It is fair to note that germany’s odds in 110 if I did scramble is actually slightly more than 50% despite it saying a flat 50%.
In scenarios the defender and attacks roll low hits, say 3 hits, germany would lose sub fighter and tactical. The built in calculator assumes you lose lowest cost unit first. EG. sub 2x fighter. So in those scenarios you would have a 4 roll instead of a 3.
Real odds are closer to 51%. Plus the draw outcome is not so bad for germany either. So UK’s scramble would be a good move less than 50% of the time.
It just opens germany up for fighter losses that is all. Tanks are better than fighters when attacking russia’s capital anyway (they don’t die to aa guns). He gets the possibility of a cruiser kill off gibraltar reducing uk’s R1 attack potential on sz 97 (while maintaining 2 unit attackers for the destroyer and transport italy has by malta)
Also the french naval cleared allows italy to get away with other attacks.
It is what it is. I can’t do anything about it, but wait till the dice come in.