreat to sz off palau since i attacked a tran there?

[gamerman01]

@Infrastructure:

actually is it legal to retreat to sz off palau since i attacked a tran there?

Thanks for checking.

Yes, it’s legal.  Sea units must retreat to a sea zone that was friendly at the start of the turn.  It takes at least a destroyer to make it hostile.

[Major Major]

of course the rest of the turn went crappuy for me again too.

do something brilliant and put me out of my misery.