L12G4Karl7(Axis)v.Gamerman(Allies)+Tech(rematch)

[gamerman01]

I would enjoy seeing it round by round and making choices round by round…
I promise I will check frequently so you won’t have to wait long.  I hope you don’t mind.  OK?

[Karl7]

oh, not a prob.  You know me, easy.

So I’ll have to think about how I am going to do it first.  It’s a big move.  If I win, then the Axis gets some breathing room.  If I fail, then…. :oops:  The calc says a little more than 50% odds of victory.  But as we know, the dice in naval battles can be very volatile.

It’ll be a few before I get it going.

[gamerman01]

I’ll be checking regularly the rest of the night.  Take your time

[gamerman01]

My home-made calculator has you clearing it with a couple of airplanes left over (but I’m calculating conservatively for me), so I think I agree with your calculator pretty much

And yeah - seems you need not just a victory but a lopsided one to make it a game…  :-)

[Karl7]

Ok Japan!

Well, I think the Axis need to make a break through now or it will be a long slow downhill ride.  So, Japan is going to roll some tech.  I need luck, like I did not have luck early on.  I am counting on the fabled idea that luck travels in circles… (although I admit while it does it seems to do so between games not with in them)  If no luck, well then the fates have spoken.

Japan

buy 5 dice!

roll:
Rolls: 5@6; Total Hits: 55@6: (6, 5, 5, 4, 5)

[Karl7]

got one!  Ok!  That’s all I need!

Doing shipyards chart.
Rolls: 1@6; Total Hits: 11@6: (1)

(please!  anything but 4!)

[Karl7]

super subs?  huh, ok.  Not the best but ok

Long range aircraft would have been the ticket!

buy with 30
6inf
2ss

cm
inf from yen to eve

inf from hop to she

inf from dza to olg

inf from sui to kan

inf from jav to sum on trn in 42

cel
inf, art from phi on trn from bor
2inf from phi and bor on trn from 35

anh
2inf, 2art from hop

fic
inf from kwa
5tacb

55
dd from 42
ss from 37

sz22
dd from 16
ss from 6

33
cv, ss, dd, 2 ftr from 35
4ftr from 42
ftr, tacb from 6
2tacb (swtiching out on ftrs on cv in 35), 2 bomb from kwa

will start on small stuff first, try to shake out the crazy dice

cc

55
A
Rolls: 1@2 1@3; Total Hits: 21@2: (1)1@3: (2)
D
Rolls: 1@1 1@2; Total Hits: 01@1: (3)1@2: (3)

[Karl7]

cel
A
Rolls: 2@1 2@2; Total Hits: 02@1: (2, 5)2@2: (4, 5)
D
Rolls: 1@2; Total Hits: 01@2: (3)

[Karl7]

cel
A
Rolls: 2@1 2@2; Total Hits: 02@1: (4, 2)2@2: (6, 4)
D
Rolls: 1@2; Total Hits: 01@2: (3)

[Karl7]

cel
A
Rolls: 2@1 2@2; Total Hits: 22@1: (6, 1)2@2: (4, 1)
D
Rolls: 1@2; Total Hits: 11@2: (1)

[Karl7]

22
A
Rolls: 1@2 1@3; Total Hits: 11@2: (6)1@3: (3)
D
Rolls: 1@2; Total Hits: 11@2: (2)

[Karl7]

lose ss,

anh
A
Rolls: 4@2; Total Hits: 04@2: (6, 4, 6, 4)
D
Rolls: 1@2; Total Hits: 01@2: (5)

[Karl7]

anh
A
Rolls: 2@1 2@2; Total Hits: 22@1: (1, 1)2@2: (3, 4)
D
Rolls: 1@2; Total Hits: 11@2: (2)

[Karl7]

fic
A
Rolls: 1@1 5@3; Total Hits: 21@1: (4)5@3: (5, 6, 6, 3, 3)
D
Rolls: 1@2; Total Hits: 11@2: (2)

[Karl7]

fic holds

ok sz 33 for the Axis loss!!!

A
Rolls: 1@2 8@3 5@4; Total Hits: 71@2: (4)8@3: (2, 2, 3, 5, 6, 1, 5, 2)5@4: (5, 3, 6, 5, 2)

ool?

[Karl7]

7, ok about average.

ool?

[gamerman01]

Yeah, I was anticipating 8
Damage BB and CV, lose CV, 2 SS, ANZ DD

[Karl7]

ok, you got to roll bad for this work!  blah…

D
Rolls: 2@1 4@2 4@3 4@4; Total Hits: 62@1: (1, 2)4@2: (5, 6, 4, 1)4@3: (2, 4, 3, 4)4@4: (6, 4, 6, 3)

[Karl7]

ok!

I lose cv, dd, ss, 2ftr

r2!

A
Rolls: 5@3 5@4; Total Hits: 55@3: (1, 3, 3, 4, 4)5@4: (6, 5, 5, 1, 4)

ok, got a feeling luck will run away! :-(

[Karl7]

bah!  just less than average!  why?  why?  why?