L12G4Karl7(Axis)v.Gamerman(Allies)+Tech

[Karl7]

blah… I need to reposition stuff on my ncm for ger :-P

hold on

[gamerman01]

OK, was just starting to check

[gamerman01]

One error your map had was 2 infantry in Bess (should be 3) and 1 extra in Suk

You did move AA from Bel to Bry without typing
Also 2 fighters from Holland to Wgr

[gamerman01]

I calculate 67.5% on Bry
Tantalizing, but is the wrong move given my positions around the world
If I got unlucky rolls I could be trading 23 infantry for 8 and 3 aa guns in the first round, which would then give you like a 60% chance on Russia when you have no chance if I don’t attack….  So yeah, it’s too risky.  Especially when I have key targets at Arc and Ros I would have to give up, and could lose air to AA.
Tough to resist, but resist I will.

[gamerman01]

But I’ve said too much, since you haven’t locked in non-coms…

Need to go to bed - playing tomorrow

[Karl7]

got those errors

revised ncms

mech goes from wgr to ger
aa from wgr to ger
ftr from sita to ger

place 4inf in ger

[Karl7]

67% eh?  what calculator are you using?  Frood?

[Karl7]

map

L12G40Karl7(Axis)v.Gamerman(Allies)6aGer.AAM

[gamerman01]

No, I use this one that was posted on the site a few years ago.  Doesn’t really have a name.  It’s awesome, but not perfect on the fleet battles when you have destroyers, subs, and air…
And it doesn’t do G40, so I have to make modifications.
For 3 AA defending, I put in 6 bombers and put in 3 less men, so you still have the 6 punch for 3 men in the first round, but you have 6 casualties for 3 men and 3 AA.
2 hit carriers and tacs take a little more imagination.

[gamerman01]

Seems you have 3 extra infantry placed now….  1 too many in Bry, and 2 too many in Suk?

[gamerman01]

I think everything else checks out….
Please confirm Bry and Suk
I have 5 infantry in Suk and 20 in Bry
You have 7 and 21

[Karl7]

hmm, 5 in sukr is right per your map

but, 21 in bry is right by my map

[Karl7]

blah… ok, I see I didn’t take the hit in bry, so 20 inf in bry.

Good catch!    :wink:

[gamerman01]

That explains a lot of the disparity in our success percentages, too.

[Karl7]

1inf?  hm… I use DS kelly for battle calculations.  Not perfect, but easy.

[gamerman01]

Yes, one infantry in a battle like that can change the odds by quite a bit.

[gamerman01]

R6 with 26, buy 6 INF, 2 ART

Combat moves -
Ros - MECH, FTR (Rus)
Arc - 2 MECH, FTR, TAC (Rus)

ArcRolls: 2@1 1@3 1@4; Total Hits: 22@1: (1, 6)1@3: (1)1@4: (5)Rolls: 1@2; Total Hits: 01@2: (3)

[gamerman01]

RosRolls: 1@1 1@3; Total Hits: 01@1: (4)1@3: (5)Rolls: 1@2; Total Hits: 11@2: (2)
Ros2Rolls: 1@1 1@3; Total Hits: 11@1: (6)1@3: (1)Rolls: 1@2; Total Hits: 01@2: (4)
Ros3Rolls: 1@1 1@3; Total Hits: 01@1: (2)1@3: (5)Rolls: 1@2; Total Hits: 01@2: (4)
Retreat plane immediately if defense hits

[gamerman01]

Rus - all air
Tam - INF (Sam) INF (Rus)
Sam - 13 INF (Novo) 4 MECH, ARM, 2 AA (Rus)
Novo - 7 INF, 2 AA (Kan)

Place all (Rus)
Collect 22, 22 on hand

L12G40Karl7(Axis)v.Gamerman(Allies)6bRus.AAM

[Karl7]

Japan

buy
3arm
miIC
2inf, art
4inf
cv
dd

cm

sz16
ss, dd from 6

sz25
2tacb, ss from 6
SCRAMBLE?

sz42
dd from 44
2ftr from 41
2ftr from 44

land on jav
inf,art from sum

land srt from cel on dgu

kan
all units in she
arm, mech blitz from yen across tim
2bombs from kwa

inf from tim into eve

inf from dza into olg

SCRAMBLE ORDERS for 25?